In this video, we will discuss the potential targets for ES1!, NQ1!, and RTY1! in the upcoming week. The technical indicators I've used include Bollinger Bands (20,3), Beacon Indicator, 5-day SMA, and YTD AVWAP. The market environment has turned bullish again as I believe the short-term sell-off in market indexes is over. We are now back in bull mode, anticipating...
So again, I cashed out my trade just above 5000 as we fell last night following the Israel drone strike against Iran. Most of that dip appears to have resolved itself, at least for the moment, but those geopolitical issues will likely be crucial to the potential of a market fall in the coming days.
I go into it in the video, but major Earnings are next week, and...
Going over the price action overnight pre-PCE looking for clues and discussing plan for the report today. we are sized down but looking to go with whichever way the market wants to go today. no feelings just reacting to zones.
While technical have us in the daily trigger zone for a another bearish leg, I think future contracts and overall market sentiment is set to consolidate. There is some confusion amongst investors but, with a bearish bias overall. A break and close below a previous day low will help technical to begin a second leg.
Buyers came into the S&P 500 late in the session on Wednesday with the lower opening in Asia. Can buyers return to move prices higher to drive the market back to Wednesday highs and that is the expectation.
With the Fed making announcement on Wednesday, volatility would be expected in the S&P 500.
A change in the feds attitude towards interest rates being high longer is not expected.
Since there was not going on much between the two days, I decided to combine the two days into one. Sorry for the delay overall but, we covered the trades I took and the setups ups I noticed in both days.
The PCE numbers coming out on Friday can set the tone for the S&P 500 not only for Friday's action but week as well. How the market will respond is 50-50.
The video explains it all a lot better, but basically, we are sitting with higher highs and lower lows on the trend timeframes that brought us here (30m-4hr), otherwise known as the Pac-Man symbol.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High
1Hr - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High
2Hr - 5131...
After the volatility seen on Wednesday in the S&P 500, the expectation is that Thursday will be a day for the market to catch its breath before labor numbers come out on Friday. This means trading inside Wednesday's range on Thursday.
The S&P 500 is in the neutral zone trade with a bullish bias. The expectation for Tuesday is for today range trading inside of Monday's range with a higher close.
My plan today for SPX levels;
My main level is 5011.
Bull Plan
If we open above 5011 and stay above 5011 we can test 5027 with 5043 and 5053.
Bear Plan
If we open below 5011 and stay below 5011 we can test 5000 with 4994 with 4988 (this is my preferred move at opening, then adjust).
Stay Frosty!
All signs point to a pullback in the market. I think JPM/AMD and some other big names might even be our leading indicator. The only real pullback target I could come up with is a 50% retracement which is fairly common in the market and within trends themselves.
After the S&P 500 market absorbed the news about the retaliatory attack from Israel to Iran with a large moved to the downside buyers into the market. The question is is that buying sellers buying to take profits or has it gotten cheap enough that buyers are entering the market. Pay attention to Sunday nights opening and Asia's response to get guidance for Monday....
I go over how to establish potential scenarios for an FOMC day and how to prepare accordingly. FOMC can be very tricky to trade, but if you have a plan and know the levels that are in play it can provide great opportunities.
