SPX Short: Counts breakdownI had done the previous update in a rush (since very close to the EOW session close) and didn't update the count (especially since lines were drawn from higher timeframe). So this is an update to the breakdown of the ending diagonal.Shortby yuchaosng2
S&P500 , Market manipulation?In my view market has not a natural behavior and probably it is under control. who? I do not know but I am sure some group are changing that by the AI or other tools. Take care of your assets.Longby pardis775
3 buddha topSp500 is forming a massive 3 buddha top. July 2025 we will see 3900 pips. July 2026 we will see the neckline being taken out. In three years time we will see the bottom of this crazy secular market that started in 2009. This Menu won't be free and the consequences of burning the printing machine will be not a recession, but a possible economic depression by the end of this decade.Shortby josemanuelmaestrerodriguez1
111The US SPX 500 comprises major companies that are poised to benefit from a faster recovery in the US economy. However, investors will continue to monitor the ... Longby tradingXpUpdated 0
S &P heading into strong resistance ?Hi Guys, The S&P 500 again found plenty of buyers on the dip and has pushed price up with moentum towards what may be a strong resistance area. The red highlighted box is the 1.27 retracement of bear market hgh to low. The Dow found resistance at the same retracement level. The 0.68 fib extension of the last impulsive move up on the daily time frame is also within the box. A butterfly with good fib ratios also has entry point there although I think the entry will be little higher than the 1.27 of the butterfly. Price will also be back in the top of the channel where sellers have continually stepped in. We may get a slight pullback on the 4hr before price heads up to the channel high. Again, I will be looking for sell setups on LTF for pullback to enter long at previous resistance or support. Depending on the selling pressure 5050 would be final profit target Safe Trading all Shortby elyask120Updated 0
SPX has formed an island reversal patternYesterday, the SPX formed an opening gap and erased some of its recent gains, which was accompanied by nearly a 10% jump in the VIX. What is particularly interesting about this is the formation of the island reversal pattern on the daily chart. The formation of this topping pattern and simultaneous rise in the VIX after a period of strong gains in the U.S. equity markets alerts us. However, calling the market top and subsequent breakdown would be too premature. To support a thesis about a trend reversal, we would like to see a further fall in the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart and a continuation of the rise in the VIX. Contrarily, to support a case for bullish continuation, we would like to see a breakdown in the VIX (ideally below the lower trendline shown in Illustration 1.02) and mentioned technicals reverse back to the upside. Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the island reversal pattern on the SPX’s daily chart. Yellow arrows indicate opening gaps and the island. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of VIX, which bounced off the lower trendline. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bullish (losing momentum) Weekly time frame = Bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade. Shortby TradersweeklyUpdated 6650
SP500 is on a strong uptrendWe have seen the SP500 create higher points on the higher timeframes and it seems that buyers are in control. We have seen price make a timid retracement today and this might be the higher low needed to continue higher. In case it retraces lower I am expecting the Fib retracement to serve as supports if needed.Longby Trader_LandryUpdated 4
#SPX downside target Corrective move down to area that was a previous funnel zone makes sense in my mind... 1st step and then assess once we are there. by BallaJiUpdated 5
Diversification: What It Is, Why It Matters & How to Do ItDiversification is a market strategy that enables you to spread your money across a variety of assets and investments in pursuit of uncorrelated returns, hedging, and risk control. Table of Contents What is portfolio diversification? Brief history of the modern portfolio theory Why is diversification important? An example of diversification at work How to diversify your portfolio Components of a diversified portfolio Build wealth through diversification Diversification vs concentration Summary 📍 What is portfolio diversification? Portfolio diversification is the strategy of spreading your money across diverse investments in order to mitigate risk, hedge and balance your exposure in pursuit of uncorrelated returns. While it may sound complex at first, portfolio diversification could be your greatest strength when you set out to trade and invest in the financial markets. As a matter of fact, once you immerse yourself into the markets, you will be overwhelmed by the wide horizons waiting for you. That’s when you’ll need to know about diversification. There are thousands of stocks available for trading, dozens of indices, and a sea of cryptocurrencies. Choosing your investments will invariably lead to relying on diversification in order to protect and grow your money. Diversifying well will enable you to go into different sectors, markets and asset classes. Together, all of these will build up your diversified portfolio. 