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E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Jun 2016)

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ESM2016 trade ideas

SP500 - corrupt money supply - inflationThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DHLawrence
SP500 & a corrupt money supplyThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DHLawrence
2024-04-30 - a daily price action after hour update - sp500 Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment End of month proved to be volatile and bears made clear that the last bounce was a lower high and we are on our way to new lows. My overall market thesis for the last 2 weeks was, that this bounce should be a W2 and we are in a new bear trend. Now bears need strong selling to break through the previous lows and make even the last bulls cover for their life’s. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Not as weak as dax but same play. Retest of 5000 is next and retest of 4963 highly likely if we break 5000. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 5000 - 5150 bull case: Here bulls could not touch 5150 again and gave up on US open with a big bear bar similar to EU open. Bulls tried to stay above 5125 but failed and then we just crashed down to 5065 and closed at the lows. Best bulls can hope for here is to find support around 5000. bear case: Huge day for the bears as in dax. Big round number as support coming up with 5000 and we will see how long it can hold. Can my bear trend thesis be wrong and 5000 won’t be broken and we range 5000-5150 for many weeks? Absolutely. I gave enough reasoning over the past weeks why I think we are in the new bear trend. Bears need to keep it below 5100. short term: Down to sideways - 5000 will probably be big support and we can move sideways first again medium-long term: Full bear below 5000. Lower high W2 is in, We are in W3 and my target for W5 is around 4600. trade of the day: Short, no ifs and buts. Just sell anywhere and have an appropriate stop.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by priceactiontds
SP500 demand zonesThis is a quick update on daily vs weekly demand zones. I also kept my demand zone from the past that was noted from May 23'. We are at the start of the buy zone on the daily. I did look back and we are about at the average correction for a bull market correction for tech driven indices. I believe this stops soon if Apple and Amazon earnings are neutral or bullish. Otherwise we correct to 4800 over the coming weeks. The 20 EMA is also noted as a strong area of support.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Apollo_CB
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, within a consolidation period likely followed by a breakout. Exercise caution and patience with trades. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127-30, 5121 (major), 5108 Major Supports: 5083 (major), 5067 (major), 5039 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5136, 5150-55 (major), 5176 (major), 5191 (major) Major Resistances: 5205-5208 (major), 5230, 5246 (major), 5270-75 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Breakout: Anticipate a breakout from the current 5120-5155 consolidation range. Plan accordingly for both bull and bear breakout scenarios. Long Opportunities: Prioritize failed breakdowns at 5121 for potential long entries. Focus on bids within the current range and knife-catches on major supports if deep flushes occur (5067, 5039). Short Opportunities: Due to the potential for a strong breakout, approach shorts cautiously. The 5176 and 5191 levels offer shorting opportunities, but with increased risk in the bullish environment. Utilize level-to-level profit-taking. Risk Management: Implement disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile period. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5120 support within the current consolidation range is crucial for bulls. Breakout and Retest: Look for an upside breakout from the 5155 resistance area, followed by a successful retest for further confirmation. Targeting Higher Levels: A breakout could trigger an upward move, focusing on targets at 5176, potentially extending to 5191. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5121 signals a downward move. Watch for a bounce/failed breakdown as an entry point for a short position, with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 30th, 2024 Market Dynamics and Corporate Earnings Global Activity: High activity with 1,300 company earnings reports expected; Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting closely watched for rate decision insights. Sector Highlights: Tech sector leads with major gains by Nvidia and Super Micro; Financials gain on rate cut hopes; Real Estate and Energy sectors lag. Economic Indicators and Central Bank Decisions FOMC Meeting: Coming up on 5/1 Jobs Data: Upcoming release expected to influence Fed's future decisions, especially on inflation control. International Markets Asian Markets: Mixed responses with Japan's Nikkei up and Shanghai Composite down. European Central Bank: Anticipated to follow Fed with potential rate cuts amid inflation challenges. Analysts' Projections and Market Sentiment Future Rate Cuts: Initially expected in mid-2024, now possibly delayed due to persistent high inflation. Investor Outlook: Cautiously optimistic but prepared for potential volatility due to uncertain monetary policy outcomes.