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KRSCBOE
About me President and CEO of BrecherTrading.com, a stock market education, and trading site. Professional trader for over 40 years. CBOE floor trader for 8 years.
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85 % stocks 5 % commodities 3 % indices 7 % other
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AAPL 13% | 221 SPY 8% | 139 TSLA 5% | 77 AMZN 4% | 63
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Here Go Again. A Bear Flag in Bitcoin.
BTCUSD
, 60Short
BTCUSD: Here Go Again. A Bear Flag in Bitcoin.

If Bitcoin doesn't hold here ,27,000 is in the cards.

Snap Back Rally to 38000. But 10000-20000 is Still Possible
BTCUSD
, 3DShort
BTCUSD: Snap Back Rally to 38000. But 10000-20000 is Still Possible

I like to go over the "pain trade". What would hurt the most people? BTC between 10000 and 20000 would do a ton of damage.

Although Oversold, Most Major Market Selloffs Test the 200 SMA.
SPX
, 1M
SPX: Although Oversold, Most Major Market Selloffs Test the 200 SMA.

Since1982, most market sell-offs approach, or briefly plunge, under the monthly and weekly 200 SMA.

Believe it or Not, The RUT 2000 has Hit Major Support.
RTY1!
, 1WLong
RTY1!: Believe it or Not, The RUT 2000 has Hit Major Support.

The rut2000 has finally achieved the downside objective. Because of that, I am leaning long RUT stocks.

The Key is How it Works off the Overbought MACD
BTCUSD
, 3DShort
BTCUSD: The Key is How it Works off the Overbought MACD

Bitcoin attempting an oversold rally. But the key is the overbought hourly MACD. If /BTC can work off the overbought MACD by forming a bull flag, then the worst is over. But ultimately 20,000 is possible.

The Small Continuation Pattern Measures 122 Points
ES1!
, 60Short
ES1!: The Small Continuation Pattern Measures 122 Points

Not only could support break, but if it does, the measuring implication is the amount of the previous move.

Next Support is 4277
ES1!
, 480Short
ES1!: Next Support is 4277

The /ES is right at important support. Next support is 4277.

Most 4 Hour Indexes Going to the March 20th levels
YM1!
, 240Short
YM1!: Most 4 Hour Indexes Going to the March 20th levels

Most indexes move together eventually. The March 20th levels, and the 4 hour 200SMA are the next stops. After that, the March 15th levels are possible.

The MACD's Can Get Even More Overbought.
NQ1!
, 1W
NQ1!: The MACD's Can Get Even More Overbought.

The MACD's on these indexes could go higher. But the broken trendline is probably where indexes stop.

A BIG WARNING SIGN. The Weekly MACD is Overbougt.
ES1!
, 1W
ES1!: A BIG WARNING SIGN. The Weekly MACD is Overbougt.

The /ES weekly price is under the MACD. But it has worked off any oversold condition poorly. The weekly MACD is now overbought.

The Big Bear Market in 30 Year Bonds
ZB1!
, 1WShort
ZB1!: The Big Bear Market in 30 Year Bonds

The weekly bond chart looks like a big bear flag. If it is, the objective is under 130'00 !

Equity Markets Have Now Totally Discounted the Russian Invasion
ES1!
, 480Short
ES1!: Equity Markets Have Now Totally Discounted the Russian Invasion

The S&P, and other world markets are at levels seen BEFORE Russia massed its troops. Also the weekly MACD is overbought. I would be careful on the long side. We still have a weak bond market,inflation, and Fed headwinds.

The Worst Case Scenario for The RTY Measures to the 1700 Zone
RTY1!
, 480
RTY1!: The Worst Case Scenario for The RTY Measures to the 1700 Zone

If the RTY breaks the bear flag posted on right, it could go down by the previous move.Major support is 1700.

Huge SPX500 Support is 4250. It is Almost There.
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Huge SPX500 Support is 4250. It is Almost There.

The 4250 zone is near the January 24th lows. There is good support there from prior highs and lows.

ZM Close to Where it Was at the Start of the Pandemic
ZM
, 3DLong
ZM: ZM Close to Where it Was at the Start of the Pandemic

ZM is within 20 points of the levels where the SPX500 cracked. 108 is a low risk buy entry.

Bitcoin Has Gone to My First Objective
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Has Gone to My First Objective

Bitcoin went to my first area of support around 38000. It could overshoot to 36000 temporarily and be real oversold, but longer term the 32,000 - 31,000 zone is the big support.,

SPLK and ZEN Had Takeover Overtures This Week. ZM Could Be Next
ZM
, 1WLong
ZM: SPLK and ZEN Had Takeover Overtures This Week. ZM Could Be Next

Many software/service stocks are getting takeover interest. ZM has a big market cap compared to SPLK, but almost where it was when the pandemic started.

Tops Are a Process That Could Take Weeks to Play Out
NQ1!
, 1W
NQ1!: Tops Are a Process That Could Take Weeks to Play Out

Usually, bottoms in equity markets are when the 200 weekly SMA is touched. But the weekly MACD is already oversold. t could take weeks for the MACD to "recycle" and get back to overbought, so there is enough "ammunition" for the next leg down.

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