Summary: Big tech and growth stocks paused after two days of gains, while investors boosted recovery stocks after good economic data in the morning. The purchasing manager indexes for Manufacturing and Services were higher than expected, indicating an uptick in demand in both sectors. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as...
Summary: A better-than-expected jobs report was enough to continue the trend in Technology and Communications stocks that started yesterday. Eyes remain on the Fed and inflation. Still, a drop in the US dollar and US treasury rates, in addition to lowering expectations from a few retailers, gave investors some relief that the economy was not overheating out of...
Summary: You shake my nerves, and you rattle my brain! There is no question what investors worried about today. They took risk off the table at open ahead of the Fed minutes. Then morning comments from Fed member Quarles started to attract investors back in but at lowering volume. When the meeting minutes were released, volume popped back up as the market...
Summary: Surprisingly robust earnings reports from big retail before market open sent major indices on a rally in the morning. Still, the bullish exuberance couldn't hold on, and the indices closed the day with losses. Despite the downward pressure on the indexes, the growth stock list had a relatively good day. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments....
Summary: Monday started with a dip, just like the past several Mondays. This week's difference is that the bulls entered in the afternoon, bringing the major indices back to near their open. Small Caps performed best on the day as inflation still weighed on big tech and mid-cap growth. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as...
Summary: The focus was all on inflation this week. The updated consumer price index numbers were due on Wednesday, and investors entered the week expected the worst. On top of inflation, an oil pipeline closure on the east coast meant even more upward price pressure for consumers. Monday started the week with a terrible-looking marubozu candle which has no upper...
It was a mix of defensive and cyclical stocks that led the sector list this week. Only three sectors ended the week with gains, while the high growth sectors took the biggest declines. Consumer Staples (XLP) topped the list with Utilities (XLU) in fourth place. Both are defensive sectors for investors. Real Estate (XLRE) was lower in the list but still...
Summary: A lighter volume but positive day followed lower than expected economic indicators, including Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment. Perhaps the economic recovery is pausing as consumers react to the increases in prices. A little water on the fire could be good news to investors who are afraid things are overheating. Notes Ideas always welcome in the...
Summary: Buy the dip? That seems to be what drove prices higher today on optimism after a positive jobs report. But caution is still in the market with Utilities as the leading sector, growth stocks essentially not participating, and an advance/decline ratio still below 1.0. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on...
Summary: Consumer price index data was higher than expected which is great for the US dollar, but sent investors into a selling frenzy as they reacted to higher inflation and the possibility of higher interest rates. It's a conflicting mix of being glad the economy is recovering, but also trying to price in the impact to valuations and potential reactions by the...
Summary: A gap down must have shocked the bulls into action as the major indices crawled their way back up from morning lows. The results show a rotation happened underneath a market sell-off. Growth stocks benefited from the rotation while the broader market had more than two declining stocks for every advancing stock. Notes Ideas always welcome in the...
Summary: Inflation looms over big tech and growth stocks like an approaching hurricane, keeping investors wondering when and how big it will hit. Last week's jobs data supported the government's case that there is still support needed for economic recovery and that inflation is transitionary. But a shutdown oil pipeline over the weekend has investors worried. And...
Summary: The market is the great fortune teller, always trying to price in the future, not the present. We saw that in action this week in several ways. The first was with Janet Yellen's comments on Tuesday that interest rate hikes might be needed in the future. That sent investors into a frenzy sell-off before she walked back the comments. Notes The...
It was the cyclical sectors that ruled the week. Energy (XLE), Materials (XLB), Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI) were the top four sectors of the week. The cyclical sectors are benefiting from a pick-up in economic activity driving demand for products from building materials, infrastructure and the manufacturing of consumables. Supply has not been able to...
Summary: More records were set as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average both had record closes while the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 joined the rally, also making gains. Employment data in the morning caused the dollar to fall which can give a boost to mega-caps and growth stocks. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as...
Summary: Another record was set for the Dow Jones Industrial average while value stocks continue to outpace growth stocks. Two intraday rallies might just be the action the Nasdaq needed to join the rally, but the gains were mostly isolated to the mega-caps. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or...
Summary: This is not the rally we are looking for. The Dow Jones Industrial average closed at a record high today while the rest of the market struggled to hold any gains, with the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 falling further behind the other major indexes. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected...
Summary: The market sold off sharply at open after comments from Janet Yellen suggested that interest rates might need to increase to keep the economy from overheating. Investors fled sectors more sensitive to interest rate hikes and rotated into the cyclical sectors. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on...