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, following a multi-day rally. However, proceed with caution as a period of price discovery and more complex action is likely after the strong movement. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127 (major), 5117, 5102 (major), 5089 (major), 5082 Major Supports: 5068-72 (major), 5043 (major), 5034 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5150 (major), 5168-5171 (major), 5185 (major) Major Resistances: 5206-5208 (major), 5230, 5245 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Anticipated: Expect a period of consolidation and complex price action after the recent surge. Overtrading can lead to losses. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5127 or 5102 as potential long entry points. Prioritize bids within the current range for a cautious approach. Short Opportunities: Target the 5185 level (resistance of the downtrend channel) for possible short positions. Consider level-to-level profit-taking within the range. Risk Management: Maintain disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile environment. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5127 or 5102 major supports is crucial for bulls to maintain control. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5150/5168-71 zones for a potential run to the next major target, 5185. Adding on Strength: In an ultra-bull case, look for bull flagging above 5127 to add exposure in anticipation of an upward move. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5102 could trigger a deeper retracement. True bear case resumes with a break below 5033. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 29th, 2024 Equity Market Overview Global Performance: S&P 500 and Dow Jones rose over 10% in Q1 2024; European and Asian indices also hit highs. Sector Trends: AI boom fuels tech sector gains; value stocks participate more in market rallies. Bond Market Dynamics Interest Rates: Delayed rate cuts by the Federal Reserve impacting bond yields. Performance: High yield bonds outperforming investment-grade due to favorable risk-return amidst volatile rates. Key Economic Indicators Inflation and Sentiment: Persistent inflation concerns; consumer sentiment improves slightly. GDP and Employment: Strong GDP growth and employment figures support bullish equity market sentiment. Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment Short-Term: Continued growth expected, but potential for increased volatility. Long-Term: Earnings growth modest in sectors like IT, significant in "Magnificent 7" companies. Federal Reserve Policy and Market Outlook Fed Stance: Maintains rates; cautious on inflation. Market Impact: S&P 500's performance influenced by rate cut expectations; market may face limited growth post-rate cuts.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
ES Weekly Levels (Apr29-May3)Here are my levels for this the coming week. ES had a sharp reversal last week bouncing 2.56% after trading down for 3 weeks in a row. Dispite the strong rally the risk of bearish continuation remains high. A rejection at the top of the red box could easily send price into a compound corrective move down to the 200 sma and the July 27th high. Much depends on the reaction to FOMC, NFP as well as the earnings reports from AAPL and AMZN. SUMMARY ES posted a weekly gain of 2.56% after trading in a huge 140 pt range ES made a sharp reversal back above the 2021 high and the 9 & 55 emas ES had the best weekly gain since Nov 2023. R2 = LTF 618 Fib RT (5190) R1 = 21 ema/ 55 ema (5141) S1 = 9 ema (5109) S2 = 2012 high (5092) Bias remains down to sideways as the upward trendline has been broken. 200 SMA price magnet in play Compound corrective move down to the July 27th high & 200 SMA is possible FOMC Rate decision on Wed & Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday Heavy week of earnings ahead including reports from AAPL, AMZN, MA, AMD, COIN & NET. Global event risk is high Sell in May effect in play. RSI 47.80| VIX at 15.02 | 10 year 4.66%
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WadeYendall
S&P500 (ES1!, SPX500, SP500) From Bullish to BEARISH1. Price swept a lot of low resistance lows with this bearish impulse, and created a new Swing Low. This is the External move. 2. Price retraced to the -FVG, a premium PD Array. This is an Internal Range Liquidity move. Expecting price to wick up past the PDH, but close inside the -FVG, and potentially end the retracement. Bearish PA should follow. Price is in premium prices now, as it crossed the Equilibrium of the trading range. Buys are not recommended until the price action shows a significant +BOS with a strong bullish close. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RT_Money
ES (S&P500)... Expecting a short term BULLISH Move!Bearish, but expecting a short term bullish move. Price has reached the 4th standard deviation, swept the LRLR, then mitigated the +OB. The expectation now is an External -> Internal LQ move. Wait/watch for signs of reversal from the current poi. I enjoy any feedback or questions in the comment section. All opinions are welcome! LIKE or BOOST this post, if you would. I would be appreciate it. SUBSCRIBE if you want to catch all of my future postings!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
