S&P on the riseChart for S&P is trending bullish. This could be a good time to jump on the bandwagon.Shortby abdulmoeedsiddiqui1
Big rising wedge, keep an eye on the March 31st (Q1) Close!Post Market Close Update (3/27/24): SPX & VIX Analysis 📉 Join us as we dive into the latest insights on the SPX movement and VIX trends. Is market manipulation at play? I believe we will be suppressed on the VIX under 16 through the end of the year due to shady democratic loose money actions before this thing truly lets out, sketchy incentives to only care about getting re elected at the expense of crumbling our economy when prices get unsustainable (inflation!)Shortby candlestickninja2
Performance return since peak-to-trough decline 5 % and more...Performance return since peak-to-trough decline 5 % of price and Performance return since touching the 20 Day EMA in price... by JoaoPauloPires0
US500 Flag broken with strong bullish candle US500 it's been rising since late October. March 20, after a strong candle without a lower shadow, the RSI started showing us an extreme level of overbought signal, and US500 price made a flag pattern. Today after the RSI being again in the middle level made again a similar candle almost without a lower wick, broking the flag. With this, we can see again the RSI below the extreme zone, but above the middle one, following by today's candle that shows strong emotions testing the resitanceLongby AFCapital21Updated 112
S&P 500-time to be cautious?Even in a holiday-shortened week, with little in the way of data, the path of least resistance remains upwards for US equities. The economic backdrop is generally favourable. The US economy is growing at a faster rate than expected, unemployment remains low and the understanding is that interest rates have peaked, even if the timing of future rate cuts remains uncertain, due to the recent uptick in inflation. Against this all is the belief that US stocks are overbought. Certainly, the major indices have rallied a long way in a very short space of time. But this fact is in itself why many believe that there’s still room to the upside. Quite simply, there are still many investors who have felt unable to take on enough long-side exposure to benefit from the rally which began in late October. The relentless nature of the rally, given the absolute lack of any significant pullback since its start, have left many would-be investors stranded and frustrated. There’s been very little selling pressure which has meant that buyers are having to pay up. And as more investors close their eyes, hold their noses and dive in, prices should continue to melt up. This will go on for as long as it will, until we hit the inevitable barrier, which no one can currently see. Once that it hit, there will be an unseemly rush for the exits. For now, with the S&P holding over 5,200, there’s no indication that we are about to see a significant pullback. But as the daily chart shows, prices have broken above the upper channel line of resistance which suggests we’re experiencing the kind of melt-up that often signals that a rally is coming to an end. This could be a time to be cautious, especially as the MACD is flattening out a touch. by TylerNorcross0
Spx500 long. Liquidity Phase, 5min entry (Tier one. Rating B+)Enter after MS to complete Liq Phase. Stop below the low of Liq Grab. RR: 1 to 1Shortby VillFXUpdated 112
Swing Mapping Part 1: Key Principles Welcome to the first instalment of our 3-part series on swing mapping – a highly underestimated technique that can be applied to any market on any timeframe. In Swing Mapping Part 1: Key Principles you will learn: Why it’s the bedrock of all market structure analysis How to swing map in four simple steps Why it’s so important to do it yourself rather than use an automated tool Other key benefits of swing mapping What is Swing Mapping? As the name suggests, swing mapping involves identifying swings within market structure to understand the dynamics of price movement. This may seem too simple to be of much real-world value, but as is often the case in trade, seemingly simple and robust tools can be highly effective and highly nuanced. When done correctly on a real-time forward-looking basis, swing mapping has the potential to be integrated into many different trading strategies. Defining a Swing A swing is simply an uninterrupted high or low. At its core a swing is a three-bar sequence in which the middle bar represents a turning point in the market. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Not all swings are equal. The more bars either side of the swing high or low, the larger the peak or trough in the market – the more significant the turning point. Swings are the bedrock of all market structure analysis. Swings define support and resistance, they define if a market is trending higher or lower, they define if a market is in a range, and they help to define if volatility is contracting or expanding. Swing Mapping in Action Swing mapping is at its most useful when it’s conducted in real-time on a bar-by-bar basis. For the purposes of outlining the method, we will use the 1min candle chart and map every potential swing. Swing mapping is a 4-step forward looking process: Identify Swing: Identify a swing using the definition provided above (a three-bar sequence in which the middle bar represents a turning point in the market). