I don't really like the risk/reward ratio. However, the SL level is based on the certificate I'd like to trade (WKN: CK4E6R), but it's probably a good idea to take losses once AA breaks above $11.00.
Price has broken-out of a a bullish falling wedge pattern on heavy volume, first target was at 9.93 resistance level, and a break above this resistance may extend the upside to 10.90 next resistance level. Overall, I have a bullish bias for the stock.
This pattern has been forming for some time now, and I've been watching for any signs of strength to buy into this security as a long term play/investment. Unfortunately, I still cannot see the light at the end of the tunnel to warrant any serious investment; despite my reluctance to commit any size to this, a small technical play may be worth a punt.
Monitoring...
Emerging trend in basic material stocks. One of the best long opportunities is with Alcoa. Benefits from the airline consolidation and Boeing producing more airplanes.
I've been watching this for several weeks. The flags on this chart indicates anomalies between price action and volume indicating to me Insider buying. I've noted quite a few in past weeks. As it approached resistance I anticipated a pull back especially since it coincided with media reports of AA getting pulled from the Dow 30. It popped over a long established...
Alcoa closed below 8 dollars in June for the first time since 2009, Price now appears to be recovering nicely here off it's recent lows, as price bounced off neckline support yesterday despite being a tough day in the market. Next resistance is at 8.25 and then the yellow downtrend line. Looking for a long target near 8.60.
AA is still in neutral territory, but once the WMA 21 is broken we shall see much lower rates.
I prefer this as volume fell considerably at the resistances Gann 2/1 and upper Bollinger.
Using clones to predict timing of the next peak in AA with this this chart. In the green and orange shaded boxes I am looking for the mid point of the cycle. In the next set of blue and red boxes ,now that I have the mid point identified, I am using half cycle clones to predict the next peak. Finally, the last red and blue set of boxes I am attempting to predict...
Rio Tinto is one of the biggest extracting companies, of aluminium, so it has a direct correlation with its price. We can observe higher highs and lows. (On the aluminium price a double bottom formation is almost finalized, a break might bring further appreciation)
Alcoa and Aluminum Corporation of China Limited, have also a direct correlation with the aluminium...
