Publishing the 20 year yield chart to track the progress relative to TLT. The breakout appears to be gathering steam and if this goes parabolic, things will get very interesting. Idea on TLT:
the 20 year yields has also recaptured all of the key daily moving averages. The yield charts on the weekly and monthly chart look ridiculously strong.
20Year Yield looks like an ABC pattern down to 3.25% coming up next quarter
Elliott Wave analysis US20Y GB Details on the chart
chart showing variety of UST yields including the ten year, twenty year, thirty year, etc. this is a good overview to understand how rates have changed over the past couple of year.
Who would have thought we might be seeing 20 year guaranteed 10% returns on US Treasuries soon.. but it could certainly happen. Short the things on the way up, and keep your cash available to buy every one of them in sight on the way down. Rates on a 3month Treasury are up an astounding 7,780% - Year to Date.
Elliott Wave Analysis US20Y GB Details on the chart
Elliott Wave analysis US20Y GB Details on the chart
Hey everyone! 👋 This month, we wanted to explore the topic of interest rates; what they are, why they are important, and how you can use interest rate information in your trading. This is a topic that new traders typically gloss over when starting out, so we hope this is a helpful and actionable series for new people looking to learn more about macroeconomics and...
Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA |...
Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA |...
We might be in a paradox where Interest rates and the Stock market (S&P 500) both move up together.
Chart to illustrate the inverse relationship between government yields and government treasury/bond funds. Yields go up, treasuries/bonds go down. Yields come down, treasuries and bonds go up. This is going to matter a lot very soon.
Soon it might be a good time to buy TLT or TMF. The top for bond yields looks near to me as it gets close to this channel top. A good confirmation for a pullback would be to watch for a break in the stoch support. You could argue that it is also making a megaphone pattern with the support at 2.6% and the resistance at the channel top. I looked into this pattern...
Monthly return (FEB 2022): -16.58% SMTMI Strategy YOY : -4.72% In March, based on our ETF strategy, we were positioned on ETF that follow US Long term Bonds. This switch towards LT bonds is explained by the aim to protect our positions from the important drop of stock market that started end of 2021 and also by the anticipation of the policy rate decided by the...
Bond yields are going to do what they normally do, which is gap in after hours resulting in a huge move in bond ETFs. Short Market, Long Yields, Short Bond Etfs. There is slight resistance at this level but I expect a large move.
Visualizing the US 10 Year vs 20 Year pricing, Fast Stochastics and MACD values. This chart leaves the trend analysis blank to allow users to draw their own conclusions.