I was looking for a move lower for DAX yesterday and we got the move (). Levels worked perfect despite the somewhat choppy movement (DAX was strong despite weakness in the US indices). The strong level below held perfectly while the level above also provide a good short during the US session and mentioned in the group chat.
If I look at the daily candle, price...
Good evening and i hope you are well.
Today most markets showed some restraint and bulls actually began taking profits, which is very unusual for the last weeks, to say the least. We don’t know if bulls will be more cautious buying at the highs this time and we go more sideways or bulls will continue the pump further.
I will give an update on Bitcoin tomorrow on...
Lets see what could happen here.
The window dressing is ending and the candles already showing weakness.
we can try to go even further down in hope that retail trader panicsell. (Longsqueeze)
Exactly 3 months ago (December 06 2023, see chart below), we set a 17800 Target on DAX (DE40) and the index hit that level yesterday:
At the time DAX was the first major stock index to hit new All Time Highs (ATH) and as we mentioned it "sent a message to indices globally". And followed they did, as all markets followed this lead and rose aggressively.
This...
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Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP
Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level and Elliot waves
Support & Resistance are set by the...
GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 17817.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour...
On Friday we saw a change in the strength of DAX as it hit new ATH but came down after while US indices was stronger and rallied to ATH after. Some rotation that is, given how DAX was rallying the days prior, while US indices, especially on Thursday, dipped and recovered, setting up for the continuation on Friday.
DAX I gave a long from bottom of PZ but DAX hit...
Good evening and i hope you are well.
I let my thoughts go wild this week so have my tl;dr here:
tl;dr: IMO this is the end of the long ongoing bull trend we had and the climactic moves at the end are not as rare as many think. That does not help you with shorts right now. Scalp long where big or many consecutive bull bars appear and wait for bears to show up...
As you can see from the chart, every time the price is liquidated, it immediately starts to rise again. I expect a resumption of liquidity, as shown on the chart, to lead to a recovery.
In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. This results in two possibilities: we are now working on a wave ((3)) or we are close to finishing a wave ((1)).
DAX is approaching the 16 month HH Zone while being vastly overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 76.873, MACD = 201.900, ADX = 41.880). The 1D CCI shows that we may be entering a period of volatility similar to what followed after the May 19th 2023 High, which initially resulted into a -6.42% correction. Based on that, our bearish target is near the S1 level (TP =...
DAX is approaching its sell zone in the weekly time frame, and due to the filling of the time frame, we can consider the possibility of reacting to this zone.
Good evening and i hope you are well.
I repeated the importance of the monthly close today because my thesis is still that the sp500 e-mini needs daily closes above 5100 for this not being the final move of an unbelievably climactic move. February closed at 5096.5. Does that make my thesis right and we sell off from here? Probably not. Markets mostly going...
In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. This results in two possibilities: we are now working on a wave ((3)) or we are close to finishing a wave ((1)).
Good evening and i hope you are well.
If you follow the dax and maybe some German economic indicators or listen to the German word on the street, you are probably wondering how on earth this market can go higher and print daily new ath’s. Welp, all traders see it's overbought but it still keeps going up. This is absolutely the blow off top and the end of this...
In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. This results in two possibilities: we are now working on a wave ((3)) or we are close to finishing a wave ((1)).
