MichaelEugen1

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, I wanted to share with you guys what I think is happening right now in the stock market; by the looks of things, we're doing exactly what we did back then in the lead-up to the March rally and subsequent leg lower. My current belief is that we will nearly replicate said pattern ahead of making another leg lower in the stock market(many market-moving...

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, I think GCO is in the beginning phases of a markdown phase. It is a retail stock(which I have a very bearish thesis on through year-end). I'm not currently short on this stock, but I would jump at the opportunity to get short should it get back into the high 50's. Considering it ran over 1000% from the pandemic low to its highs, it has a lot of...

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, Though I remain bearish macro on the stock market, my eyes are peeled for potential bounce plays ahead of the next leg lower. I do believe that TSLA has all the makings for a strong bounce into its earnings report in late July, especially. IF TSLA gets below $621/share, this possible bounce play would most likely be invalidated. That being said, it...

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, I wanted to share my thoughts with you guys regarding semiconductors as that was one of the sectors people were most bullish on back when the market seemingly could only go up. That is no longer the case. If you look at names like AMAT and TSM, the distribution on semiconductors is in the past, and now we are in the markdown phase(A lot of false...

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, If you look a little bit left on AMD's chart, you'd see that the mid-70s level is very strong support for AMD. Considering my bullish thesis on NVDA over the next month(though I think it will eventually go lower), I think playing a bounce through July is the right move to make. I just took a long position on AMD at $76/share, but it is very possible it...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, I think it's fair to say what ARKK is doing right now has some similarities to what it was doing back leading up to the rally in March, only with some more relative strength this time around. I think ARKK will eventually resolve lower by August, but I think the intermediate-term could be another rally higher. I would not be surprised if this rally...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, If you look very closely, I think GES is repeating the same pattern it made in 2008, with some similarities to what it did in 2000. Today, the stock noticeably held its most critical support level just above $16, and I think it is likely it will rally into mid-late July. That being said, I fully expect that rally to be faded and a violent markdown...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, I think it's fair to say that WMS is fresh off of distribution, with a year of buyers overhead and a Wyckoff look with the false breakout. As history proves with this stock, it could inch higher over the subsequent few weeks, but based on market conditions, I think shorting countertrend rallies is the way to go in these markets. I would look to short...

MichaelEugen1

Hey y'all I've been watching MSFT as of late as I think it is in the process of redistribution before the next leg down. If you take a close look at what MSFT has been doing lately, you may notice that what it is doing looks quite similar to the leadup to the fakeout rally it had in March. I am currently expecting a very similar move, and am looking to buy any...

MichaelEugen1

Hey everybody, I've been noticing that the patterns leading up to the fakeout rallies in March have been repeating themselves in numerous market-moving names- namely NVDA, MSFT, and AMZN. I think there's a strong possibility that AAPL goes to test new lows in the next two weeks, only to be met with tremendous buying pressure that will subsequently lead to a...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, I went back in the chart and circled what I considered to be similar situations to where we're at right now. I think over the next month, there is an extremely high chance CAT has a fakeout rally that could very well reach $225/share. That being said, I don't expect it to breach ATH's, and I expect the rally to be an incredible shorting opportunity...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, As the other names in the market have been crashing, DE has always stood out to me for how well it has held up to this point. That being said, I do not expect this to hold up for much longer. Starting with basic fundamental analysis, DE is overvalued compared to its historical figures- the stock generally is usually at a single-digit P/E ratio, but...

MichaelEugen1

Hey everybody, I've been following MOO as of late as I'm currently short DE and waiting on an entry for CAT short as well; I've noticed that it has essentially been forming a Wyckoff-style distribution pattern, and is one of the few sectors in this market that isn't brutally beaten down at this point. I'm currently expecting a countertrend rally upwards in this...

MichaelEugen1

Hey y'all, On XLB, there is little to suggest that we aren't going to have a counter-trend rally in July. That being said, there are even fewer things suggesting that said rally would not be faded, though predicting where exactly the rally will be faded is an incredibly difficult task. If it somehow manages to push its way up to $82/share, I think it would be...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, it's been 14 years since the last true end of market cycle crash(though I could argue 2016 was a crash of sorts). Taking a look at the previous 2 market cycles leading up to the 2000 and 2008 crashes, you can see the logarithmic trendline highlighting the euphoria phase of the stock market prior to the subsequent crashes. All in all, there is little to...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, I've been noticing that AMZN has been repeating the redistribution pattern it made leading up to its rally and subsequent dump in March of this year. Considering the fact that other market-moving names are doing similar things(AAPL, MSFT, NVDA), I am currently anticipating a rally up to the high 130's where I believe AMZN will top out and possibly...

MichaelEugen1

Hey guys, I've been following this ETF since lumber prices have been falling from their sky-high prices. Just now, it looks ready for a markdown phase that could get pretty ugly. Though it is currently well below, if it manages to get to around $83-84 dollars, I think that shorting it there would be an incredible opportunity with minimal risk and solid reward...

MichaelEugen1

Hey all, I'm noticing many market-moving names are repeating the redistribution patterns they made leading up to the fakeout rallies and subsequent moves lower in March of this year(Namely AAPL , MSFT , AMZN ). I think NVDA is setting up beautifully for a rally higher back near the $210 zone where I fully expect it to reject and breach new lows in a violent...