jd5584

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Last visit Joined 2 months ago
Markets Allocation
43 % stocks 23 % commodities 7 % indices 27 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ES1! 10% | 3 RUT 10% | 3 SPX 10% | 3 IWM 10% | 3
jd5584 jd5584 RUT, D, an hour ago
RUT: RUT Upper Channel Line
7 0 0
RUT, D
RUT Upper Channel Line
The euphoria has driven Russell 18.00% higher in exactly one month. The ICL outlined in my trade ideas last month did mention the probable low date for the cycle turn. This one has been very similar to Oct 2014 (except that produced bigger gains in SPX at the time). There are several analog's that argue this is ...
jd5584 jd5584 YM1!, D, Short , 2 days ago
YM1!: YM Analog-Nov 2015
16 0 5
YM1!, D Short
YM Analog-Nov 2015
Similar levels of extreme Overbought, corroborated by a 16 bar rise post-Brexit.
jd5584 jd5584 CL1!, D, Short , 2 days ago
CL1!: CL Potential Path
78 0 4
CL1!, D Short
CL Potential Path
Time Symmetry in place. Cycle Low due in mid-January.
jd5584 jd5584 NASX, D, Short , 3 days ago
NASX: Nasdaq Composite Analog
24 0 5
NASX, D Short
Nasdaq Composite Analog
Time and Price match up pretty closely to the Oct 2014L-Jul 2015H,
jd5584 jd5584 GS, D, 3 days ago
GS: GS Analog
25 0 5
GS, D
GS Analog
Overlaid the Fall of 2007 analog on GS. History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes... Putting together evidence as to whether this is 2007-08 or whether Feb 2016 was Mar 2009. The ultimate question.
jd5584 jd5584 DJI, D, 3 days ago
DJI: DJ Industrial Average
17 0 4
DJI, D
DJ Industrial Average
Currently on Bar 20, Previous Cycle run made it to Bar 17 before the momentum stalled and the "chop" began. Nearing the upper channel line dating back some 10+ years. Bullishness off the charts, with extreme overbought readings. Potentially the W5, but yet to be determined. Also can be helpful to examine the 30 ...
jd5584 jd5584 TRAN, D, 3 days ago
TRAN: 2008 or 2009
15 0 5
TRAN, D
2008 or 2009
Transports Analog from 07-08 looks very similar. The question that most people are asking themselves is whether the February lows were the major cycle turn. Many markets put in convincing lows in Feb 2016. However, the damage was limited and very brief. Other markets are putting blow off type top's and with the ...
jd5584 jd5584 RUT, 240, Short , 4 days ago
RUT: Russell cycles
14 0 4
RUT, 240 Short
Russell cycles
Russell made the historic run out of the ICL on Nov 8th. Bigger picture, there are other cycles that have dominated Russell for the past few years. It is pretty clear that the 480 CD cycle has been the most in sync with the Russell. That would be due for a cycle low in mid-March. The current ICL/ICH runs until ...
jd5584 jd5584 ES1!, 60, 4 days ago
ES1!: Food For Thought
25 0 4
ES1!, 60
Food For Thought
At end of July, beginning of August, the market put in a similar move that broke below weekly support, only to find the upward sloping moving average below. There are some differences though. NQ (Nasdaq) not cooperating and TF (Russell) is in a very precarious position at the top of its channel after a blow off ...
jd5584 jd5584 IWM, D, Short , 9 days ago
IWM: Update IWM/Russell 2000 Cycle
30 0 3
IWM, D Short
Update IWM/Russell 2000 Cycle
Note the analog off of the Feb 11 2016 ICL. Near vertical run for 16 bars with a near identical reading on the Fisher Transform. Friday, Nov 25 completed the same pattern -1 TD. The differences between now and then is the distance above the 20 EMA. In Feb, it took only 5-6 TD's for the 20 EMA to "catch up" and ...
jd5584 jd5584 XLE, D, 10 days ago
XLE: XLE Cycle and Analog
20 0 5
XLE, D
XLE Cycle and Analog
This is possibly one of the more interesting plays going forward. The 2014-16 decline mirrored the 2007-09 decline (price wise almost a perfect match). The recovery or retrace is tracing out along the same analog (2009-10). There appears to be another dip ahead (per the analog) before an explosive move higher ...
jd5584 jd5584 ES1!, D, 10 days ago
ES1!: Updated ES Analog Following ICL
41 0 7
ES1!, D
Updated ES Analog Following ICL
A look at the Oct 2014 major thrust with minimal pullbacks overlaid on current prices. Projects to 2290+ area (similar to the original ICL projection posted several weeks ago).
jd5584 jd5584 RUT, 60, Short , 13 days ago
RUT: Russell 2000 Measurements
29 0 3
RUT, 60 Short
Russell 2000 Measurements
The cycle low (ICL) posted several weeks back did turn the market, however, the Russell 2000 is now at the same percentage gain during the initial phase of the ICL back in February of this year. A very dicey trade at these levels as the market does not even pullback during the thrust out of the cycle lows. Notice ...
jd5584 jd5584 AMZN, D, 18 days ago
AMZN: AMZN Analog
93 1 1
AMZN, D
AMZN Analog
Bars Pattern (12/29/15-02/09/16) overlaid on current AMZN chart. Even though the indicies are still in their up cycle, AMZN has been in a pullback since tagging the Upper Channel Line in early October. Projects for a decline to approximately $620.00
jd5584 jd5584 IWM, D, 20 days ago
IWM: Update on IWM Cycle
48 0 3
IWM, D
Update on IWM Cycle
Take note that the Feb 11, 2016 ICL (initial thrust) is identical at this time to the recent thrust in IWM out of the Nov 8, 2016 ICL. Upper channel resistance just above. This will either create a sideways condition or mark at short-term high (I believe).
jd5584 jd5584 GDX, 60, Long , 20 days ago
GDX: GDX Cycle Low
87 1 5
GDX, 60 Long
GDX Cycle Low
The Short-term cycle's are showing some good symmetry in this timeframe. Roughly 195 bars (37TD's). Sentiment is very bad currently in the PM sector.
jd5584 jd5584 SPX, D, Long , 24 days ago
SPX: Post-Brexit Analog SPX
127 1 3
SPX, D Long
Post-Brexit Analog SPX
The SPX is following the Brexit analog pretty closely (and the ICL arrived on time-Nov 8)-See Previous Posts. This suggests that a potential low tomorrow at approximately 2146.00 (area) before another surge to all-time high's this week. Will it happen? We'll soon find out.
jd5584 jd5584 ES1!, D, Long , 24 days ago
ES1!: Targets Based on Previous SPY ICL Rallies
31 0 1
ES1!, D Long
Targets Based on Previous SPY ICL Rallies
Bars Pattern of rallies out of ICL's. Confirmed ICL on Nov 8, 2016 as anticipated.
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