Exactly a year ago (January 18 2023) we posted our last Fibonacci MAs study and called for a calculated rally while the rice was still at 20k: It is now time to expand on our original idea and update it using the Mayer Multiple Bands. Basically, as you can see on the chart below, the Mayer MA helped us on June 17 2022 identify the Bottom Phase on the 1W...
Natural Gas (NG1!) is having a strong bearish reversal since the January 09 High, which on this 1D time-frame can be identified as a Lower High on a 3-month Channel Down pattern. On top of that, the 1D RSI got overbought above 70.00 and is correcting. This appears to be the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Down and we expect it to last around 1 month. Our Target is...
The USDCNY pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity on our last analysis (October 02 2023, see chart below), as it stayed below Resistance 1 and hit our 7.1225 Target At the moment the price is struggling to break above the 1D MA5 (blue trend-line), which it hit yesterday for the first time since November 06 2023. What we are currently more interested at is...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is unfolding today the 3rd green 1D candle in a row, having gained back the vast majority of losses sustained last week. The December 28 rejection took place just below the 4820 All Time High (ATH) and as the 1D MACD is printing a sequence similar to the July 27 2023 peak, we expect the price to make a bearish reversal before the week is...
This is an update to our November 27 2023 idea on the USDINR pair where we issued a sell signal exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1 year Rising Wedge pattern: Our 82.600 Target hasn't yet been hit but due to the slower than expected decline, we have to modify our target and move it a little higher to 82.700, which marks a projected contact...
Ethereum (ETHUSD) almost hit our 2450 Target on the last buy call we made (November 17 2023, see chart below) before it started to consolidate at the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up: However it did turn out that the consolidation Megaphone, similar to January's, was the one that started on December 09 2023 and not before, as on our previous analysis. For that...
Dow Jones (DJI) started a strong decline since our December 29 2023 sell call (see chart below), the strongest since the remarkable rally started on the October 29 bottom: On today's analysis, we want to look into the same market dynamics and the pattern we drew 10 days ago but this time on the 1D time-frame. What stands out the most is that this time on the...
The EURUSD pair gave us the best possible sell signal on our December 28 2023 idea (see chart below) as we sold exactly at the top, provided by the overbought 1D RSI: We now shift our focus from the long-term to the medium-term as the price reached the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up and is consolidating around the 4H MA200 (orange...
Gold (XAUUSD) followed the Channel Up 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection pattern and as per our last week's idea (January 04, see chart below), it hit today our 2020 Target: The price is now only a few pips away from hitting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) which has been untouched since October 13 2023 and near which both previous Higher Lows on the Channel's...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed with last week's candle a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, its first ever in history! That alone is a monumental development, as the Golden Cross pattern is a powerful technical formation, especially on stable long-term time-frames such as the 1W. Apart from the technicalities, this pattern becomes even more important considering the...
Natural Gas has been so far following the sell strategy we shared with you a month ago (December 04, see chart below), having already hit one Target (2.425): Yesterday the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and managed to close the 1D candle below it, which stands out as the most efficient sell opportunity since the October 27 2023 High. Technically we...
DAX (DE40) gave us an excellent sell signal last time we looked into it (December 14 2023, see chart below), as the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, was our sell signal: Our 16500 short-term target has already been hit, and we now shift our focus on the medium-term as it appears that this pull-back will most likely be extended to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at...
Osmosis (OSMOUSD) has been on a hyper aggressive rise in the form of a Channel Up since the October 19 2023 bottom, being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) while forming a 1D Golden Cross in the process. It has reached Resistance 1 (2.27800), the first important Resistance level on the long-term and if it breaks, we will buy the break-out targeting 5.000...
Shopify (SHOP) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 market bottom. It recently made a Higher High but not at the top of the pattern and started to pull-back, losing most of its strength and momentum as the 1D RSI dropped to 45.50 (neutral). The price is still above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which keeps it bullish but in our...
The GBPNZD pair has had a strong decline since our last sell call (November 24, see chart below) breaking even below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line): The price is currently rising after making a Lower Low but not at the bottom of the (blue) Channel Down. For that reason we consider the emergence of a Diverging Channel Down that can break above both the 1D...
Gold (XAUUSD) eventually did get rejected on the 0.618 Fibonacci level as per our last week analysis (see chart below): This is so far consistent with all previous All Time Highs since August 2020 and our long-term target remains 1975. On the shorter term though we see a quick sell opportunity following today's bounce after the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line)...
It has been almost 3 months since Cointelegraph's fake ETF approval tweet (October 16 2023), which was basically the start of a medium-term mid-Cycle parabolic rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) that saw it grow by +69.10% this week. Yesterday we got the first serious signs of exhaustion as the 1D candle made contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time...
Apple (AAPL) hit yesterday the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since November 06, extending the rejection on the Resistance 1 level. A rejection that is in perfect symmetry with the February 03 rejection that also caused a pull-back. The last call we made on Apple (see chart below) was on November 12 actually signaling a buy after the Falling Wedge...