A lot of talk is being done lately on whether the S&P500 index (SPX) has maxed now that it made new All Time Highs (ATH) or it is in need of a strong correction etc. Those who have been following us for long here, know that in times like this, we like to keep a long-term perspective and give you the picture unfiltered with the facts only. Along those lines, we...
Nasdaq (NDX) marginally broke and closed a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week but quickly recovered on Friday and this week has established its price action above it. Still it is under Lower Highs following the March 21 Double Top. It is a fact that the 1D MA50 hasn't been broken in 5 months (since November 03 2023) so last week is the first...
Quick comparison of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle to the one in 2014 - 2017, which is the one that has been most tightly correlated to and as you can see by the charts below, we have spotted since January 2023, right at the market bottom: The current consolidation around the previous All Time High (ATH) region is a clear buy signal, in fact based on...
Last time we looked at Toncoin (TONUSD) it gave us the most optimal long-term buy entry (August 17 2023, see chart below) as it bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern: Today the coin reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up and technically it is a sell opportunity. We are willing to take it, as long as the 1D candles...
Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH) recently broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and this is the most optimal buy opportunity for the long-term as following the 1D Golden Cross, a Channel Up is emerging. This appears to be so far similar to the Channel Up of October 2022 - April 2023, which led the stock to its All Time High (ATH) at the time. Both sequences...
Dow Jones (DJI) gave us an excellent sell entry following our last analysis (March 28, see chart below) as it got rejected and made a bearish reversal exactly where we expected it to: Last Thursday it even broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in exactly 5 whole months (since November 03 2023)! This is a bearish break-out confirmation...
The EURUSD pair hit our 1.07250 Target of our March 27 analysis (see chart below) before the current 1-week rebound: Right now it is giving mixed signals as the latest rebound made the 1D RSI break and stay above its MA trend-line, which is a pattern it following on the February - March Bullish Leg. At the same time though, the 2024 Channel Down is intact but...
WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 28 High supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) - 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone. The Bullish Legs have so far recorded rises within a +8.24% to +10.24% range. Right now it appears that Oil has finished the latest Bullish Leg as the 4H RSI made its standard Peak formation and declined....
Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a very aggressive (blue) Channel Up, which today hit the top of the logarithmic (dotted) 6-month Channel Up. If it is indeed symmetric with the first Bullish Leg of that Channel Up, then it is close to completing a +10.60% rise which should call for a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back. As a result we expect a quick fall to...
Nervos Network (CKBUSD) has been having one of the most successful rallies since the start of the year among high cap tokens and broke above its March consolidation last week. That was the 2nd bullish break-out after the ATH Lower Highs trend-line break-out on the week of February 19 2024. Last week we had a successful hold of that former Lower Highs trend-line...
Novo Nordisk (NVO) hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again for the first time since December 18 2023 and after a long time it gives buy signals again. The correction came after the March 07 rejected at the top of the (dotted) Channel Up, following overbought 1D RSI levels before that for 2 weeks. That is a pattern consistent with all previous Higher High...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a (dashed) Triangle pattern since the March 14 High, supported twice by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The price is testing today the top of that pattern and going back to November 2022 at the bottom of the Bear Cycle when the Fibonacci Channel Up begun, we can see that a similar pattern emerged two more times. The first...
The GBPNZD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we called on it (January 05 2024, see chart below) and even broke above the former Channel Down pattern: The trend transitioned into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) and recently broke above its top. It has formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 1 year (since March 27 2023), so on the long-term we have...
The S&P500 index (SPX) came extremely close to hitting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday for the first time in 5 months (since November 02 2023)! As you realize, this is a key Support for the uptrend and the Channel Up in particular, which has been the dominant pattern these months to drive the index to High after High. The fact that the price is...
The AUDCHF pair has just formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame but even though it is theoretically a bullish structure, it hasn't historically behaved as such for this pair. We view its effect on the 1W time-frame in order to go as back in time as possible and get conclusions. In the past 10 years (since the May 2014 1D Golden Cross, which was bullish) there...
Last time we made a call on the EURAUD pair (January 02, see chart below), we caught the best buy entry right at the bottom of the former Channel Down that easily hit our 1.6600 Target: This time we are presented with a strong sell opportunity as the price just broke yesterday below the March 07 Support, making a new short-term Lower Low. This confirms the...
This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and...
Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio': And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors: As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic...