failathon

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Last visit Joined 3 years ago Sydney, Australia failathon
Markets Allocation
77 % forex 2 % indices 20 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 15% | 7 GBPUSD 15% | 7 SPX 10% | 5 USDJPY 10% | 5
failathon failathon PRO USDOLLAR, 240, 2 months ago
USDOLLAR: DXY/USDOLLAR - More complex moves ahead?
20 0 2
USDOLLAR, 240
DXY/USDOLLAR - More complex moves ahead?

Bit of a ride with the USD lately, but with USDCAD now taking direction more from DXY/USDOLLAR than from OIL, this helps me understand whether there's only scalping opportunities ahead or if there's a more complex short coming up. Looking to a re-test of 12500-12510 (USDOLLAR) before we see what's next on the agenda.

failathon failathon PRO USDCAD, 240, 2 months ago
USDCAD: UC research - regular fakeouts?
30 0 1
USDCAD, 240
UC research - regular fakeouts?

Seems to be a regular pattern of fake outs setting major trends on 4hr chart with USDCAD note the highlighted areas forming a new high/testing highs, then a sharp reversal. Current position also appears to be similar with 1.312 as a major support line Will continue doing more research...

failathon failathon PRO GBPUSD, 60, Short , 3 months ago
GBPUSD: GU - shorting the triangle
44 0 6
GBPUSD, 60 Short
GU - shorting the triangle

May have entered this a little bit too early, but looking for a nice 7:1 RR here If we clear 1.24, I'd look to re-add around the 1.24-1.236 mark just to be clear of P & the triangle bottom

failathon failathon PRO AUDUSD, 60, Short , 8 months ago
AUDUSD: AU triangle failing, drop down to S2?
32 0 0
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AU triangle failing, drop down to S2?

Favouring a short opportunity down to 0.72 territory over the coming week or so SL 0.75481 Tried to short this before, but missed the triangle on the Daily and got burnt. #lessonslearnt... this looks like a better entry point now though

failathon failathon PRO AUDUSD, 60, Short , 8 months ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD short idea
13 0 1
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AUDUSD short idea

Aiming for a big drop here, maybe a week or so to unravel SL 0.75481 Entry is OK.. got burnt trying to enter a little bit lower because I missed the triangle on the Daily chart. #lessonslearnt

failathon failathon PRO EURUSD, 60, Short , 8 months ago
EURUSD: EU short off pivot re-test
63 0 2
EURUSD, 60 Short
EU short off pivot re-test

Daily and 1hr are showing resistance at S1 / 1.10825 Small short now with SL at 1.10966 TP1 1.095 TP2 1.08515

failathon failathon PRO GBPUSD, 60, Long , 8 months ago
GBPUSD: GU: An opportunity waiting to happen?
61 0 4
GBPUSD, 60 Long
GU: An opportunity waiting to happen?

Can we fill the gap? Watch re-test of 1.31-1.32485 Am favouring an opportunity to LONG up to 1.36 (TP1), 1.40 (TP2)

failathon failathon PRO SPX500, D, Long , 11 months ago
SPX500: S&P breaking permabears
81 0 2
SPX500, D Long
S&P breaking permabears

Not going to fight it any longer. Bit scrappy, but time to look at 2100 as a target. Going long, then we'll see how it resolves itself after 2100 (bounce off 2065? or drop and head to 1975) Ideas charted off Daily - so looking at a 2-3 weeks of action here I guess

failathon failathon PRO EURJPY, 60, Short , a year ago
EURJPY: EJ simple short idea
18 0 1
EURJPY, 60 Short
EJ simple short idea

Enter 125.78 short, SL 125.91 TP1 125.404 And if it happens to go further.. then 2nd TP 124

failathon failathon PRO USDJPY, 60, Long , a year ago
USDJPY: UJ 115-116
48 0 2
USDJPY, 60 Long
UJ 115-116

Was originally expecting this pair to fall below 110.958 - action seems to suggest on daily that it's formed enough of a bottom. But it does require the bulls to step in. This is a riskier trade than AU/EU/GU - so tiny parcel here, but I think it's a good time to get in.

failathon failathon PRO EURUSD, 60, Short , a year ago
EURUSD: EU - meh to the bottom
60 0 2
EURUSD, 60 Short
EU - meh to the bottom

Retracement is just a bit above 50% - that's OK in itself (fib is not a perfect science), so below 1.13800 I like this for a short. But there's some minor potential to see a little bit of growth towards 1.15 to burn some shorts before it dumps. Will see how we go on Monday If you wanted to be conservative, you could just wait for it to bounce off the bottom of ...

failathon failathon PRO AUDUSD, 60, Short , a year ago
AUDUSD: AU - priming for a good short opportunity
29 0 3
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AU - priming for a good short opportunity

This could be a good short opportunity down to 0.764-0.765. And assuming 0.77227 just became our new high (daily, 1hr), then could see that open the gates to fall down further. Liking this for a short on Monday Scalp opportunity: TP1 0.764 Larger swing: TP1 0.76164 TP2 0.757 TP3 0.74

failathon failathon PRO GBPUSD, D, Short , a year ago
GBPUSD: GU - wait for retrace
39 0 3
GBPUSD, D Short
GU - wait for retrace

Waiting for retrace to 1.427-1.42988. Short idea works only so long as this stays below 1.43214. TP1 1.412, TP2 1.404

failathon failathon PRO SPX500, D, a year ago
SPX500: SPX - it's a long way to the... (D, W, M outlook)
226 0 6
SPX500, D
SPX - it's a long way to the... (D, W, M outlook)

You're not fooling anyone if you haven't thought about shorting the S&P500. And that in itself is a good reason to not want to jump in now. Then the charts show while it's kissing R1 on Daily, this engine has not yet run out of steam and we could see some shorts burnt out before it truly decides it wants to go south. Any scalping is risky, even if 3-5min on ...

failathon failathon PRO SPX500, 60, Long , a year ago
SPX500: Sniping to 2075-2080
56 0 1
SPX500, 60 Long
Sniping to 2075-2080

Out of FX for the weekend.. capturing the post-lunch activity long'd @ 2062.25 & 2066.25 tgt 2072.5-2075 sl 2060.80 - since adjusted to 2065.60

failathon failathon PRO GBPUSD, 60, Short , a year ago
GBPUSD: GU 1.4?
21 0 2
GBPUSD, 60 Short
GU 1.4?

At the risk of sounding arrogant.. sure, was short last night from 1.43587, taking some off the table about 1.41967. Question is, where is this going to end up? We've punched through 50% fib on 1hr chart (daily points), so 1.40269 (S1, daily) looks credible, upon condition that we stay below 1.42578 (P, daily) Have taken some off the table - and if you haven't, ...

failathon failathon PRO USDJPY, 60, Long , a year ago
USDJPY: [study] Fib 1.618% target in action
54 0 2
USDJPY, 60 Long
[study] Fib 1.618% target in action

Simply documenting this - 1.618 target + retracing to 1, before another 1.618 target - usually don't see it happen this often in a row in a wedge pattern, but its good to see it in action

failathon failathon PRO DXY, W, a year ago
DXY: Looking positive for DXY this week...
12 0 1
DXY, W
Looking positive for DXY this week...

A longer term outlook for DXY based on Daily vs. Weekly vs. Monthly view While Daily is still gyrating between 95-100, this could still be a positive week for DXY, with some clear direction coming over the horizon (next week). Noted that EMA200 is coming on Daily, so will need to see if we are going to clear that or not

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