Kaustuv

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EURUSD 50% | 5 USDCHF 20% | 2 GBPUSD 20% | 2 USDINR 10% | 1
Kaustuv Kaustuv USDINR, M, Long ,
USDINR: USDINR- multi year and intraday views
11 0 0
USDINR, M Long
USDINR- multi year and intraday views

The USDINR seems to be in the later stages of the fourth wave of a grand supercycle, the start of which was at around 1974. The fourth wave itself is about to enter into it's third cycle wave, after which the final motive wave of the grand supercycle would start. Assuming it to have similar price action to the third wave(as the first seems extended), the rupee ...

Kaustuv Kaustuv EURUSD, M, Short ,
EURUSD: Long term downward slide of EURUSD
49 0 0
EURUSD, M Short
Long term downward slide of EURUSD

The EURUSD is trading in a downward parallel channel. Moreover, it's fourth corrective wave has been a failure in Elliot terms, implying an eventual slide of the EURUSD in the long run

Kaustuv Kaustuv EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD long term downtrend
35 0 1
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD long term downtrend

Since 2008, the EURUSD do pair has been in a downward channel.Current movements seem to allow for some correction of EURUSD, however the long term trend of the EURUSD goes only one way-down. Even if all hell breaks loose, the EURUSD should not break the downward trend line and would at most reach 1.17-1.20 levels before falling, in years, to around 1.Another ...

Kaustuv Kaustuv EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: EuroUSD ideas
42 0 1
EURUSD, D
EuroUSD ideas

Fundamentals indicate good reason to expect future volatility-$3 billion outflow from Greek banks this week, very real possibility of a Grexit etc...this is backed up by price action as well. In the chart are circled proofs of serious uncertainty. Thus, a possible proposition would be to trade volatility, not direction,eg a put call parity, though this is slightly ...

Kaustuv Kaustuv GBPUSD, 30, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD short term price overreaction
42 0 1
GBPUSD, 30 Short
GBPUSD short term price overreaction

SHORT GBPUSD as prices are currently 3 standard deviations away from the 20 period sma

Kaustuv Kaustuv EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD short
71 0 1
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD short

Short EURUSD as it is in a downward trend currently... The widening of the bollinger band width coupled with a reduction in price implies an extension of lower bollinger band, allowing for a down move.Moreover, it can be seen from price action that weak shorts have probably been removed from the market

Kaustuv Kaustuv USDCHF, D, Short ,
USDCHF:  Shorting USDCHF-Linear regression play
20 0 1
USDCHF, D Short
Shorting USDCHF-Linear regression play

The trend of the USDCHF seems downward. Currently, one should short USDCHF at current levels, as it is 0.46 standard deviations above 1500 count linear regression line and 0.62 standard deviations above 20 count standard deviation

Kaustuv Kaustuv EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: Short downward trend of EUR/USD
59 0 4
EURUSD, 60 Short
Short downward trend of EUR/USD

Both the 20 count and the 100 count linear regressions show a downward trend for the EUR/USD. The 9 period sma has also crossed below the middle bollinger band and the exchange rate, which is in itself a sell signal.Moreover, the EURUSD exchange rate is 0.72 standard deviations above the 20 count standard deviation. Therefore, the EUR/USD should be shorted at ...

Kaustuv Kaustuv GBPUSD, 60, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBP/USD-Mean reversal
37 0 3
GBPUSD, 60 Long
GBP/USD-Mean reversal

The overall trend of the GBP/USD right now may well be downward, however it should be possible to make a long trade on the principle of mean reversal. The current GBP/USD rate is 0.4 standard deviations below the line of linear regression(20 periods). So one could enter a long position at 1.55206, with TP at 1.5524,and SL at 1.5516

Kaustuv Kaustuv USDCHF, 15,
USDCHF: Breakout trades on the USDCHF
20 0 3
USDCHF, 15
Breakout trades on the USDCHF

One should wait for a breakout on the USDCHF. Currently, Bollinger band width is quite low, implying a consolidating market. However, If any approach towards support or resistance is made with high volumes, and a substantial increase in the bollinger band width, then one should go with the trend. Till any breakout happens, and bollinger band width remains low, one ...

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