On H4 chart, there has not yet been a CCI regular divergence with price. If CCI does across up through the down trendline (tl) on CCI, that would be a Long signal. (even if it does, usual CCI patterning warns there might well be a retest down a little before a strong upmove). Until then, GBPJPY is still signalling short based on 1. previous short signal (CCI...
Thought I posted this but it is not up, so again... Price may be showing a H&S as well as a smaller triple top on Daily Aggressive Short 240 min GU on tlb of 240 min CCI up-trendline (tl). There was an earlier aggressive short on Daily CCI tlb @ 1.3274 on 3.19.19 but I missed it Confirmed short would come after crossing below Daily 200sma, now 1.295. Will use...
Aggressive small-stop short based on possible triple top on Daily, though confirmation would require a move below 200sma now 1.2952 240 min CCI has a tlb on uptrendline, allowing another early short if we missed entry 3.18-3.20 Entry 1.31935 SL 1.3248 or CCI tlb of downtrendline T1 1.296 T2 CCI tlb of downtrendline
CCI has crossed up thru a down-tl, which will become a short-term Long signal if CCI crosses above -100. Because CCI has shown no divergence, most likely there would be further downside to price after a bit of upside
EURJPY H4 chart. 13 CCI has crossed down thru an up-trendline (tl) giving a Short signal. The signal is significantly strengthened by the tiny triple high on CCI. Entry : 125.590 now SL: 125.87 Exit: when CCI crosses up thru a down-tl on CCI, which will be drawn across the tiny triple top just completed on CCI
XAGUSD M30 price has retraced to Mar 8 swing high. 13 CCI has given a short signal, a trendline break since 20:30 Mar 8. Now the signal is 2 bars late, but there is space left for possible move down to 38.2 % retrace of Mar 8 upmove Entry : 15.317 SL : 15.37 TP 1: 15.184 TP 2: 15.14 - 15.08 TP 3: way down if EURUSD drops way down
H1 13CCI told us on Mar 7 of likely move up to 1.125ish, which we saw on Mar 8, nothing says price can't rise more before the projected downmove takes off, so even though the weekly CCI signal is definitely short and even though price has met expected bounce up, there is no reason to expect EURUSD to just rollover w/out a fight from bulls. There is plenty of...
Jenner Divergence Corollary on CCI (copywrite 2007, 2009) is telling us that even though EURUSD reached down to 314.6 % 1.12154 at 16:50 GMT (of 100% Feb 28 to Mar 1 drop), most likely the low of the whole move down is not finished. Some traders are exiting now at 314%, because they wonder if the low is in. Some may hold for 423.6% at 1.11442. But only...
Short poss. 65p to 200ma or 200-600p if goes <1.316. The Daily CCI signal short is a trendline break on CCI with CCI also below +100. Reversal would be CCI trendline break in the other direction. USDCAD Daily had an exceptionally large candle down y/d (Fri 1.25.19) from the 38.2% retrace up, to 50 sma, down toward the 200 sma. Fri close 1.32255. A move 65...
Just a followup chart showing what was required of CCI to signal a change of direction. All were noted on the previous chart prior to appearance of divergnce on CCI. Link below 1) CCI had been to extremes (<-200), but no divergence, suggesting the low was not in. 2) CCI then had a divergence, higher low, while price moved down. This diver suggested that the...
CCI gives good watchtags for reversals. A trend will usually end with a divergence of CCI with price, usually followed by a retest of low (or high), followed by CCI moving from outside the 100's to inside the 100's. If CCI has reached extremes, e.g. -200, until you see a CCI divergence, most likely you have NOT yet seen the end (lower low, or higher high) of...
In Mar 2015 I sketched a projection of S&P 500 based on a possibility that price was in a Wave 3 up. That projection is still not extinct. Wave 3 seems complete or nearly so, for that scenario. If Wave 4 were to become a complex multi-year abcde correction downward to as low as the top of Wave 1, Wave 5 might lift the market to new highs a few years beyond...
The apex of a trendline triangle built on CCI is quite good at suggesting the immediate direction for price. If the apex is above zeroline (zl) upward price move is favored. If the apex is below zl, downward price move is favored. Comparing the locations of the apex on different timeframes is very helpful in narrowing down the time until price direction changes
As a retest of Nov 20 swing high, Nov 21 high tagged bottom-side of 240min 200sma and turned down toward the 50sma (50sma now 1.1348). This is consistent with the divergence on CCI. Neither Daily nor 240 min CCI has signaled that the low is in, hence further downmove is expected
I've not yet learned how to post multiple TF. Monthly EU is down approx. 1/3 of channel-width going down, and is right on 50sma, in a horizontal zone that price has tagged so many times since mid-2014. This Down channel began June 2008. Weekly EU, dropping, tagged topside of 200sma on Aug 13. It rose a bit to touch 50sma on Sept 24, dropped down and is...
USDJPY had a 240min Short signal at the last CCI up-trendline break, where divergence is shown on Price chart Nov 8. The signal remains short until there is a CCI break upward thru the down-trendline. The CCI is now touching that trendline, but I need a crossing to go long