ES UpdateRSI hit oversold at close yesterday, MFI still oversold. Guessing we get a Powell pump this afternoon, but watch out for teh whipsawby hungry_hippoUpdated 119
Bullish Setup Before The Fed?Looks like a bullish setup before the Fed. That being said, I think it could go either way.by ABSResearch0
ES (S&P 500 Futures) continue with the Downtrend 👇On ES (S&P 500 Futures), it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5090 and 5128. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The downtrend combined with the strong volume area are my main reasons for this short trade. Happy trading, Daleby Trader_Dale4
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount. Key Supports Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major) Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5066, 5077-82 (major), 5102 (major), 5144 (major) Major Resistances: 5171 (major), 5200 (major), 5246-50 (major) Trading Strategy FOMC Volatility: Expect unpredictable price swings driven by reactions to the FOMC interest rate decision and related news. Prioritize Capital Preservation: Focus on protecting your account rather than chasing aggressive moves. Adapt position sizing and risk management strategies accordingly. Long Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct bids are high risk. Focus on failed breakdowns for better risk/reward. Potentially long at major support levels after flushes and reclaims (5043-47, 5030-32). Short Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct shorts are also high risk. Watch for strong bounces and failed breakdowns. Consider shorts at key resistance levels only if the reaction to FOMC is definitively bearish. Proceed with extreme caution. Level-to-Level Trading: Employ level-to-level scalping techniques and profit-taking, navigating this volatile environment with tighter stops. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5043-47 support zone is crucial for bulls, with 5030-32 as the absolute minimum. Reclaiming resistances like 5066 could indicate buyer strength. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5030, intensified by negative FOMC news, signals a downside move. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns for potential shorts. News: Top Stories for May 1st, 2024 Global Economic Outlook Mature economies are stabilizing with a slight growth uptick projected for 2024 and 2025. Emerging economies maintain stability with growth projections at 4.3% for both 2024 and 2025. Regional Trends Asia, including China, anticipates a slowdown, while Latin America expects gradual growth increases. Inflation and Monetary Policies Global inflation is expected to decrease, reflecting central bank rate hikes for price stability and growth support. Geopolitical Impacts Populist policies and recent elections in the US and EU pose financial policy and market stability challenges. Transition to a New Monetary Order impacts interest rates, asset values, and lending environments globally. EU regulatory changes affect financial markets and trading regulations, emphasizing compliance. Digital Transformation Focus on digital assets and CBDCs outside the US signals shifts in financial transactions and regulations. Blockchain technology enhances financial security and transparency, notably in DeFi platforms. AI integration reshapes financial services, optimizing operations and decision-making processes. Digital and open banking experiences exponential growth, fostering fintech innovations and collaborations. RegTech solutions powered by AI help firms manage regulatory obligations efficiently across jurisdictions.Longby spytradingpro0
ES1! morning updatePrice action in orange ellipse appears corrective, and in that light I feel more confident that the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50 was a complete impulse wave. From here, I see two possibilities: the bullish count (green) would have us at or near the low of today, with a move back up towards 5154.25 to complete a (B) wave; the bearish count (red) would have us continue lower today and break the low of 4963.50 with impulsive price action.by discobiscuit0
SP500 - corrupt money supply - inflationThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.by DHLawrence2
SP500 & a corrupt money supplyThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe. by DHLawrenceUpdated 0
ES May 1st PlayMay first will be economy news all day market will be expected to be red .Shortby Seanpatel311
Long ON SP500 SP500 open with a gap down. going for a long position before it continues its trend downwards. Entry: 5052.25 Stop Loss: 5040.75 Depending on how movement is my first take profit is ( 5072.25 ) Full Take Profit: 5086.25 Longby DTrades01012