📍 Brief history of the modern portfolio theory “ Diversification is both observed and sensible; a rule of behavior which does not imply the superiority of diversification must be rejected both as a hypothesis and as a maxim. ” These are the words of the father of the modern portfolio theory, Harry Markowitz. His paper on diversification called “Portfolio Selection” was published in The Journal of Finance in 1952. The theory, which helped Mr. Markowitz win a Nobel prize in 1990, posits that a rational investor should aim to maximize their returns relative to risk. The most significant feature from the modern portfolio theory was the discovery that you can reduce volatility without sacrificing returns. In other words, Mr. Markowitz argued that a well-diverse portfolio would still hold volatile assets. But relative to each other, their volatility would balance out because they all comprise one portfolio. Therefore, the volatility of a single asset, Mr. Markowitz discovered, is not as significant as the contribution it makes to the volatility of the entire portfolio. Let’s dive in and see how this works. 📍 Why is diversification important? Diversification is important for any trader and investor because it builds out a mix of assets working together to yield returns. In practice, all assets contained in your portfolio will play a role in shaping the total performance of your portfolio. However, these same assets out there in the market may or may not be correlated. The interrelationship of those assets within your portfolio is what will allow you to reduce your overall risk profile. With this in mind, the total return of your investments will depend on the performance of all assets in your portfolio. Let’s give an example. 📍 An example of diversification at work Say you want to own two different stocks, Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Coca-Cola (ticker: KO ). In order to easily track your performance, you invest an equal amount of funds into each one—$500. While you expect to reap handsome profits from both investments, Coca-Cola happens to deliver a disappointing earnings report and shares go down 5%. Your investment is now worth $475, provided no leverage is used. Apple, on the other hand, posts a blowout report for the last quarter and its stock soars 10%. This move would propel your investment to a valuation of $550 thanks to $50 added as profits. So, how does your portfolio look now? In total, your investment of $1000 is now $1,025, or a gain of 2.5% to your capital. You have taken a loss in Coca-Cola but your profit in Apple has compensated for it. The more assets you add to your portfolio, the more complex the correlation would be between them. In practice, you could be diversifying to infinity. But beyond a certain point, diversification would be more likely to water down your portfolio instead of helping you get more returns. 📍 How to diversify your portfolio The way to diversify your portfolio is to add a variety of different assets from different markets and see how they perform relative to one another. A single asset in your portfolio would mean that you rely on it entirely and how it performs will define your total investment result. If you diversify, however, you will have a broader exposure to financial markets and ultimately enjoy more probabilities for winning trades, increased returns and decreased overall risks. You can optimize your asset choices by going into different asset classes. Let’s check some of the most popular ones. 📍 Components of a diversified portfolio Stocks A great way to add diversification to your portfolio is to include world stocks , also called equities. You can look virtually anywhere—US stocks such as technology giants , the world’s biggest car manufacturers , and even Reddit’s favorite meme darlings . Stock selection is among the most difficult and demanding tasks in trading and investing. But if you do it well, you will reap hefty profits. Every stock sector is fashionable in different times. Your job as an investor (or day trader) is to analyze market sentiment and increase your probabilities of being in the right stock at the right time. Currencies The forex market , short for foreign exchange, is the market for currency pairs floating against each other. Trading currencies and having them sit in your portfolio is another way to add diversification to your market exposure. Forex is the world’s biggest marketplace with more than $7.5 trillion in daily volume traded between participants. Unlike stock markets that have specific trading hours, the forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Continuous trading allows for more opportunities for price fluctuations as events occurring in different time zones can impact currency values at any given moment. Cryptocurrencies A relatively new (but booming) market, the cryptocurrency space is quickly gaining traction. As digital assets become increasingly more mainstream, newcomers enter the space and the Big Dogs on Wall Street join too , improving the odds of growth and adoption. Adding crypto assets to your portfolio is a great way to diversify and shoot for long-term returns. There’s incentive in there for day traders as well. Crypto coins are notorious for their aggressive swings even on a daily basis. It’s not unusual for a crypto asset to skyrocket 20% or even double in size in a matter of hours. But that inherent volatility holds sharpened risks, so make sure to always do your research before you decide to YOLO in any particular token. Commodities Commodities, the likes of gold ( XAU/USD ) and silver ( XAG/USD ) bring technicolor to any portfolio in need of diversification. Unlike traditional stocks, commodities