This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and...
Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio': And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors: As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic...
The MPCUSDT, Partisia Blockchain's token, has started to make a bullish reversal as it held its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and started today its strongest 1 day rally since its first trading day. The pattern that appears to have prevailed is a Cup & Handle (C&H), which technically leads massive bullish reversals on market bottoms. Even though 4H is a...
Ethereum Classic (ETCUSD) has started to rise again, so far being on the 2nd straight green 1D candle, without breaking the key 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been supporting since essentially the October 23 2023 break-out. As long as this holds and ETC keeps closing the 1D candles above the 1D MA100, we expect a new cyclical rally to start within the...
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) broke last month above the long-term Channel Up and immediately pull-back. So far it has been almost 1 month of sideways trading supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been holding since November 02 2023. The 1D RSI is on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence and every time it formed this within...
The GBPAUD pair gave us an excellent buy signal last time we looked at it (December 29 2023, see chart below), easily hitting our 1.9000 Target: This time we have a Sell Signal that the pair just flashed as it just broke today below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since January 15. Last time that happened was on December 13 2023, when...
Gold (XAUUSD) has technically started its new Bull Cycle after breaking above the Resistance and previous All Time High (ATH) into green overbought territory. Being overbought in such instances isn't necessarily bearish but suggests that even though the long-term trend is now heavily bullish (and should be for the next year or so), we should look for key...
Yesterday we discussed from a 4H perspective (see chart below) why it would be technically possible and above all healthy for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to pull-back to the 1D MA50 and then rebound: Today we approach this from the 1W time-frame where the results are virtually the same. As you can see, Bitcoin has pulled-back towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement...
Has been a while since we looked into the AUDNZD pair, following our Sell Signal on November 16 2023 (see chart below): The price has now reached the 1.093250 Symmetrical Resistance, which has basically only broken once in the last 12 months. Ahead of a potential 1D MACD Bearish Cross, we see a high resemblance of the current High with the June 20 2023...
WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our long-term 82.50 Target last week, a call made early this year (January 12, see chart below) when the price was still at $74.33: At the moment, the price sits above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 23 2023, as the week opened above it. This calls for an upward extension similar to the...
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) got rejected on its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) Resistance Zone. It has been practically trading sideways since the start of the year and based on the Sine Waves, that priced the new Top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Down pattern. The expected completion of a Bearish Cross this week on the 1W...
The Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC (TOTAL2), which is essentially the altcoin market, just completed a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame. That is the first such formation since September 14 2020. As you can see, that was during the middle of the previous Bull Cycle, around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and past the Accumulation Phase (blue...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke and closed below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since February 05). Last time such a pull-back off a Higher High took place was on January 12 (orange circle), which confirmed the extension of a short-term correction that found support on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. That was a -21.41% decline...
Pendle (PENDLEUSD) is on a short-term pull-back after the 1D RSI got overbought above 70.00. This is consistent with all previous times the RSI got that overbought but against common sentiment, which would suggest exhaustion of the bullish trend, that was a signal to buy halfway through the Bullish Leg. As you can see on the two Legs before, that signal emerged...
Nasdaq has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since late January and as you can see on the chart, every time the Bullish Leg held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) halfway (blue ellipse), the price continued the uptrend for a +5% Higher High. This time, the index closed a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, for the first time before a Higher Highs was priced. It is...
The EURUSD pair quickly hit our 1.07250 Target, which we set on our most recent sell signal (March 27, see chart below): Moving out to the 1D time-frame we can see that this is the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern that started at the beginning of the year and we are only halfway through it. Also the pair just completed the first Death Cross...
Last time (August 23 2023, see chart below) we looked at Mastercard (MA) the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) gave us a solid buy opportunity, which easily hit our 415.00 Target: The price is now starting to pull-back after marginally breaking the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Up (blue). It already broke below the medium-term (dotted) Channel...
The NZDJPY pair is on a Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term support. In fact the latter has been holding since June 02 2023. The minimum Bearish Leg decline within this pattern has been -3.77% so having almost completed this fall during the current...