Meta is a company that currently generates 30 b dollars of Free cash flow, has a debt to equity ratio of 12%, has a year cash worth of operating expenses and has grown revenue since it was created. At current calculations i've put a Required Return per year of 15% the fair value comes to 280 dollars. I think the next 3-4 years meta will probably double from here....
I've been looking at this company and I've been trying to justify a positive valuation in the future. The only way that you can make sense of investing in this company is if you stretch your assumptions not for 5 but for 10 years from now. The biggest factor that will contribute to making that company profitable and scalable is the DELTA class that is suppose to...
The indicators on the weekly and daily charts are no longer oversold. If we have another impulse down we have a lot of room to fall. If it was up to me it would happen very quickly and get it over with. This lingering around 30-40k for a year is painful for a lot of people.
I think not only that it is possible to 3x this year from here. I think that it is probable. No one likes the stock right now and 25% of the free float is being shorted right now. This is a recipe for a sort squeeze or short covering. If it goes lower in the mean while just add more.
I made a simple spread sheet to calculate what is the current financial health of this company. Keep in mind that this is my personal thought process and it might not be very accurate, but i would rather be a little off then not knowing exactly what is going on. Since this is a pre revenue company that loses money every year the thing that we need to analyze is...
You should be excited when the market is providing you with the opportunity to build a nice position at these levels. I always get excited when a company i like crashes for external reasons. We can easily finish the year in the 30s. There is nothing positive for the sentiment at the moment. This means a good development can sharply turn the price around and ones...
If BTC breaks 30k, LTC is going to 50 dollars as a first target, if we get in to a deeper crypto bear market the next stop down is 20 bucks. Good luck if you still believe that this will pump.
The weekly chart looks like a disaster. The candles are getting rejected every time they get close to the 21 week ema. Not to mention that the 50 MA is there as well. With the FED tightening and war in Europe i don't know how someone can be bullish on crypto right now. And we are late in the 4 year cycle. I see 15- 20k at some point this year. So ill be waiting...
We went down from 69k to 33k with basically no pattern to slow us down. Now near the 30k level we are developing a raising wedge bearish continuation. If we measure the move from the top to 33k and project from the top of the resistance level down we get a target that is sub 10k. I'm not saying that this will play out for sure but the chance is above 50% in my...
Usually the flattening is a lot more grindy and choppy and it takes more time. This time its a straight nose dive. This probably means that the snap back is going to be fast as well, but you just don't know when the bottom is going to come, so trying to bottom fish is going to be a double edge sword as always.
Technically there is no real support down to the long term MA. Fundamentals also support this trajectory. Im not going to say that it will fall below the 200 week, but i think it is a safe bet that we will at least come close to it. This means 30- 35% fall from the high.
That is 3 months that we are for sure not in a bull market now. The way i look at it for us to retake the bull market narrative we have to close above the 21 week ema and hold it for the same amount of time that we were below it. This means that if we were to close above the 21 week this week we would have to hold above it for at least 3 months for me to become...
Seriously if you have an average car and earn an average living, how are you suppose to pay for all that gas? Your food, rent and car are going to be more then 50% of your salary as an expense. There is no middle class anywhere anymore there is just poor people and the top 1%. Notice how these crisis are always man made. 2 years ago oil went negative and now its...
We are right at the door of the 21 week ema. I sincerely doubt that we will break and hold it just because we are so late in the cycle. We might poke trough it but i think that the next 2 to 3 weeks we should be right back at 36k. If you are plying the margin game you can even short it here.
Not a good sign for the equities. A US recession the next 12 months?
We are exactly where we were in crypto in 2018. We had our parabolic pump, then crashed after which the 21 week ema and the 50 ma crossed bearish. Now i am expecting 2, 3 months of choppy action where the bulls are going to scream moon when we pump 5k and bears are going to scream dump when we fall 5k. What i am seeing is a dump down to the 200 week MA at some...
BTC first target based on fib extenuations is 25k. Now all is pointing to a break of 30k. Technicals + fundamentals.
As you know there are several pressures that linger over the markets. Rising rates, tightening and now geopolitical pressures aka war in europe. As i am watching the crypto market the trading bots are set to quietly sell crypto for now, but there still hasnt been panic selling by humans. I think that this week there is a very high chance of a huge red candle with...