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ISHARES TRUST US TREASURY 20+ YEAR BOND ETFISHARES TRUST US TREASURY 20+ YEAR BOND ETFISHARES TRUST US TREASURY 20+ YEAR BOND ETF

ISHARES TRUST US TREASURY 20+ YEAR BOND ETF

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Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Tumble with -15% crash ??On the above monthly chart price action has seen a nice 25% rise since November 2023. A number or reasons now exist to be bearish. Incidentally, with all the recently published ideas on Tradingview, Without Worries appears to be the only one who is bearish. The reasons? 1) Broken market structure confirmation. 2) Active price action resistance. 3) Rising wedge. A breakdown confirmation will see price action correct 17%. 4) $76 is the next support level, which is incidentally the measured move forecast by the bearish wedge identified in (3). Is it possible price action continues to rise as most of Tradingview is calling for? Sure Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by without_worries
20
Huge inverted head and shoulders in bonds.I don't track bonds all that much, but as a general rule when I see scores of people all talking about the same thing (Which they do not normally talk about), I suspect that idea might have gotten too popular for its own good and look to see if there are any obvious fade patterns. I looked at TLT a while ago and seen the possible head and shoulders. Have just been waiting for a suitable capitulation to support to enter. Long now.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by holeyprofit
6
TLT - Golden CrossThe Golden Cross is the Creme de Crop when it comes to longer minded individuals. I'm liking this 20Y bond ETF for the reasons listed on the chart. . . . . . . . . . . . Mark 8:36 - For what does it profit a man to gain the whole world and forfeit his soul? Acts 4:11-12 - This Jesus is the stone that was rejected by you, the builders, which has become the cornerstone. And there is salvation in no one else, for there is no other name under heaven given among men by which we must be saved.”
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by rhall6451
TLT - Risk Off Is Dead (For Now At Least)As risk on gravy train continues post FED interest rate cut 🚞, it is certainly worth noting that risk off bonds are becoming significantly bearish. Notice that TLT 20 year bond ETF has seen a significant failure printing a 3 wave pattern with a slightly higher high to then collapse back down. Also notice that it is a failure through the 20 month MA. And this is printing a very bearish Evening Star Pattern. I say "very" because the current candle is printing a significant bearish engulf of previous bullish candles. Overall this is a very bearish look and I think this has a reasonable chance of re-testing the lows to print a Wyckoff ST Secondary Test. Its not impossible that there could be another wave down if US government debt falls further out of market favour. That is less likely I would suggest but never say never 🧐. Not advice
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by dRends35
6
TLT +50% Every Time This Happens and It's Happening NowTLT/SPX Monthly RSI (8 Period Close) It makes sense to analyze the most common institutional portfolio allocation (Equities and Bonds) rather than Equities or Bonds separately. Most investors focus on Fed Funds, unemployment, the business cycle, rates, to analyze the bond market. But those metrics are poorly correlated to returns at best. When you focus on allocation, as in Bonds plus Equities, you start making some progress. That's exactly what this chart represents; where the money is going and when. Hint: it's going into Bonds. Soon. BBOT (Bonds Blast Off Time) is here
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by MarkLefevre
2
Opening (IRA): TLT December 20th 88 Covered Call... for a 86.84 debit. Comments: High IVR at 74.8% plus weakness. Looking to grab both the November 1st and December 1st dividends here while I twiddle my thumbs waiting for the general election to pass, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 86.84 Max Profit (Excluding Dividends): 1.16 Max Profit (With Dividends): 1.80 ROC at Max Excluding Dividends: 1.34% ROC at Max (With Dividends): 2.07% Immediately post-fill, I put in a GTC order to take profit at .20 short of max or 87.80, but may take if off after the December dividend drops if something more "sexy" gives me that come hither look.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Bad day for TLTTLT has lost its uptrend, and lost the 200D EMA. There's a very long term support line at $94, perhaps we'll get a bounce here that keeps things level until we get the next rate cut. I'm out of TLT for now, will look to rebuy when I see something that looks like a bottom, or around Halloween in anticipation of a run up leading into the Nov FOMC. Anyone have ideas on why TLT is falling during a period of rate cuts? Are we so far ahead of the game that we know rate cuts will ignite inflation, which will push TLT down? .. or is the international community pulling away from US treasuries, reducing demand.. and the next wave of inflation gets driven by global TBill sales? Your thoughts are welcome below.
NASDAQ:TLT
by JebusLives
13