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Draw Market Structure Line: Once a swing is identified draw a solid horizontal line on your chart. The line remains solid until the market has broken and closed above it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Monitor Response: Should the market break through the solid line you have drawn, change the style of line from solid to dotted. If the market fails to break through your line, keep it on you chart as a solid line for as long as you deem to be valid. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Draw conclusions: Once you’ve repeated steps 1-3 on your chosen trading timeframe, you can then draw important conclusions regarding the market’s current structure. In our example (below), we followed the S&P 500 as it failed to break to new highs for the day then briefly started to trend lower before moving higher to retest the swing highs which has clustered to form a clear resistance level. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Here are just some of the other insights we can gather from mapping swings: Market Bias: Swing mapping allows you to quickly see where the balance of power lies. A sequence of dotted swing high lines indicates that the market is consistently breaking to new highs on the day – signalling a bullish bias. Conversely, if a sequence of dotted swing low lines form, then the market has been consistently breaking to new lows – signalling a bearish bias. And finally, if we start to see full lines for both swing highs and swing lows, this signals that a range is developing. Failure Tests: Failure to break through a swing high or low is the first sign that the market’s current momentum is changing and a new turning point is potentially in place. In our prior examples we saw a small failure test which led to a pullback, here’s the same chart again: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Trend Health: As an uptrend starts to wane, the distance from swing high to swing high tends to shorten. The opposite is true of downtrends. Swing mapping is a great way to identify the health of a trend. As you become better at swing mapping, you will become more adept at recognising the subtle changes in market structure. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results DIY - Do it Yourself There are many tools on the Trading View platform that can do swing mapping for you in real time set to your parameters. However, to maximise the benefits of swing mapping it is highly recommended that you do this process manually yourself as it will quickly build intuition and rapidly improve your knowledge of market structure. Drawing the swing lines, waiting for the market to break them and turning them dotted if broken, drawing conclusions as you build a map of broken and unbroken swings, deciding how long to keep unbroken turning point lines solid and valid on your chart. These are all hugely powerful active learning tasks that have the potential to make you a much better trader. Other Benefits of Swing Mapping Any Market Any Timeframe: Versatile across diverse markets and timeframes, enabling rapid skill acquisition. Real-Time Analysis Without Lag: Provides immediate insights into market structure and price action, facilitating timely decision-making. Enhanced Trade Timing: Identifying responses to market swings in real-time optimises trade entries and exits, maximizing profit potential. Effective Risk Management: Precisely identifies support and resistance levels, aiding in strategic placement of stop-loss orders and risk assessment. Adaptability Across Market Conditions: Versatility to adapt to various market conditions ensures consistent performance. Development of Trading Discipline: Fosters discipline and patience, promoting adherence to predefined rules and strategies. In Swing Mapping Part 2, we delve into precise trade entry techniques leveraging swing mapping without additional indicators. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.Educationby Capitalcom2212
trillion dollar parallel channel price is rising inside a parallel channel once channel breaks everything will change instantly by Sangam-Agarwal0
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-27-2024Four straight down days and S&P 500 closing at its Low yesterday does not bode well for the Bulls. If today closes at its Low again then we could get a pullback. Level to watch: 5290 --- 5292 by traderdan591
SPX Short We're down off a big resistance level and currently into a 76 retracement. Fair chance if we're in a down move we'll see the follow through of it here. Good spot for high RR shorts. Would get out the way quickly if high isn't made in the current area.Shortby holeyprofit8
A bullish interpretation.If the market continues to rise without a large pullback starting soon, then this ending diagonal pattern would be an option. The small caps don't really support this pattern yet.by moneyjeff1333
US500 Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for US500. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5236.6. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5179.2 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderUpdated 113
Elliott Wave 5 Screaming TopYou can see from the chart, starting of Wave 1 in March 2009, till today's Wave 5, I believe S&P is reaching the end of it's five wave cycles. The white line Wave 5 is reaching the Elliott Wave upper trendline channel (yellow). I don't think a "throw over" will happen, for sure, it is probably just one month away from reaching the upper trendline. On the internal of Wave 5, I realized we're only in wave 3 of daily wave, so we still have a short final run. I'm waiting for a final fractal to show up on the monthly chart, and thereafter the great run of S&P will probably come to a final end, and for sure I will not want to be involved in corrective waves (I will short sell), which can be extremely dramatic. I also noticed since Nov 2022 the volume is on a slight decrease, which is a divergence of price, which is not a good sign. What can trigger a S&P crash? Shortby lightning888332
