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MGCQ2022 trade ideas

#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: 4 consecutive good bull bars last week and we are on our way to 2800. I have two trend lines pointing to at least 2760, so the last thing I want to be here is bearish. Clearly W5 of this rally and we will likely see bigger profit taking into year end or early next year. Quote from last week: comment: Longer pullback than expected and stopped out on a long but got back in since 2620 held and bulls rallied hard on Friday. I do think it’s bullish only and we will likely make a new ath and also a decent chance to break above again for 2750+. comment: Bullish it was and still is. 2800 is the next big target to hit. After 4 very strong consecutive bull bars, you can not hold a bearish thought while the market makes daily new ath. Two upper bull trend lines are still to hit, one of them leads to 2760 and the other to 2800. On the monthly chart we are in a 8 month micro channel upwards without any selling pressure. At some point market will pull back more and we will see a correction but until we see much greater selling pressure, we can not trade on hope. current market cycle: very strong bull trend key levels: 2650 - 2800 bull case: All arguments are on the bull side and they have a big round number ahead. Any pullback will likely be bought, unless some event would change that. Invalidation is below 2650. bear case: Bears got nothing right now. If they somehow break below the most recent trend line below 2650, that would be a start but they would have to keep the market below 2700 then and make it go more sideways longer before it can reverse more. They know it’s the third leg up (W5) and 2800 is the obvious target. Most will likely not do much until we hit it. Invalidation is above 2820. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 2700+ → Last Sunday we traded 2676 and now we are at 2730. Perfect outlook, hope you made some. short term: Bullish for 2800. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None chart update: Added latest bull gap
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD is Setting Up For LONGS! Prepare to BUY!Price is pulling back to the Daily +FVG, which is nested in the Weekly +FVG, which is intersected by the Swing High. Three strong confluences for a high probability LONG. Be patient, look for price to contact the POI, and then let your valid buy setup form. Let the rest unfold. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Editors' picks
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
20
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST OCT. 14 - 18th: GOLD | XAUUSD Gold is still bullish, and BUYS are still the best bet. There is the potential for an overdue retracement, but I suspect it will be limited. The formation of a +FVG will support higher prices, and we may get that on Monday's close. Patience.... Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
Gold Flashing Warning SignsGold Flashing Warning Signs: Why We’re Taking a Cautious Short Position Today, our Commitment of Traders (COT) strategy triggered a short trade on gold. Yes, we know—shorting gold at all-time highs feels like swimming upstream. But if you’ve been with us long enough, you know we don’t follow the crowd. We follow the data. And the signals? Well, let’s just say they’re getting hard to ignore. To clarify, this setup wasn’t made on a whim. We got the green light when key technical indicators—Momentum, the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO), and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI)—all confirmed a bearish divergence on the Daily timeframe. Here’s a closer look at what’s guiding our trade: 1. Commercial Traders Are on High Alert Commercial players—those who deal with gold at its core—are positioned short like we haven’t seen in over three years. They’re the steady hands here, and their caution is hard to overlook. It suggests that even in a market frenzy, they’re seeing potential downsides others may not be watching. 2. Retail Speculators Are Leaning Long While not at full extremes, small speculators are heavily positioned on the long side, nearing a six-month high. This confidence could mean trouble—when retail traders load up, it can mark the late stages of a rally. We’re paying attention to this; it’s a classic contrarian indicator. 3. Open Interest Is Surging—But Why? Open interest in gold futures has been climbing steadily. That’s usually a good thing for bulls, but here’s the twist: large and small speculators have been driving this uptrend. If these buyers lose momentum, who’s left to push prices higher? 4. Sentiment Is Peaking—But Is It Too High? Market sentiment is at a bullish extreme, with advisors optimistic about gold’s rally. High sentiment can be a double-edged sword. It often means there are few people left to buy, and that’s when reversals happen. It’s a classic market psychology moment—and we’re taking note. 5. Gold Is Pricey Relative to Treasuries Using our WillVal indicator, we see that gold is hitting valuation peaks compared to treasuries. This isn’t an automatic sell, but it’s a signal that the precious metal might be pushing its limits. 6. ADX Shows Intense Momentum, But There’s Caution Our ADX indicator is above 40, confirming strong momentum. But we’re cautious here—when the market gets this heated, we often see shifts. Combined with those commercial short positions and high investor sentiment, this momentum could be due for a reality check. 7. Bearish Spread Divergence Is Emerging There’s divergence between the front-month and next-month gold contracts, a sign that underlying strength may be weakening. It’s a small detail, but one that hints the rally might be overextended. 8. Supplementary Indicators Aren't Looking Optimistic Rounding things out, our Insider Acc/Dis, %R, and Stochastic indicators are all showing bearish signals. We don’t rely on these alone, but together, they reinforce the caution signals we’re already seeing. The Bottom Line Shorting gold during a run like this isn’t a decision we take lightly. But the COT data, market positioning, and sentiment suggest a cooling-off period could be near, and the trade was triggered today via the divergence on the daily. Markets have a way of humbling even the most confident predictions, so we approach this trade with an open mind and a healthy dose of caution. If you’re interested in seeing how we analyze trades and approach market extremes, stay tuned.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
what next 77000 or book profit and again 80000 life highALL TGT1 AND TGT2 AND TGT3👍almost achieved again Today also in Gold and Silver—See Today’s sell call on few hours ago See....Gold....made a low 78650(DEC) range See...Silver....made a low 94800(DEC) range WHAT NEXT???—Major Movement.....Before 10pm What next wait 78000/80000....Gold....Before 10pm What next wait 92000/98000...Silver....Before 10pm Today’s sell call profit—+175200/lot again Today’s.....and +18lakh/10lot Today’s sell call......Gold and Silver profit before 8pm(See Today’s sell call in Gold and Silver on few hours ago)......👍
MCX:GOLD1!
