An extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching. The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in...
An extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching. The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in...
The dollar is expected to fall and the yen rise. Risk aversion prevailed in March on credit concerns about US regional banks and a major European bank, with the dollar/yen pair trading with a heavy topside to drop below 130 yen. Excessive concerns about the US financial system then eased on news that some regional banks would be bought out, so the dollar was...
The Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected. This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by...
The Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected. This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by...
The Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected. This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by...
The Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected. This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by...
An extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is fast approaching. The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term. There is some potential for safe-haven support for the U.S. dollar, but further Fed tightening should be modest, and global central bank actions to make dollars more readily available will likely provide an offset to potential dollar...
The dollar is expected to fall and the yen rise in April. Risk aversion prevailed in March on credit concerns about US regional banks and a major European bank, with the dollar/yen pair trading with a heavy topside to drop below 130 yen. Excessive concerns about the US financial system then eased on news that some regional banks would be bought out, so the...
Foreign exchange analysts at BNP Paribas suggest a bullish outlook for the AUD/USD and AUD/NZD exchange rates, citing global market stabilisation, the divergence between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), housing market vulnerabilities, and seasonal performance in risky assets. Global Markets Stabilizing and Impact on...
Japanese yen strength over time. While the yen underperformed during the global monetary tightening phase, in our view the currency will likely outperform as tightening cycles eventually come to an end and central banks turn to easing. Yen outperformance over time should also be supported by U.S. recession in H2-2023 as well as recent actions by the Fed, which...
Increasing confidence for global economic resilience in 2023. Global growth for 2023 has continued to improve. The U.S. has started the year with a degree of momentum, even if activity could wane as the year progresses. Chinese activity is bouncing back as the economy reopens, while the Eurozone is likely to benefit as energy prices have receded and headline...
An extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is fast approaching. The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term. There is some potential for safe-haven support for the U.S. dollar, but further Fed tightening should be modest, and global central bank actions to make dollars more readily available will likely provide an offset to potential dollar...
With the global economy showing more resilience and the Fed slowing its pace of tightening, we believe EM currencies can outperform relative to G10 peer currencies this year. Attractive real yields should result in market participants accumulating exposure to developing currencies, while our assumption for contained banking sector stresses should lead to improved...
Hi there. Price is forming a continuation pattern to the upside. Watch strong price action at the current levels for buy.
While the yen underperformed during the global monetary tightening phase, in our view the currency will likely outperform as tightening cycles eventually come to an end and central banks turn to easing. Yen outperformance over time should also be supported by U.S. recession as well as recent actions by the Fed, which have made U.S. dollar liquidity more readily...
The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term. There is some potential for safe-haven support for the U.S. dollar, but further Fed tightening should be modest, and global central bank actions to make dollars more readily available will likely provide an offset to potential dollar strength. Thus, we expect the U.S. currency to come under renewed...
After a strong first quarter for equity markets, the second quarter brings its share of new challenges. The unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut oil production did not provoke panic in stock markets, with the main stock markets closing the day up, but caution is still the name of the game. The ISM manufacturing index, released yesterday in the United States,...