Spx500 long. Liquidity Phase, 5min entry (Tier one. Rating A++)Enter after MS to complete Liq Phase. Stop below the low of Liq Grab. RR: 1 to 1 UPD: Exercise great caution at 9:30 EST as we are likely to enter the market.Longby VillFXUpdated 4
Spx500 long. Liquidity Phase 5min (Tier one. Rating A+)Enter after MS to complete Liq Phase. Stop below the low of Liq Grab. RR: 1 to 1Longby VillFXUpdated 0
SPX500USD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 5237.5. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5193.0 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderUpdated 113
SPX: Powell made markets happyDuring the previous period a primary market concern was modestly rising inflation and moving away from 2.0% Fed's target. This could have the implication for the Fed to postpone their rate cuts planned for this year. However, in an after the meeting statement, Fed Chair Powell noted probable three rate cuts during the course of this year, as well as increased FOMC projection on the US GDP growth rate for this year. This narrative was quite supporting market optimism, so the S&P 500 moved to the higher grounds, reaching a new ATH at 5.257. Still, Friday trading session brought a modest relaxation and the index is finishing the week with 2.3% weekly gain at level of 5.234. Tech industry is again in the spotlight of the market, but the semiconductor industry is following. This was one of the major gainers during the previous week. Increasing number of analysts are voicing that there is a high concentration among the seven tech companies which are dominating the market and the US indices, including S&P 500. At the same time, real estate and the financial industry were among the worst weekly performers, where the real estate sector continues to be hardly hit by increased interest rates. Market continues to move with high levels of optimism, which might support the US indices to further explore the new all time highest levels in the coming period, regardless of the fact that they are moving within a highly overbought momentum since the beginning of this year.by XBTFX12
SPX MARCH WEEK 5 OUTLOOK - Daily - looks long. however a pullback is required. Origin - better information here. uncertain as long as price remains in this range. we'll look for longs once price holds above **5255.47**(low probability). and shorts below 5189. don't think it's the best asset to trade this week. by Osiris9922
Third TouchPoint of interest broken waiting for the 3rd touch on the trendline and we go up as per concept 3rd touch concept.Longby iwasbornrich226
SPX500 Short From Resistance! SPX500 went up and Retested the horizontal Resistance of 5147.42 From where we are already Seeing a move down So I think that we will See a further move down ! Shortby kacim_elloittUpdated 1118
S&P500 H4 / Possible retracement until 5100 Hello Traders! I expect a bearish S&P500 as it sets a new ATH. Taking into consideration the DXY position at the moment, I expect a strong bullish momentum on DXY, respectively bearish US indices. I expect a retracement or a consolidation at the FIB levels. Shortby GoodTradeST3
US500HI Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. The way I told you, you have to trade like this and you will have more profit always and you will not be a loss.Longby Arslan_920
Week Ahead Playbook: Rally Rolls On As Normalisation LoomsWhat promised to be a monster week of event risk for financial markets certainly lived up to its billing with headlines galore throughout the last five trading days, as equities and the greenback both kicked higher. Nevertheless, despite the noisy nature of the week, the fundamental narrative has changed little, with the path of least resistance for risk assets continuing to lead higher, as a quieter week awaits. The Week That Was Of course, Wednesday’s FOMC decision was the week’s main event, though in many respects it was one of the most predictable, and even dull, FOMC meetings in recent times. The target range for the fed funds rate was, naturally, kept unchanged at 5.25% - 5.50%, while the accompanying policy statement was also an almost exact carbon copy of that issued after the January decision, confirming that policymakers remain data-dependent, continuing to seek confidence that inflation is returning towards the 2% target before delivering the first rate cut. That rate cut is still on its way, with the latest ‘dot plot’ again pointing to a median expectation for 75bp of easing being delivered this year, albeit while portraying a much tighter dispersion in the dots than the prior iteration. At the same time, and something perhaps overlooked by markets thus far, the 2025, 2026, and longer-run median dots were all revised marginally higher, perhaps an indication that the easing cycle will be a tad shallower than markets presently price. Nevertheless, the core message from the FOMC remains the same, despite three straight hotter-than-expected headline CPI prints, and an upward revision to the Committee’s inflation forecasts in the early part of the projection horizon. That message is that policy normalisation remains the primary focus, with the first rate cut still likely to be delivered in June, following a further pivot in the statement at