The Top Probability dropped at 231.16 (90%) repeated itself above (255.00), slowed down but strong enough (83%) to trigger down the current bearish movement. TARGET SHELL is 214/215.
A high-Top math chance of 94% at 6587 with a TARGET SHELL to 6,156/6,139.00 is being set. It could be the finish of a second leg of a bearish C wave (ii of C down), if it was the case it ´d be pointing deep down next.
The TARGET SHELL is pointing to 187/184 zone. Top Technical Probability is about 90%. When Technical Analysis is empowered by using Statistic Principles over the serie, besides it being able to be translated into probabilities, it also lifts the Elliott Wave basic principle which is Social Mood. Because math chances show the persistent Trend Sentiment of the...
The impulsive bearish movement started at 302.70 high seems to be about to accelerate deep down into that looks like wave v or 5 depending on its final size. My vias dropped a 94% top probability at the maximum of 208.37 and a TARGET SHELL of 158/150. It also means a coming back to the last bottom levels to test them out.
Despite its larger wave structure is bearish, BTC USD has an strong Math chance of bouncing in the 6,860/6,820 zone. If it is fulfilled, the maximum of 7,125 could be once again being tested. As I have more data base forward I will provide more info about it.
ETH USD had a rally since the bounce at 261.75 (truncated wave v) in A_B_C_ up correction. There at 295.94 my vias marked a 67 % Top Probability, Targeting down the zone of 240/236 as a continuation of a larger bearish structure (it seems up now).
The signal has been weakened (90% before 72% now), but it still remains, and marks that seems to be the end of the wave iv_ giving place to the wave v_ (5 more impulsive movements down) but now TARGET SHELL has moved up 252/245, so this last short bearish shot could be a truncated wave v_ completing there the wave v of 3, letting cleared the path on 252/245...
The Wave v seems has not ended yet, because my vias has dropped a 90 % Top Probability at max. of 291.34/300 zone. TARGET SHELL 210/200. Another short sell opportunity.
My model says that this Bearish counting is not finished yet, so the next TARGET SHELL 265, the current short top has a probability of 78 % to trigger the leg to reach down this TARGET SHELL. There could be the end of the v of 3 of (iii), it means that two more bearish movements (4 and 5 of (iii)) will be necessary to end the first wide leg of the whole bearish...
XAU-USD-Bottom Probability 78% at 1,207.00 & ABC up Correction TARGET. My vias dropped an strong Buy signal(78% Bottom probability) at 1,207.00 when the current wave v is likely to end, but truncated, between this level and the last minimum of 1,235.00 wave v should either way end. Then it would be up ABC the correction, that its First TARGET SHELL is...
My vias still drop the same signal but stronger now 24,240.00 is pointed at first as a TARGET SHELL. According with the last 5 up impulsive waves, it would be a correction, a wave B or 2.
Wave v seems to be incoming, I am entering at 1,223.81 TARGET SHELL 1,207.75/1,209 R/R Ratio: 6.72.
My vias have detected a significative strength bottom signal at 7,827.00 zone.(83% Bottom Probability). The initial TARGET SHELL is 8,562/8,600 (Wave v top), beyond that a probably wave c would reach the unfulfilled (up now) TARGET SHELL of 10,154/10,305.00
As I have told before, when a high probability appears, and then it is broken it probably reappears above or below (generally stronger). The top at 481.99 drops a 90% Top Probability. TARGET SHELL is now in 400/403.00 level.
A significative Top Signal is taking shape in DJI-USD, with a tech probability strong enough to take care about (67-72%). Short positions started in 23,997 zone should be traded at trailing stop on these levels. It will affect (off course) DJ0918 base futures as do the rest.
A stronger bearish signal has been detected at the current maximum of 455,22. The TARGET SHELL is 382/376 zone. BTC-USD has also a Top Signal but without math chances up now. Although watch out of being dragged down by ETH-USD because the correlation between cryptocurrencies.
Despite the TARGET SHELL hasn´t been achieved yet, at the current values, there is an strong 94% Bottom Probability signal.
I entered at 1,253.93 my SL 1,251.01, Targeting 1,272.90,(wave c could be). Watch out FED minutes this afternoon. Good Luck.