All through 2022 I was saying that we would see the bottom in November 2022.
Because of cycles
I tried to explain not only from the side of cycles, but also from other sides why a fall is possible
Warned that the bottom is near showed the month of November
In November 2022 I said that it was the bottom and it doesn't matter what price you buy at 16-17k,...
One lawsuit recognizing that one of the crypto projects is an unregistered security is enough. And all those projects who did Token Sales - ICO, IDO, IEO and other, did fundraising and sold tokens to funds, did airdrops, token burning - this is all a big problem for crypto projects by the SEC(The United States Securities and Exchange Commission)
Bitcoin and all...
Regulations are coming, I have been talking about this for a long time, but even the projects themselves are not ready. Projects that will not be affected by the regulation are Bitcoin, Chia, Eth, Dydx, Rose, Astar, Shaiden network, Compound, Aptos, Flow, Kusama, Dot, Imx, Mina, etc..
Of course, some projects have their risks.
I have an assumption that the...
Dow Jones Industrial Average is the oldest index in the world.
The index always shows what is happening with the US economy - the largest economy in the world.
Let's look at the chronology of important economic events since 1916:
1916 Lusitania - Sunk by German Submarine / Emergency Revenue Act - Includes Estate Tax
1917 US Formally Declares War on Germany
A topic that has been stirring people's minds in recent months is the U.S. debt ceiling. The general public is asking the question:
"Will the national debt ceiling be raised or will the U.S. default?"
The national debt is the result of the government's financial borrowing to cover the budget deficit. And, as you might have guessed, these...
Introducing Meme-Coin Perspectives: Discovering the Art of Folly.
Are you familiar with the ubiquitous X's on Pepe, Doge, Shiba, and the like? These symbols have permeated the world of meme-coins, capturing the attention of many.
Now, let's delve into a captivating speculative concept known as the "Big Fool's Theory." Picture this: you knowingly acquire...
I'll start this post with what I've earned on the covid flash crash myself. This success was repeated in May 2021 but in other token.
That's why I know a little about it.
At the end I wrote why next flash crash is possible
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies often experience flash crashes when there are sharp and significant price declines for a short period of...
Today my friend called me, not long ago, after a couple of minutes of conversation, he asked me: "what do I think about the price of observation and should I buy it now"
1. Price dropped 78% from high
2. the average statistical cycle of the fall is passed
3. We are at or near the bottom whether you buy 16k or 12k, in the long run, won't matter
Hi, the plan is still the same goals 28-32.5
But there's a little problem here, you see banks going bankrupt, I called it BankFalls, and on that sentiment inexperienced people are now trying to move into a deflationary instrument, bitcoin.
We are in the last already close to the last stage of this mini cycle ( logistic curve) when people will scream that...
Globally the trend is down, after October 2022 we had an imulsion up, and now we see a slowdown, most likely we will slow down and at the end of 2023 we will see a local top and after the dip and renewal of the new bottom
Best regards EXCAVO
This is research is to figure out where and when to look for the bottom of bitcoin. More importantly when to get out of it if we have a bull run. This may be something new to you, but macroeconomics is crucial here. And this I will try to explain it.
The main hypothesis is that the cryptocurrency market has become highly institutionalized, the guys from Wall...
I sold my entire spot portfolio. why? because I see several bad signals
1. it's the meme coins pump and the most important one we have is PEPE who made 1,000,000% before listing on CEX and after listing on CEX another 20-30x. Everyone is happy especially new market entrants, lots of noise, looking for new meme tokens in the end on which they will lose money. As...
Real-world assets, is heating up more and more. BlackRock CEO says RWAs will be a major usecase for crypto
If you want to start exploring this niche, this sampling will help you a lot.
Here you will find links to the Twitter accounts of the RWA projects highlighted in the panorama.
Messari PRO recently released an interesting mini-report outlining how...
Today's world is a world of economic bubbles and rapidly changing technology. From cryptocurrencies to the dollar, from printing presses to centralized digital currencies, these are all part of our lives. However, with the arrival of CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) could be the beginning of the end of the bubble era.
Currently, many investors and traders...
I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart.
Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60...
In our EXCAVO Family Chat recently, I was asked what I thought about XRP. I've been asked this question for years. It is clear to many crypto people that XRP has little to do with blockchain, smells like a scam, ex-CEO who sold the token in huge amounts, a lot of conspiracy science, the Settlement with the SEC.
But also with that, the company has a lot of...