nothing is random.is it a mistake if the inverse of the us30 look like sp500/btcusd ? me i saw a key support broken on the us30... so 2 options the sp500 will crash or (and) the btc go up...by dosadi0
End-of-Quarter sell-off effectAccording to ChatGPT: Yes, end-of-quarter sell-offs are a phenomenon observed in the stock market where investors may sell off their holdings toward the end of a financial quarter. There are several reasons why such sell-offs occur: Portfolio Rebalancing: Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter to maintain their desired asset allocation. If certain stocks have performed well and become overweighted in the portfolio, they may sell some of those stocks to bring the allocation back in line with their strategy. Window Dressing: Fund managers may engage in window dressing at the end of each quarter. This involves buying or selling securities to improve the appearance of their portfolio holdings in reports to clients or shareholders. Quarterly Earnings Reports: Companies typically release their quarterly earnings reports shortly after the end of each quarter. If these reports are disappointing or if there are concerns about future earnings growth, investors may sell off their holdings in those companies. Tax Considerations: Individual investors may engage in tax-loss harvesting toward the end of the quarter to realize losses for tax purposes. This could lead to increased selling pressure on certain stocks. These are just a few reasons why end-of-quarter sell-offs may occur in the stock market. However, it's important to note that not every quarter sees significant sell-offs, and market behavior can vary depending on a wide range of factors including economic conditions, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment.by citsvar1
Phi-Channel Overview of SPX500USDI'm speculating here that if we have topped out on the SPX500, then here are the most prominent levels to note based on a fibonacci phi-channel drawn on the weekly timeframe. I also drew a simple trend line to show the current regime we've been in. It's typical for the market to have a sharp correction/crash of some kind in the spring. At least it has been lately. I am mainly publishing this for my own notes. The long position overlay I have posted is where I believe that the current support and demand for SPX500 is, and below the green area, if price does not bounce within the green area and moves below into the red, then I'd say we are in bear market territory for sure. But I best not get ahead of myself. Not financial advice. Happy Hunting!by cdan41001Updated 113
Clearly the market will cap down,after the market opens up sessiWhat do you think about this guys . 🤔💡💯. Is it gonna break $5259.19 Support level at $6182.69?Longby Sersean_janUpdated 0
Spx500 long. Liquidity Phase, 5min reentry (Tier one. Rating C+)Enter after MS to complete Liq Phase. Stop at 5235.44. RR: 1 to 1 Rating C+ cause it's second trade/. Longby VillFXUpdated 1
Spx500 long. Liquidity Phase, 5min entry (Tier one. Rating B)Enter after MS to complete Liq Phase. Stop below the low of Liq Grab. RR: 1 to 1 Exercise great caution at 9:30 EST as we are likely to enter the market. Rating B cause it's fast entry trade/.Longby VillFXUpdated 112
spx500Pair : SPX500 Index Description : Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line Break of Structure RSI - Divergence Impulse Correction Impulseby ForexDetective5
Just buy this....The legendary S&P500 has started a bullrun and it's unlikely to stop anytime soon. Buy until it dumps. Good luck Longby SwagTrading1
S&P500 wedges and divergenceThe current monthly chart pattern for SPX appears to be an ascending broadening wedge, a bearish pattern contrasting with the prior pattern of a bullish descending broadening wedge which is now mirrored. Evidence of a further decline in momentum is that the monthly RSI shows divergence.by MrAndroid0
SPX 5300 NEXT ?REASONS WHY !! The S&P 500 (SPX) has been a barometer of the U.S. economy and a benchmark for global equity markets. Here are some reasons why we believe it could reach the 5300 mark: Economic Recovery: The U.S. economy is showing signs of robust recovery from the pandemic-induced recession. This recovery is expected to drive corporate earnings growth, which is a key driver of stock prices. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary policy, including low interest rates, is likely to continue supporting the equity market. Low interest rates make stocks more attractive compared to other assets like bonds. Fiscal Stimulus: Government spending and fiscal stimulus measures aimed at reviving the economy could provide a significant boost to various sectors, driving their stock prices up. Technological Advancements: Companies in the technology sector, which have a significant weight in the S&P 500, continue to innovate and grow. This growth can have a positive impact on the overall index. Vaccine Rollout: The successful rollout of COVID-19 vaccines is expected to lead to a strong economic rebound, as businesses reopen and consumers start spending again. Inflation Expectations: Moderate inflation can be good for stocks. It often leads to higher prices for goods and services, which can translate into higher corporate profits.Longby NYRUNSGLOBAL0