by HirenGarasondia
2024-10-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - 2800 is close, nothing is stopping this. BTFD. I expect bigger profit taking around 2800. gold comment: I gave the 2800 target a long long time ago and we are close. Only question is, where do you enter new longs? We have a decent channel upwards where the lower trend line is around 2760. Market also respected the 1h 20ema today. We have a big bull trend line from July right above us and that should be resistance until clearly broken. I can’t see this breaking above it, so I would rather buy on pullbacks and I do think there is a very good chance we will see a bigger correction once we reach 2800. current market cycle: late bull trend key levels: 2750 - 2800 bull case: Bulls want 2800, that’s it. Any pullbacks should stay inside the current channel and not go below 2760. The rally has become climactic and we can expect a pullback/correction soon. Invalidation is below 2760. bear case: Bears see the pattern which lead to around 2800 and it’s a big obvious number. Not many want to short this until market has reached it and they see more bulls taking profits. That is why we are currently in a big hurry to get to the target and bears are not fighting it. On the monthly chart this rally is beyond climactic already and I seriously don’t know if Gold ever printed bigger gains in 4 months or even 4 straight big green months at all. This price action is unsustainable and we will see a bigger correction over the next months. Invalidation is above 2810. short term: Bullish and you should not look for shorts until we have touched 2800 and bears build much greater selling pressure. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the breakout around US open above 2770, which was a textbook breakout and good for 160 ticks. Also legit was buying the 1h 20ema, which could have been more profitable but with more risk since your stop had to be wider.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
goldthesis is long, invalidated if unable to hold above pdc at 2755. AM BSL taken out already this afternoon. Gap as been filled from yesterday. 2757.6 will be the telltale if we want to continue to push towards 2760, and London BSL toward all time high. If AM BSL is unable to hold then look to short toward AM SSL AND ASIA SSL. Daily was able to defend 10/25 lows wicking up creating another doji, also an inside bar. We stay in range until we break above 2760.86 or below. The bearish marubozu on 10/23 has had us trading inside a daily bar since then.
COMEX:GC1!
by zaytoven000
The 3 Reasons To BUY GoldNow lets look at the gold price... The sentiment on Gold is very bearish but despite that There is a lot of accumulation happening in the futures markets This could be that investors are expecting rapid high inflation Because of the drop interest rates.This could make banks print more US Dollars to inflate there economies This inflation will give power to the dollar but unfortunately the buying power of the poor and middle class will be affected. Gold is very good for preserving your buying power in an economy that is heavily dependent on currencies, 3 Reasons To Buy Gold COMEX:GC1! : -It will store your value -It will protect you against inflation -It will store your buying power The Central Bank of Canada last week cut its interest rates to more than 50 Basis points If this is not a sign of inflation or a recession then I dont know what is. Rocket Boost This content to learn more. Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies. Because you will lose money wether you like it or not
COMEX:GC1!Long
by lubosi
Micro Gold Futures - Long 4H, Previous Price Action MirroringTrade Setup: Continuation to a range fill Entry Setup: Previous low breakout OR flip depends on how steep the bottom wick is of next 1H is. Entry Price: not filled yet SL: 2728 (bellow previous 4H low) TP: 2746 (next major support level, there is an option to take profit on daily flip 2748.9) SL TO B/E: Moving SL to breakeven when price will tap 2744 as it is a minor support. I think that there is a high chance that price will tap 2746 level before making any other move: 1.We are mirroring the move from 22 October. 2.Daily candle does not have top wick. 3.Even if price continue down bellow 2729 level, i think we need to tap 2746 as a liquidity grab before heading further down. Did not entered yet, Waiting for next 1H to provide a entry setup.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by GamblingTux
MGC1! Short Setup - Micro Gold Futures Short (Short Term Trade)Trade Setup: Continuation to a range fill Entry Setup: Previous low breakout OR flip depends on how steep the top wick is. Entry Price: not filled yet SL: 2757.2 (previous 4H high) TP: 2729.2 (next major support level) SL TO B/E: Moving SL to breakeven when price will tap 2734 as it is a minor support. Look like price is going to mirror the move from 21 October. Just got 4H Closure bearish after rejected from 2752-2757 level. Last time price was rejected there he tapped 2729.2. We finished high impact news for today. I`m waiting for next 1H open to create top wick tap 2745-2746 then ill take the flip or the previous 1H lows breakout as a sell stop. Did not submitted trade yet, waiting for next 1H open to provide the entry setup.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by GamblingTux
Ideas inspired by Holy People Jesus n God I can honestly say I do not know to much about how to explain the strategies and how it has been preforming. All I can say Jesus Christ God and The Holy Spirit been haveing a plan for redemption so pleads be thankful and praise them because they thought about us all and we are blessed to bee in the presents of The Most High Holy of Hollys God of Israel and His Son Our KIng Lord and Savior Jesus Christ and The Holy Spirit. So please believe have faith and repent sins. Amen i would appreciate some help understanding how to communicate better with you all because I haven’t been keeping up with my emails . Send me a Wela
COMEX:GCJ2025Long
by Bossolini