2024-04-30 - a daily price action after hour update - sp500 Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment End of month proved to be volatile and bears made clear that the last bounce was a lower high and we are on our way to new lows. My overall market thesis for the last 2 weeks was, that this bounce should be a W2 and we are in a new bear trend. Now bears need strong selling to break through the previous lows and make even the last bulls cover for their life’s. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Not as weak as dax but same play. Retest of 5000 is next and retest of 4963 highly likely if we break 5000. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 5000 - 5150 bull case: Here bulls could not touch 5150 again and gave up on US open with a big bear bar similar to EU open. Bulls tried to stay above 5125 but failed and then we just crashed down to 5065 and closed at the lows. Best bulls can hope for here is to find support around 5000. bear case: Huge day for the bears as in dax. Big round number as support coming up with 5000 and we will see how long it can hold. Can my bear trend thesis be wrong and 5000 won’t be broken and we range 5000-5150 for many weeks? Absolutely. I gave enough reasoning over the past weeks why I think we are in the new bear trend. Bears need to keep it below 5100. short term: Down to sideways - 5000 will probably be big support and we can move sideways first again medium-long term: Full bear below 5000. Lower high W2 is in, We are in W3 and my target for W5 is around 4600. trade of the day: Short, no ifs and buts. Just sell anywhere and have an appropriate stop.Shortby priceactiontds0
ES is FALLING!Its only the 2nd day of the trading week and this is how our weekly chart looks! ES price action fell to close a globex gap at 5082 today in preparation for FOMC day tomorrow May 1! We will I believe we could continue down as low as 4934 depending on the data this week. 4934 is supported by a weekly FVG close at that level. Its a great time to buy puts on SPY on short! by RandiMichelle0
SP500 demand zonesThis is a quick update on daily vs weekly demand zones. I also kept my demand zone from the past that was noted from May 23'. We are at the start of the buy zone on the daily. I did look back and we are about at the average correction for a bull market correction for tech driven indices. I believe this stops soon if Apple and Amazon earnings are neutral or bullish. Otherwise we correct to 4800 over the coming weeks. The 20 EMA is also noted as a strong area of support. Longby Apollo_CB0
ES updateMentioned this in the NQ post, ES is not oversold yet on RSI or MFI. Recommend waiting until tomorrow to buy the dip, though gap direction may depend on earnings. AMZN tonight, QCOMM tomorrow, AAPL on Thu afternoon.by hungry_hippoUpdated 11
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, within a consolidation period likely followed by a breakout. Exercise caution and patience with trades. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127-30, 5121 (major), 5108 Major Supports: 5083 (major), 5067 (major), 5039 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5136, 5150-55 (major), 5176 (major), 5191 (major) Major Resistances: 5205-5208 (major), 5230, 5246 (major), 5270-75 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Breakout: Anticipate a breakout from the current 5120-5155 consolidation range. Plan accordingly for both bull and bear breakout scenarios. Long Opportunities: Prioritize failed breakdowns at 5121 for potential long entries. Focus on bids within the current range and knife-catches on major supports if deep flushes occur (5067, 5039). Short Opportunities: Due to the potential for a strong breakout, approach shorts cautiously. The 5176 and 5191 levels offer shorting opportunities, but with increased risk in the bullish environment. Utilize level-to-level profit-taking. Risk Management: Implement disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile period. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5120 support within the current consolidation range is crucial for bulls. Breakout and Retest: Look for an upside breakout from the 5155 resistance area, followed by a successful retest for further confirmation. Targeting Higher Levels: A breakout could trigger an upward move, focusing on targets at 5176, potentially extending to 5191. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5121 signals a downward move. Watch for a bounce/failed breakdown as an entry point for a short position, with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 30th, 2024 Market Dynamics and Corporate Earnings Global Activity: High activity with 1,300 company earnings reports expected; Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting closely watched for rate decision insights. Sector Highlights: Tech sector leads with major gains by Nvidia and Super Micro; Financials gain on rate cut hopes; Real Estate and Energy sectors lag. Economic Indicators and Central Bank Decisions FOMC Meeting: Coming up on 5/1 Jobs Data: Upcoming release expected to influence Fed's future decisions, especially on inflation control. International Markets Asian Markets: Mixed responses with Japan's Nikkei up and Shanghai Composite down. European Central Bank: Anticipated to follow Fed with potential rate cuts amid inflation challenges. Analysts' Projections and Market Sentiment Future Rate Cuts: Initially expected in mid-2024, now possibly delayed due to persistent high inflation. Investor Outlook: Cautiously optimistic but prepared for potential volatility due to uncertain monetary policy outcomes.Longby spytradingpro2
US Stocks Ichimoku and Volume Profile AnalysisStocks have survived a standard Ichimoku cloud pullback and the bull run off Volume Profile support of 4979. Price has recovered up to the 50% Retracement (Kijun Sen) of the move down. 5148 = 50% Retracement Resistance and price this week is responding to it. The Volume Profile Resistance above it is 5167. These are the levels to conquer to resume the 2024 bull trend.by norok25