the May meeting. Hence, with policy still set to ease as the year progresses, and the flexible Fed put remaining alive and well, with larger cuts and/or significant liquidity injections on the table if conditions were to sour significantly enough to require them. The focus for risk, in particular, remains what the Fed can do, not necessarily what the Fed will do; and, with the battle against inflation all-but-over, what the Fed can do is to provide as much policy support as deemed necessary. This, then, should continue to keep a lid on equity vol for the time being, and leave the ‘path of least resistance’ leading to the upside. Incidentally, the S&P is set to close the week with a gain of around 4%, the index’s best week since last November. Further upside seems plausible over both the short- and medium-run. Away from the FOMC, other G10 central banks sung from a relatively similar hymn sheet. The BoE, while keeping rates unchanged, took a modest further dovish step, with the two hawkish dissenters from February falling back in line with the majority of the MPC in preferring to keep Bank Rate on hold, while Governor Bailey noted that market bets on rate cuts, with GBP OIS fully pricing three 25bp reductions by year-end, are “reasonable”. A BoE cut in June, after headline CPI hits the 2% target in spring, seems reasonable. Elsewhere, the ‘summer of easing’ theme was also reiterated by the Norges Bank, who see rates “gradually moving down” as the year progresses, having also maintained rates this week, and by the RBA, who ditched the tightening bias from the March policy statement. The Swiss National Bank (SNB), meanwhile, went one step further, delivering a surprise 25bp rate cut, and becoming the first G10 central bank to ease this cycle, after inflation sunk to the bottom of the SNB’s target band. Quarterly cuts, to keep pace with the ECB, seem likely from here on in, as focus remains on preventing real CHF appreciation. Unsurprisingly, given the unexpected policy action, the Swissie is set to end the week at the foot of the G10 leaderboard, with EUR/CHF having popped to its highest since last July. This easing bias, however, is not shared by all G10 central banks, even if this year is set to see – globally – the most synchronised policy easing cycle since the GFC. It is, of course, the Bank of Japan who continue to buck this trend, with this week seeing the BoJ finally exit almost a decade of negative rates, bringing the global NIRP experiment to an end, delivering a 10bp rate hike, the first since 2007, after strong earnings growth gave policymakers confidence that inflation is once more becoming embedded within the economy. The BoJ also ceased yield curve control (YCC), while also bringing to en end ETF and J-REIT purchases, drawing a line under decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. These steps, though, should be viewed more as a ‘one and done’ move towards normalisation, and likely do not represent the beginning of a prolonged, or aggressive, tightening cycle. While further hikes are plausible, particularly if inflation continues to tick higher, said hikes are likely to be very limited in their extent. Thus, any hope of JPY appreciation by virtue of the BoJ being a hawkish outlier among G10 central banks seem somewhat misplaced, with the JPY set to continue trading as a proxy for Treasuries for some time to come. BoJ aside, and as alluded to earlier, the ‘week that was’ has confirmed the broader direction of travel that monetary policy is set to take over the remainder of the year. While, as noted, this should continue to be a fillip for risk, and keep equity vol subdued, it also simultaneously raises the prospect of some life being breathed back into both the FX and FI arenas. This is by virtue of the policy divergences that will open as policy is eased at a varying pace, and to differing degrees, across developed markets. Said divergences have already become clear this week – with the SNB’s surprise cut a prime example – and will likely become wider, and more obvious, as time progresses. Risks, at this juncture, appear biased towards the ECB, and BoE, delivering a greater degree of easing than markets presently price, while pointing in the opposite direction for the FOMC, with a more hawkish outlook distinctly possible, potentially pushing the first cut back into the summer, particularly if the present labour market tightness persists, and services inflation remains stubbornly high. In such an environment, the dollar should continue to gain ground, particularly against lower-yielders, with dips in the buck set to be relatively shallow, and well-bought. The Week Ahead Turning to the week ahead, which is holiday-shortened owing to Good Friday, and the economic calendar is substantially quieter, with few notable event risks for markets to navigate. The standout release comes on Friday, with the latest US PCE figures, as the core PCE deflator – the FOMC’s preferred gauge of inflationary pressures – is seen remaining unchanged at 2.8% YoY. Of note, the PCE figures are unlikely to be as significantly skewed by rent and shelter costs as the CPI metric, somewhat lessening the risk of an upside surprise. In any case, the report should show a continuation