Incogniteaux

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Markets Allocation
6 % commodities 6 % stocks 88 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:SPX 81% | 13 XXII 6% | 1 TVC:SPX 6% | 1 ES1! 6% | 1
Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX, W,
SPX: BOUNCE POTENTIAL
88 1 3
SPX, W
BOUNCE POTENTIAL

I'm not bullish on this chart. We are dangerously close to breaking through a severely important trendline support, but we're not quite there yet. If we break down past 2076 then you can start stockpiling canned goods and buying ammo, but as for now, things are still okay. I wouldn't short just yet.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W,
SPX500: Another look at our old friend
77 2 2
SPX500, W
Another look at our old friend

This trendline, the dotted red one, goes back to the very beginning of '09. It's starting to develop as a very reliable support with five confirmation points this year alone. Depending on how trading shapes up, this is the line to look at as a signal to sell and short. If price action crosses this line significantly we're looking at a very serious situation.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: Coming home to roost
81 0 3
SPX500, W Short
Coming home to roost

This declining volume situation is finally pulling the price action down to the direction it should be. As indicated for a few months now, this is a bear market. Act accordingly.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, 30, Short ,
SPX500: FOOLS!!!
209 2 5
SPX500, 30 Short
FOOLS!!!

The Brexit alone did not do this. The Brexit is revealing underlying market weakness. DO NOT BUY HERE.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: An old friend showed up
84 0 2
SPX500, W Short
An old friend showed up

We've got some bearish activity going on the weekly chart. I mentioned the red dotted line a while back as being the last, real line of support going back to Obama's economic recovery. As you can see, the Brexit crash took us precisely to it and then pulled back. I believe this line will hold. It's only if this trendline breaks that we can assume that the worst is ...

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, D,
SPX500: More of the same, bouncing off of that trendline.
71 0 0
SPX500, D
More of the same, bouncing off of that trendline.

Will it keep going or tank though? It looks as though there will be no Brexit. That could mean good news. It should since nothing means bad news, these days.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, D,
SPX500: Testing the same trendline again, parte deux ou triois
69 0 1
SPX500, D
Testing the same trendline again, parte deux ou triois

The same trendline is being tested again with a sharp, bearish skid in the past five days. Despite bullish peaks it could be the end of the rally we've experienced since mid-Feb, but this trendline is holding strong. It would be about time for this rally to reverse since it's pushed upward on steadily diminishing volume. There are many reversal signs on the ...

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Some interesting details
42 0 0
SPX500, D Short
Some interesting details

On the daily chart the price has been pinging off of support going back to 2009 (red, upward diagonal above the dotted line). For the past ten days it's loosely been following the 50sma. This is all happening as we approach the wedge between the trendline of the market's downward trajectory beginning May last year and the the support line from 2009 (point of the ...

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux ES1!, D, Short ,
ES1!: What would Paul Tudor Jones say about the S+P right now?
24 0 0
ES1!, D Short
What would Paul Tudor Jones say about the S+P right now?

"When you get range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion." Paul Tudor Jones

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Testing the same trendline again.
55 0 2
SPX500, D Short
Testing the same trendline again.

This is a crucial level of support that must be maintained. If we break through here we're in a very precarious position. The fall could be hard and fast.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Currently testing major support
65 0 0
SPX500, D Short
Currently testing major support

https://www.tradingview.com/x/NQDeeAk5/ The market has turned and this is the first test of a major league support line going back to 2009. If this breaks today there may be some painful days ahead for bulls.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: Very bearish
209 0 5
SPX500, W Short
Very bearish

For the first time in 6 years, the 50MA has crossed under the 100MA.

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, M, Short ,
SPX500: Smart money steering clear
65 0 0
SPX500, M Short
Smart money steering clear

As I've said before. Volume divergence is the mark of a weak market movement. Smart money is not buying right now. The peaks of volume have coincided with selling from levels like the one we're currently at, so we should see more of that to come. The price in the last rally and today has gone up on the lowest level of volume we've seen in months. Down it goes

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: This cannot be sustained
384 2 5
SPX500, W Short
This cannot be sustained

I don't know what planet you bullish people are from, but no market can sustain this trajectory without profit-taking, and that's not the only vulnerability. There's a %^*$&^ price war on oil going on! This thing will pull back. Buying hysteria can only drive a market so far, unless you think there are good reasons for this price action to be going virtually ...

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: SPX500 bearish indicators on weekly chart
392 0 2
SPX500, W Short
SPX500 bearish indicators on weekly chart

While there has been some bullish sentiment regarding the 50ma crossing up above the 100ma on the daily chart this past week, on the weekly chart we see the 50 crossing setting up to cross downward over the 100. The last time this happened was 6/23/08. The saving grace of this chart is that it seems the price has moved up above the bearish channel it was ...

Incogniteaux Incogniteaux XXII, D, Long ,
XXII: XXII reversal signal
21 0 0
XXII, D Long
XXII reversal signal

Triple tap at .71 (red arrows) indicating reversal. Yellow rectangle showing a bullish flag pattern. 50sma has gone above the 100sma for the golden cross. Very strong support at .88

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