1
ES1!/NQ1! side-by-side comparisonSide-by-side comparison of ES1! and NQ1!. I'm proposing that both have impulse waves down from their ATHs to the lows of last week. Areas in orange ellipses show ES1! holding its low and NQ1! breaking its low. I'm interpreting this as evidence that each bounced off their lows with corrective structures, ES1! with a regular flat and NQ1! with an expanded flat. With this in mind, the impulse waves up that we've had this week would need to be interpreted as part of larger corrective structures. I think odds are better than a coin flip that equities roll over for more lows, with key support for ES1! at 5104.50 and NQ1! at 17668.25.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by discobiscuit
ES1! afternoon updateI think that if one is to interpret the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50 as an impulse wave, this is the best way to do it. Wave 1 of the impulse (orange ellipse) is a contracting leading diagonal. The proposed ES1! impulse wave down correlates nicely with NQ1!'s price action (NQ1! has an expanding leading diagonal in its impulse wave). If the impulse wave from 5333.50 to 4963.50 is correctly identified, then wave 2 appears to be a double-three, with a proposed (c) of Y of 2 at or near completion. Bears would be looking to sell ~5148.50-5192.25. I don't think going long at this moment would be the best idea; bulls should have gone long yesterday. Bulls wanting to get in now are likely waiting for more price action into the 5200-5300 range and looking to buy dips from there. Bears are likely closing long positions and/or entering short now.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by discobiscuit
Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control but facing the after-hours earnings event, which could bring sudden volatility. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5067, 5058 (major), 5048 Major Supports: 5036-33 (major), 5010 (major), 4996-5000 (major), 4935-40 (major), 4904-08 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5080-82 (major), 5092 (major), 5108 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5145-50 (major), 5177-81 (major) Major Resistances: 5222, 5243-46 (major), 5272 (major) Trading Strategy Earnings Volatility: Be prepared for unpredictable price action and adjust your strategy in real-time. Trading the Range: Expect price to play within the broad 5036-5126 range. Exercise caution and consider bids/shorts within the range rather than chasing direction. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5067 or 5058 after earnings. Focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels. Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5126-29, 5145-50, or the major 5177-81 zone if reached. Given earnings, approach shorts very cautiously. Profit-Taking: Use level-to-level profit-taking on any position taken, given the increased volatility risk. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the current 5036-33 major support is critical. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5108 zone for a potential run to the next major target areas of 5126-29 and 5145-50. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5036 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 26th, 2024 Economic Environment March PCE inflation report and its impact on the Fed's policy decisions. Apollo Global's acquisition of US Silica and implications for the materials sector. Stock Market Updates Mixed signals from global markets amidst geopolitical tensions. Bank of Japan's interest rate policy. Global Market News Market response to various corporate earnings and announcements. Additional Market News Bond market dynamics and potential interest rate cuts. Gold's performance and investment implications. Currency market updates and the impact of the Bank of Japan's actions. Additional Market Insights and News Economic Indicators and Outlook US GDP and Economic Growth: Analysis of the latest GDP report and its implications for growth trends. Corporate Earnings Outlook: Forecasts for 2024 and sector-specific performance expectations. Inflation and Interest Rates: Understanding the relationship between inflation, Fed policy, and corporate earnings. Labor Market Dynamics: Assessing the health of the labor market and its impact on consumer spending and corporate profitability. Technological Advancements and Market Shifts Generative AI and Business Transformation: How is GenAI impacting decision-making and efficiencies in various industries. Quantum Computing and Competitive Edge: Exploring the potential of quantum computing in various sectors and its implications for competitive advantage. Sustainable Technology Initiatives: The increasing focus on green technologies and the integration of sustainability with innovation. Industry Cloud Platforms (ICPs): Examining the adoption of ICPs and their role in accelerating digital transformation. Reminder: The after-hours earnings events introduce major volatility risk. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro