Dow Jones touched today the 1D MA200 for the first time since March 29th, almost 2 months after the strong bullish break-out. The 1D timeframe is technically bearish (RSI = 38.438, MACD = -67.410, ADX = 30.240), indicating that we are approaching low enough levels to justify a long term buy. However we are only willing to open a buy position as long as the 1D...
EURGBP is consolidating under the 1D MA200 for the 11th consecutive day which keeps the 1D time-frame near neutrality, despite the marginally red technical indicators (RSI = 43.260, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 36.781). This is a standard bottom formation and since the 1D RSI is rising after hitting the Channel's bottom, the signal gets stronger. The standard rally...
AUDUSD is on a strong 2 day sell streak below both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 but is approaching the bottom/ LL trendline of the six month Channel Down. The 1D time frame is technically bearish (RSI = 36.760, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 28.005) and the closer the 1D RSi gets to being oversold (30.000) the stronger the buy signal on the long term becomes. As long as the 1D...
The USDCHF pair got rejected on Friday on the 1D MA50 and is extending those losses today. The long term pattern is a Channel Down and the currently neutral 1D time frame technically (RSI = 49.936, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 19.890) suggests that this is a strong sell entry. You can target S1 but we are willing to go marginally lowe on S2 (TP = 0.87610) based on the...
S&P500 has almost reached the medium-term TP (4,220) so we are booking the profit on last Friday's buy position. The 1W timeframe is on steady green levels technically (RSI = 58.257, MACD = 54.060, ADX = 33.739) but the RSI is at the top of its Rising Wedge, indicating a possible loss of strength. We expect a pull-back to S1 and will buy it, targeting R1 (TP =...
Nasdaq hit and crossed today over R1 (13,730) which was the High of August 16th 2022, the last major Resistance standing. It did so however on an overbought 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 70.248, MACD = 173.650, ADX = 31.828), which is a bell to start booking profits, especially since the price is approaching the top (HH trendline) of the Rising Wedge, the pattern...
USDCAD is stuck in between the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50, inside a Triangle pattern. The 1D timeframe is naturally neutral technically (RSI = 51.593, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 11.724) since the price is in the middle of the pattern and that recent rebound on the bottom of the Triangle is the last buy opportunity before it hits the top (LH trendline) again. We are long...
Dow Jones hit again the underlying Support which marked a low on January 16th. That was the Left Shoulder (LF) of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and if it holds again, this one will be the Right Shoulder (RS). The 1W timeframe is technically neutral (RSI = 49.180, MACD = 258.440, ADX = 22.862), which makes it a solid buy opportunity on a two month...
EURUSD is on the 3rd consecutive red 1W candle with 1W technicals turning neutral (RSI = 55.304, MACD = 0.015, ADX = 31.636) and 1D bearish. The bearish alarm comes from the 1W RSI, which declined after a Double Top. The very same Double Top emerged on December 14th 2020 and January 29th 2018. Both were at the very tops of the price, with a HH trendline present...
GBPJPY got rejected on R1, making so far a Double Top with the October 31st 2022 High pausing a rally that has started at the beginning of the year. As the 1D technicals show (RSI = 62.785, MACD = 1.330, ADX = 28.382) the trend hasn't changed, technically it does only with a candle under the 1D MA200. But every such HH rejection always tests the 1D MA50. Based on...
Gold came today the closest it's been to the 1D MA50 since March 13th when it crossed over it and initiated the Channel Up the price has been trading in for the past 2 months. Being at the bottom of this Channel Up, the 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 46.769, MACD = 11.340, ADX = 29.957) and this indicates how strong of a long term buy opportunity this is. Until...
WTI Crude Oil is failing on the 4H MA50 and maintains a dangerous Triangle on the 4H timeframe on neutral technicals (RSI = 44.789, MACD = -0.040, ADX = 23.667) which can breakout either way. So far it is supported by an HL trendline like the March pattern but if this breaks, which would mean downward breakout for the Triangle, we will sell, after the 4H MA50...
The USDJPY pair is inside an Ascending Triangle on the 1D timeframe, supported by the 1D MA50 and with the technicals bullish (RSI = 59.741, MACD = 0.520, ADX = 20.018). The price is approaching R1 (138.215) and as long as it remains below it (while also the 1D RSI gets rejected on the 70.000 overbought level) we sell and target the HL of the Triangle (TP =...
Nasdaq extends the rise inside the Rising Wedge which is inside the larger Channel Up pattern. Both 4H and 1D timeframes (RSI = 60.950, MACD = 132.290, ADX = 25.277) are bullish and this price action hints to a slow rise towards R1. In addition, the MACD has already made a Buy Cross, which did on both previous Lows. If the Rising Wedge breaks downwards, the S1 and...
DAX is on its 4H MA50 with the 4H MA200 on a parallel move to the bottom of the Channel Up. Both the 1D and 4H (RSI = 52.763, MACD = 7.300, ADX = 19.891) are neutral so we will only take short term, confirmed trades after breakouts. A crossing over R1 (even better if the 4H RSI also crosses over its LH trendline) is a buy breakout signal (TP = 16,100) and further...
BTCUSD is rebounding on the 1D MA100 exactly as it did on the previous HL wave of the 5 month Channel Up on March 10th. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 45.138, MACD = -433.600, ADX = 31.812) confirming that this is the ideal long term buy entry. On the March bottom the MACD made a Buy Cross (the only one) under 0.00, which validated the uptrend. We are close...
GBPNZD is rebounding on the 1D MA50, at the bottom of the thee month Rising Megaphone pattern. That is a bullish signal, which is further empowered by the neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 53.906, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 31.776) and the fact that the 0.382 Fibonacci level is holding. As long as the price trades inside the Megaphone, we will be long, targeting the 2.0...
The S&P500 is on a tight 4H range with 4H technicals neutral (RSI = 47.011, MACD = 1.690, ADX = 20.555) inside the Megaphone pattern. By Tuesday we should see a 4H Death Cross completed, which even though technically bearish, it made a short term rebound on the last two occurencies. As long as S1 holds, we will target the top of the Megaphone (TP = 4,220). If the...