of the relatively bumpy disinflationary trend underway within the US economy, and is unlikely to be a game-changer from a policy point of view. Other noteworthy releases are relatively thin on the ground. A handful of Fed speakers, including Chair Powell, are due, though rhetoric here is highly unlikely to deviate from the script laid out at Wednesday’s post-meeting press conference, and fresh policy hints are likely to be lacking. Sticking with the policy front, the Riksbank are due to announce their latest rate decision. Though no changes are expected, the world’s oldest central bank is likely to follow G10 peers in pointing to easing in the months ahead, with markets pricing a 6-in-10 chance that the first 25bp cut is delivered in May. More broadly, market participants are likely looking further ahead to the next significant risks on the radar – namely, the next US jobs report on 5th April, CPI on 10th April, and the beginning of Q1 earnings season the following week. Until then, with data-flow set to be relatively limited, markets should continue to take the path of least resistance, which continues to lead higher for both the greenback, and global equities.Longby Pepperstone6
SPX OUTLOOK 4h4H on SPX looks hella bearish. Insitutional orderflow looking great. I expect SPX to push lower. What do you think?by curtal10
SPX 6500 happening!I posted this analog nearly 2 years ago and it continues to be incredibly useful for where we are headed - straight up! Looks like we'll see 6500 sometime next year!Longby RockDalio226
SPX500 MACROSPX macro overview of the last 4 years since corona started. Major large events which took place during the period and how price reacted to them. Uptrend continuation projection based on historical price action.Longby DiamondSensei5
im gonna be real with youthis trend line gonna break someday crypto markets also would drawn down. ofc we can dream about a decouple where demand for digital assets would be bigger than potential risky assets drawn down. geopolitics is in a very tense moment. dxy has room to appreciate. US informational warfare also happens though it's currency. FED maintaining it's interest rates or even rise it further could also make a bear case for risky asset. neo finance narratives in crypto could be a good hedge in this context.by XPEPE7770
$spx in expansion phase since Ocotber 2023...Phsychological deep analysis of Market since 2007 GFC up untill final Breakout from "Shadow of Fear) in May 2023...by LotusTrading202
SPX March 15, 24: Ascending Channel, Continue or Break?Since the start of 2024, TVC:SPX has been moving up this ascending channel and currently is right at the lower level. A break down through this line would provide a short signal, while the move up continuing this channel would signal a suitable environment to buy individual stocks. What do you think TVC:SPX will do from here?by longsonvnUpdated 444
SPX500USD continues to go up...Hi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up again for wave 5 of the bigger wave 3. Next week we could see another small move up. Price is dying out but there are still no clear signs of a reversal. So I'll wait for more development. Trade idea: Don't trade at this point. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwaveby EduwaveTrading1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 (Spooz) index has continued to move on to new highs in this week's trading session. The current squeeze movement is posed to target Mean Sup 5177 with the possibility of extending the squeeze to the next Mean Sup 5120. On the upside, the Spooz is aiming for a newly created Key Res level of 5260, which is anticipated to serve as a pushing point to Outer Index Rally 5280. by TradeSelecter3
US500 Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5238.4. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 5187.9 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderUpdated 116
S&P500 Top formed on the 19 month Channel Up. Correction to 4950The S&P500 index hit yesterday the top of the 19 month Channel Up. That was the first time since it started trading. This is a strong sell signal and considering that the MA50 (1d) has been intact since the November 3rd 2023 bullish break out, we expect to cross under it now. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4950 (-6.00%, 0.618 Fib and Support A). Tips: 1. The RSI (1w) is posting the same sequence just under the Rising Resistance that it did during the July 27th 2023 High. An additional sell signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan: Shortby TradingBrokersView1115
US500- Bearish TrendBullish movement of US500 has ended. Price has broken to the down side on 1H Timeframe by printing Lower Lows and Lower HighsShortby arsalankhan9394116
SPX500: Bullish Despite Short-Term OversoldHello Everyone, Currently, the SPX500 shows a bullish sentiment, although it is also oversold, hinting at a potential bearish correction. Despite this, indicators continue to suggest further bullish momentum, aligning with the long-term trend that confirms ongoing bullish prospects. TradeWithTheTrend3344 Longby TradeWithTheTrend33442
Long term trend SPXBroke above long term TL- should not fail. must respect TL.Longby steelerflans471120