provide a hedge against inflation as their values tend to rise with increasing prices. Commodities exhibit low correlation with other asset classes, too, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and reducing overall risk. Incorporating commodities into a diversified portfolio can help mitigate risk, enhance returns, and preserve purchasing power in the face of inflationary pressures, geopolitical uncertainty and other macroeconomic risks. ETFs ETFs , short for exchange-traded funds, are investment vehicles which offer a convenient and cost-effective way to gain exposure to a number of assets all packaged in the same instrument. These funds pull a bunch of similar stocks, commodities and—more recently— crypto assets , into the same bundle and launch it out there in the public markets. Owning an ETF means owning everything inside it, or whatever it’s made of. ETFs typically have lower expense ratios compared to mutual funds, making them affordable investment options. Whether you seek broad market exposure, niche sectors, or thematic investing opportunities, ETFs are a convenient way to build a diversified portfolio tailored to your investment objectives and risk preferences. Bonds Bonds are fixed-income investments available through various issuers with the most common one being the US government. Bonds are a fairly complex financial product but at the same time are considered a no-brainer for investors pursuing the path of least risk. Bonds have different rates of creditworthiness and maturity terms, allowing investors to pick what fits their style best. Bonds with longer maturity—10 to 30 years—generally offer a better yield than short-term bonds. Government bonds offer stability and low risk because they’re backed by the government and the risk of bankruptcy is low. Cash Cash may seem like a strange allocation asset but it’s actually a relatively safe bet when it comes to managing your own money. Sitting in cash is among the best things you can do when stocks are falling and valuations are coming down to earth. And vice versa—when you have cash on-hand, you can be ready to scoop up attractive shares when they’ve bottomed out and are ready to fire up again (if only it was that easy, right?). Finally, cash on its own is a risk-free investment in a high interest-rate environment. If you shove it into a high-yield savings account, you can easily generate passive income (yield) and withdraw if you need cash quickly. 📍 Build wealth through diversification In the current context of market events, elevated interest rates and looming uncertainty, you need to be careful in your market approach. To this end, many experts advise that the best strategy you could go with in order to build wealth is to have a well-diversified portfolio. “ Diversifying well is the most important thing you need to do in order to invest well ,” says Ray Dalio , founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates. “ This is true because 1) in the markets, that which is unknown is much greater than that which can be known (relative to what is already discounted in the markets), and 2) diversification can improve your expected return-to-risk ratio by more than anything else you can do. ” 📍 Diversification vs concentration The opposite of portfolio diversification is portfolio concentration. Think about diversification as “ don’t put your eggs in one basket. ” Concentration, on the flip side, is “ put all your eggs in one basket, and watch it carefully. ” In practice, concentration is focusing your investment into a single financial asset. Or having a few large bets that would assume higher risk but higher, or quicker, return. While diversification is a recommended investment strategy for all seasons, concentration comes with bigger risks and is not always the right approach. Still, at times when you have a high conviction on a trade and have thoroughly analyzed the market, you may decide to bet heavily, thus concentrating your investment. However, you need to be careful with concentrated bets as they can turn against your portfolio and wreck it if you’re overexposed and underprepared. Diversification, however, promises to cushion your overall risk by a carefully balanced approach to various financial assets. 📍 Summary A diversified portfolio is essentially your best bet for coordinated and sustainable returns over the long term. Choosing a mix of various types of investments, such as stocks, ETFs, currencies, and crypto assets, would spread your exposure and provide different avenues for growth potential. Not only that, but it would also protect you from outsized risks, sudden economic shocks, or unforeseen events. While you decrease your risk tolerance, you raise your probability of having winning positions. Regardless of your style and approach to markets, diversifying well will increase your chances of being right. You can be a trader and bet on currencies and gold for the short term. Or you can be an investor and allocate funds to stocks and crypto assets for years ahead. Potential sources of diversification are everywhere in the financial markets. Ultimately, diversifying gives you thousands of opportunities to balance your portfolio and position yourself for risk-adjusted returns. 🙋🏾♂️ FAQ ❔ What is portfolio diversification? ► Portfolio diversification is the strategy of spreading your money across diverse investments in order to mitigate risk, hedge and balance your exposure in pursuit of uncorrelated returns. ❔ Why is diversification important? ► Diversification is important for any trader and investor because it creates a mix of assets working together to yield high, uncorrelated returns. ❔ How to diversify your portfolio? ► The way to diversify your portfolio is to add a variety of different assets and see how they perform relative to one another. If you diversify, you will have a broader exposure to financial markets and ultimately enjoy more probabilities for winning trades, increased returns, and decreased overall risks. Do you diversify? What is your strategy? Do you rebalance? Let us know in the comments. Liked this article? Give it a boost 🚀 and don't forget to follow us if you want to be among the first to be informed. Editors' picksEducationby TradingView44359
