Traders,
In this video I'll cover the spikes we are witnessing in the dollar, fear, and precious metals (specifically gold). We'll discuss what this might indicate to us from a geo-political/macro-economic perspective. Inflation continues to tick up. The SEC continues to attack big players (tokens/coins) in the crypto space without providing rules for how to play...
I've used 3 indicators, namely, MACD, RSI & BB width to show the idea of momentum building up in the background. If VIX spikes that's definitely not a good thing for the markets.
Volatility is a mean reverting animal so its just simple statistics that a big spike is coming.
TIMEFRAME: If vix starts to pop this week, the rally could end 3-4 weeks from now.
The volatility index is very important to us forex traders as it helps us quantify risk. Using the put and call options in the S & P 500 companies, we can get strong signals to when the stock market is changing trends from bullish to bearish and vice versa.
In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities.
You...
Analyzing the Vix and discussing why we the markets could be in for a surprise in the next 1-2weeks as the vix hits major support.
However if no surprise arises, and the vix confirms below key support, we may continue an upward grind.
When in doubt, choose positive carry.
Dividend paying companies that are lagging. Good and bad.
Good because they are priced with less optimism.
Bad because the price my correctly reelect to opportunity going going forward.
Either way, I like looking at dogs of the dow and dogs of the sp500 to do research.
Ive found many gems that way, even if I choose not...
Future prices are unknowable and unpredictable. But measuring current conditions and valuations are informative. Tracking vix volatility and using it to make better decisions in my experience has been helpful.
Warning: Avoid buying options are generally costly. Options are a form of borrowing money to use leverage provided by an option seller.
Vix measures option premium levels and is associated with large fear uncertain times. Bottoms in markets often have high vix level indicating investors desire for protection and large moves in the market.
TimeStamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 1:03
NDQ,DJI,SPY 5:12
BTC 6:24
DOGE 8:38
HD 10:50
DKNG 14:00
META 15:18
PYPL 16:18
Just an overview since the last video and some thoughts moving forward.
I hope you all are doing well. Sorry for not being on as much as I used to. I hope to be on more in the future.