ES UpdateMFI overbought but RSI is not yet. Guessing pump and dump tomorrow, I'll wait.by hungry_hippo10
It seems that the downward trend is still dominant It seems that the It seems that the downward trend is still dominant and there is a higher probability of a decrease and there is a higher probability of a decreaseShortby forkman0
Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, following a multi-day rally. However, proceed with caution as a period of price discovery and more complex action is likely after the strong movement. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127 (major), 5117, 5102 (major), 5089 (major), 5082 Major Supports: 5068-72 (major), 5043 (major), 5034 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5150 (major), 5168-5171 (major), 5185 (major) Major Resistances: 5206-5208 (major), 5230, 5245 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Anticipated: Expect a period of consolidation and complex price action after the recent surge. Overtrading can lead to losses. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5127 or 5102 as potential long entry points. Prioritize bids within the current range for a cautious approach. Short Opportunities: Target the 5185 level (resistance of the downtrend channel) for possible short positions. Consider level-to-level profit-taking within the range. Risk Management: Maintain disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile environment. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5127 or 5102 major supports is crucial for bulls to maintain control. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5150/5168-71 zones for a potential run to the next major target, 5185. Adding on Strength: In an ultra-bull case, look for bull flagging above 5127 to add exposure in anticipation of an upward move. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5102 could trigger a deeper retracement. True bear case resumes with a break below 5033. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 29th, 2024 Equity Market Overview Global Performance: S&P 500 and Dow Jones rose over 10% in Q1 2024; European and Asian indices also hit highs. Sector Trends: AI boom fuels tech sector gains; value stocks participate more in market rallies. Bond Market Dynamics Interest Rates: Delayed rate cuts by the Federal Reserve impacting bond yields. Performance: High yield bonds outperforming investment-grade due to favorable risk-return amidst volatile rates. Key Economic Indicators Inflation and Sentiment: Persistent inflation concerns; consumer sentiment improves slightly. GDP and Employment: Strong GDP growth and employment figures support bullish equity market sentiment. Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment Short-Term: Continued growth expected, but potential for increased volatility. Long-Term: Earnings growth modest in sectors like IT, significant in "Magnificent 7" companies. Federal Reserve Policy and Market Outlook Fed Stance: Maintains rates; cautious on inflation. Market Impact: S&P 500's performance influenced by rate cut expectations; market may face limited growth post-rate cuts.Longby spytradingpro1
ES Weekly Levels (Apr29-May3)Here are my levels for this the coming week. ES had a sharp reversal last week bouncing 2.56% after trading down for 3 weeks in a row. Dispite the strong rally the risk of bearish continuation remains high. A rejection at the top of the red box could easily send price into a compound corrective move down to the 200 sma and the July 27th high. Much depends on the reaction to FOMC, NFP as well as the earnings reports from AAPL and AMZN. SUMMARY ES posted a weekly gain of 2.56% after trading in a huge 140 pt range ES made a sharp reversal back above the 2021 high and the 9 & 55 emas ES had the best weekly gain since Nov 2023. R2 = LTF 618 Fib RT (5190) R1 = 21 ema/ 55 ema (5141) S1 = 9 ema (5109) S2 = 2012 high (5092) Bias remains down to sideways as the upward trendline has been broken. 200 SMA price magnet in play Compound corrective move down to the July 27th high & 200 SMA is possible FOMC Rate decision on Wed & Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday Heavy week of earnings ahead including reports from AAPL, AMZN, MA, AMD, COIN & NET. Global event risk is high Sell in May effect in play. RSI 47.80| VIX at 15.02 | 10 year 4.66% by WadeYendall2
S&P500 (ES1!, SPX500, SP500) From Bullish to BEARISH1. Price swept a lot of low resistance lows with this bearish impulse, and created a new Swing Low. This is the External move. 2. Price retraced to the -FVG, a premium PD Array. This is an Internal Range Liquidity move. Expecting price to wick up past the PDH, but close inside the -FVG, and potentially end the retracement. Bearish PA should follow. Price is in premium prices now, as it crossed the Equilibrium of the trading range. Buys are not recommended until the price action shows a significant +BOS with a strong bullish close. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!Shortby RT_Money0
ES S&P500 Increasingly BearishThe S&P 500 is officially bearish as of Fridays close according to my intuition and strategy. I will be watching closely this week - targeting shorts around 5240. I expect to see a test the 5060-5000 level. A daily close above 5240 would be bullish and invalidates this idea. In the mid-term, I'm targeting key levels of interest to buy once this dip finds legs. Shortby GrayTrader01Updated 2