Interesting how we are seeing natural declines. this is a no-good scenario.
Just a cleaner version with no harmonics -- simple regression and VWAP.
We can see from Kalman inferences/regressions I'm looking at a certain range here. No promises.
Shaved some UVXY and put it into this little company. Fly, bird, fly.
Here we have a quick log chart of stocks over 20-day MA. Wild ride ahead!
It may take 2 days to realize it's actually a very large swan.
Any questions please ask. Kalman & Regression ... very powerful
Moved to linear!? What changed things? Yes, the pandemic. Now we're in a very strange twilight zone, where the 1sigma and 2sigma vwaps are running parallel at a similar factor... wtf!?
Cost avg 7.32 - I have faith as much as any other theorist.
Mr Dow Jones said the real metric was the transport services. Well, here you go (off rails, spinning wheels, no paddle, crash landing, etc.).