This looks like a sure bet to me (and it's a good hedge against the SM Energy CALL SPREAD).
Buy: Dec '16 $22.50 PUT
Sell: Dec '16 $20.00 PUT
Initial outlay: $120 (net debit)
Maximum risk: $120 at a price of $22.50 at expiry
Maximum return: $130 at a price of $20 at expiry
BE at expiry: $21.30
Just a first test to see how usable TV is when it comes to option trading idea.
Buy: Dec '16 $125.00 PUT
Sell: Dec '16 $120.00 PUT
Initial outlay: $215 (net debit)
Maximum risk: $215 at a price of $125 at expiry
Maximum return: $285 at a price of $120 at expiry
BE at expiry: $122.85
Downtrend channel is broken, stochastics reversed above 50 and CCI should cross the zero line tomorrow.
First target is at 245, then I expect a pullback to 237 and finally the price should jump back to the highs. AMZN rallied every year (except 2000) to new highs from mid/end November to December.
MSFT has two strong support levels on the downside. Buying zone is around 27.30 - 28-30. Besides that Windows 8 will hit the market this week and likely push the stock higher. Good profit level will be around 30.00 - 31.00, stop level is at 26.50 - 27.00.