xtrader1

xtrader1

- Wyckoff accumulation in up-sloping channel complete - Looking for a 1 deviation extension into Year-Open - Year-Open = GAP = Imbalance = 4.5000

xtrader1

- Q3 was accumulation-phase - Q4 is break-out, followed by reaccumulation in 2nd deviation - Looking for 1 morw deviation up to 1.40 in Q4 - Pivot-wise it's a run from Quarterly Pivot to Quaterly R2

xtrader1

- Looks like CrudeOil is in a Wyckoff distribution wedge - Preparation to move lower to fill in imbalances before DEC Russia Oil Cap - Russia Oil Cap after DEC first will likely trigger a bullish move

xtrader1

- Dollar printed a diagonal Wyckoff distribution - Now broken lower - Looking for a 1 deviation drop to below 104 = demand-zone

xtrader1

- GBPUSD looks bullish - Diagonal Wyckoff pattern unfolding in up-sloping channel - >1.2000 is supply-zone

xtrader1

- Divergence between Dollar and 2Y T-NOTE (inverted) is growing - Wait for Dollar to meet downside target(s) (106 ? 103 ?) - Then expect Dollar to close the gap with an explosive move higher

xtrader1

Looks like BTCUSD has been in an accumulation-phase for quite some time Highest volumes in downmoves at the bottom of the range Expecting a run up to 25.000 next

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Looking for EURUSD to push higher 1.0250 would be nice

xtrader1

- EURJPY created a range - Looking for sideways action in a week full of risk: End of month, FOMC, NFP - Next week US-elections - Expect institutional money to stay on the sidelines, resulting in ranging behaviour - Looking for a downwards ranging price-action to 145.50 - Break of Weekly-Open & VWAP is confirmation

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FUNDAMENTALS: - OPEC is for higher prices - Sanctions on Russian oil will drive price up - