Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit today 31050, which is the Shoulder level from the April 14 High that formed the Left Shoulder of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern of the last 6 months. As long as this holds, it will be the Right Shoulder of the pattern, which translates into a Sell Signal, targeting the 28150 Support and potential contact with the 1D MA50 (blue...
The USDCHF pair is pulling back after making nearly a Lower High on the long-term Channel Down and hit last hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Today it is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance, so the closing of the 1D candle either way will most likely decide the next trend. Above the 1D MA50, we will buy, targeting 0.94000 (Channel Up Higher...
Natural Gas (NG1!) is trading within a logarithmic Channel Up pattern since the April 14 Low. The current bearish leg is one step before testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the bottom is located just below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That trend-line has priced the last three Higher Lows (September 26, September 06, August 24), so we are ready to buy...
Silver (XAGUSD) gave a solid rejection at the top of the long-term Channel Down (see chart below) when we looked into it on July 21 2023: This rejection gave way to the creation of the current Bearish Megaphone pattern whose low got priced on October 04. This initiated the current bullish leg which tested the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and almost reached...
NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) has technically completed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a standard market top formation. The price almost touched Support 1 (410.00) on Friday and the Neckline (Higher Lows) of the pattern. As long as those hold, we can be bullish as the risk is low at the bottom while the upside much higher proportionally on Resistance 1...
Russell 2000 (RUT) entered on Friday the wide Support Zone (1700 - 1630) that was formed on the May 12 2022 Low. The 1D candle closed inside it so unlike the bottoms that had wicks that recovered and closed above the Zone, this is most likely similar to the June 16 2022 and September 23 2022 breaches. A low is to be expected around 1640 but the index is already a...
Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading within a 6-month Channel Down pattern with the price breaking above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday. The short-term pattern is a Megaphone within the Channel Down whose Lower Lows come in direct contrast with the Higher Lows of the 1D RSI. Thus we have a significant RSI Bullish Divergence which is holding since the August 17...
Last time we looked at the U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y), it gave us a technical bounce and profitable buy signal (see chart below) as the Higher Lows trend-line held: This time we get an opposite signal as the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs, while the price is on Higher Highs, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. The asset is still supported both...
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has formed Lower Highs following the October 03 High and is approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first level of Support and has been intact since August 10. This pattern started after the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs (September 27 and October 03), while the index was still on Higher Highs, thus a Bullish Divergence. The...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rising strongly today, against the majority's sentiment which after the ETF fake news earlier, was calling for (much) lower prices. We are almost on Monday's High, with the 1D RSI overbought above the 70.00 territory, but that may not matter at all, in case you are expecting a technical correction. Assuming the 1 year pattern is a Channel Up,...
Two weeks ago (October 07) we called for a new Bullish move (see chart below) on Gold (XAUUSD) as the price hit the 1W MA200 and held it The sheer force behind this bullish move has surpassed all technical expectations as it is also fundamentally driven by the Middle East tension. Gold acts as a safe haven in times of market uncertainty. In any case, the...
The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is about to test today the 192.50 All Time High (ATH) made on May 10 2021. It was a similar Higher Lows rally that led to the ATH as this year's dashed Higher Lows Support. The current bullish leg has completed +80% since the last Higher Low, similar to the February 27 High (+79%). Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross, this strong Resistance...
The S&P500 had a strong rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and made a 3 day bearish streak that brought it today on the verge of testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet again. The last time it made a triple test between 4 days October 03 - 06) and managed to close all candles above it. As a result, if the S&P500 is to recover, it is critical to hold...
Tesla (TSLA) had a massive opening drop yesterday and almost hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since May 31. With the 1D RSI oversold at 30.00 and Support 1 (212.50) formed by the August 18 Low just below, this sell-off may be a buy opportunity in disguise. If it holds, then the dominant medium-term pattern will emerge as a Descending...
Stacks (STXUSD) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 20. Our target last time (see chart below) on September 19 was 0.65000, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci level: The price is now on important crossroads. If the 1D candle closes above the 0.618, we will buy again and target the previous High at 0.89000. On the first closing...
The USDCAD pair is trading within a Channel Up supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The current bullish leg started after a 1D Golden Cross and is half-way towards pricing a new Higher High. We are already bullish on this pair but the recent rebound indicates that another buy can be added now. Our target is 1.39800 (Resistance 2), which makes a Higher High...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke this week above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the weekly candle of May 02 2022. The weekly candle closing is of particular interest as the price has quickly pulled back so far below the 1W MA100 (cointelegraph's fake news tweet). If it closes above it, then we may finally see an end to BTC's painful 7-month...
Dow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern and this week's pull-back, caused by a rejection on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), may be the last before it starts rising to a new Higher High. We are taking this opportunity to buy for the short-term and target the top of the dashed Channel at 34200. The IH&S can complete its long-term...