SPX LongLooking to go long on SPX once price breaks and holds above 5108. it will be better is price chops around through London session and breaks around NY open. but if it breaks and holds in London session, I will look to get inLongby Osiris992Updated 2
SPX - Fighting for 1.5 upper BB One hour to go buyers fight for 1.5 sigma upper Bouhmidi-Bands Longby Sisa872
SPX: Bouhmidi-ReversalSPX starts with a gap-up and initially fails at the upper #BouhmidiBands. After the initial balance we have seen a breakout above upper Bouhmidi-Bands and now reverting back to bandwidth. Shortby Sisa872
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-07-2024Market has been trading in a range for last several days with increased volatility. Could today be any different, probably not. Any test of yesterday's High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 5132 --- 5134 Reports to watch: US: Jerome Powell Speaks 10:00 AM ET US:EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ET by traderdan590
US500 Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5122.0. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 4997.2 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProvider111
US500 BEARS TO TAKE OVERHello Traders and everyone, I am Hadi Karaali, Known as SNIPERS_FX If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. US500 BEARS TO TAKE OVER. 📚 👉As we can see price is still overall bullish trading inside this channel from a medium term perspective, making clean higher highs and higher lows as well. 👉However, price is still sitting around a strong psychological level, where we will be looking for new bearish movements. 👉Meanwhile, for the bears to take over, we need a break below the marked major swing low, if that happens, then a movement lower would be expected. Until that price is still overall bullish, and price can still trade higher and higher. 📚 If you like this kind of analysis don't forget to like and follow and as usual follow your trading plan and manage your risk. Be patient and good luck!Shortby Hadi_karaali226
SPX 5000 level clearedSP:SPX The 4 hour chart shows clearly how the 5048 level that was previously resistance has now turned support. The gap up was breaking that resistance in powerful momentum. Since then, this level has been tested twice as support. Weekly chart shows also this week has tested the low of previous week. Once we move above the previous weekly high, we will be off to a parabolic move to the upside.Longby TraderBwater1
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 07/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5110 SL - 5100 TARGETS - 5118,5128,5140 SELL BELOW - 5092 SL - 5100 TARGETS - 5083,5077,5066 NO TRADE ZONE - 5092 to 5110 Previous Day High - 5128 Previous Day Low - 5092 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍by Jagadheesh_JP4
SPX500USD Swing Trade BuyMy investor, Mr Goh pumped in 300$ SGD into my account yesterday by bank transfer and asked me to trade for him first. I saw the opportunity today on SPX500USD and I long-ed it. My initial analysis took place on the Daily Time Frame, where the previous Black Friday Sales discount was around the price zone of 10EMA(plot it to see how the price rebound from that discount zone in the previous few moves). I expected the same strength from this year's Black Friday Sale, too, and the discount offered was similar to previous years traditional price. I am going for two TPs. First TP : 1R Second TP : 1.41R As usual, I might take things off when the price shows that it doesn't have enough demand to push prices higher. WIll be setting the first and second order to near Breakeven when the 1st TP gets triggered(or almost get triggered).Longby ProfessionalDuckHunterUpdated 1
shortvery simple price action price is breaking an area of structure i would like a minor pullback or 2nd touch of that new found resistance to go lowerShortby forextrader_130
S&P 500 is repeating 2017's Bull MarketThat took a while, but it looks like y'all have FINALLY caught on to the facts in the charts & to what I've been literally pounding the table on for the past 4 months The S&P 500 is repeating the 2017 bull market Expecting a continuous rally into the year end + with a 4 week super rally into a blow off top around Jan 20 2025 which is inauguration day There's a chance SPX hits 6000 in the next 10 months if history repeats & an additional 20% rally happens AGAIN just like 2017 Watch the weekly stochastic RSI, if you get a golden cross below 20, that has historically been the BEST BUYING OPPORTUNITY for your favorite stocks... even in 2017!Longby Jonalius112
spx priced in copperNINJA breakout for #SPX versus #Copper a few months ago... nobody talking about. If copper has a chance to mount a comeback, it's right now at an important "wall" (previous support turned resistance). Ratios help you choose which of TWO is better to hold.by Badcharts1