cerealpatterns

cerealpatterns

its not the most liekly scenario, but people are freaking out when if you look at the technicals this way bulls still have a lot of room to work with.

cerealpatterns

weve slightly gained in vix, and the ftz from top of short leads out to where uvxy should make its low sub $4... if we examine the capitalcom vs finra we see that contango in vix is still coagulating around a major demand zone low into its decay. i still think split will be bullish for vix, but perhaps we clear the pop in fomc, and the loose steam is actually...

cerealpatterns

these are the indications im watching, and im on it because its a top gainer with a gap to close.

cerealpatterns Updated 

im using the same lines i did when i was short. im just switching directions. this is a companion post to related idea. all ma and oscillators are also bullish here, leading to the conjecture continuation is likely along trend lines and the following swing based strategy using these support and resistance is feasable.

cerealpatterns Updated 

bulls are in control of this move but lack the follow through necessary to make a convincing move to the upside look like a change of weekly momentum. weve made a daily bounce that retraced enough to say a lower low is set, but havent made a higher low or confirmed the move with a trip above the last bearflag area/value area high. weve also started forming a...

cerealpatterns Updated 

people have used it to cheat on university exams. people with no coding experience have used it to develop software. people use it to penetration test vulnerabilities in networks. its all cloud based supercomputing. does this mean openai is going to change the world? no. does it mean microsofts cloud computing business is saved? no. does that mean its a good...

cerealpatterns Updated 

so... we basically changed nothing. the only reason im neutral and not long is because the rest of the market still isnt participating in the breakout. provided that happens im calling it breakout confirmed. yes, that could possibly mean all time highs. nvda is a megacorporation.

cerealpatterns

comparisons are telling us simply when more people are able to borrow money real estate does better. interest rate data from whale crew tells us as long as we climb this indication the risk gets worse for borrowers. as long as those go in the specified direction im looking at higher prices in this fund. all is normal as in everyone is doing fine, and still doesnt...

cerealpatterns

if were going to hang out here below 20 and play with the idea of a recovery we run the serious risk of entertaining the inevitability of a second major wave in this corona island top/bear triangle. the new regime in volatility is either demanding we crush it, or we let it rip. we cant coil up like this forever. it might be super confusing, but ive laid out...

cerealpatterns

4037 is former r1 swing in wave, and bulls are in full control of that momentum with the breakout. there are two paths we could take. if bulls maintain that control of the 4037 level we will reac r1 soon, but back to swing p sooner if we lose it. scenario a coincides with extension, and scenario b is a continuation of b wave. im favoring the downside, but im not...

cerealpatterns Updated 

its no secret that if a company has a lot of brick and mortar stores in closed down, or dying malls and shopping centers that said company has taken a hit over the past decade. BBBY is not an exception, and its a matter of time before the party is over for this bounce. im looking at the adaptive moving strategy to get a better picture of trend regularity in an...

cerealpatterns

rainbow, slope and range adaptive averages show we are coming off top of range and headed for a retest of slow moving average. this lays out the targets, and im hoping to stay on top of that region.

cerealpatterns

technology has led the market down. semiconductors have led technology. this stock has exhibited particular rate of change and other bullish volume based oscillations. bil williams ma, vwma, ema, trama as well as displaced ma are also bullish along trend lines. this leads me to a swing vased strat for continuation following the concordant supports, resistances and...

cerealpatterns Updated 

parabolic sar strat long entry over weekly poc beat vwap. over under to breakeven level or lowest sar dot plot if we stay consolidative, and up two clicks sar if we stay over mid level and poc upper area or .382 fib rtrc. long term buy, but need trend confirmation weekly follow through for bullish swing bias.

cerealpatterns

im really not interested in longer term buy situations in aapl or the like until we start confirming the broader trend reversal. im sensing that the general motivation for this follow up bounce is the corrective wave that similarly happened in the last monthly retracement to the upside. the bear market resumed then, and it could now as well. if bulls are going to...

cerealpatterns Updated 

im selling this on and off until its back in envelope

cerealpatterns

quarterly momo is bearish in spy, and equity to gdp ratio is at or near a vertex, or local minimum. if you look at the volume based oscillations there is mixed indication. if you anchor vwap at the breakout level jan 2014 you can see were sitting right on the top band exploring the idea of a monthly higher low. if that breaks things like equity/gdp, market...

cerealpatterns

in a perfect world we would be able to say that this is the start of a broader market recovery with an almost absolute degree of certainty. this is the real world however, and we all have to keep in the backs of our minds that things could still go very badly for longs. that being said bulls do appear to be keeping control of this bounce, and shorts look like...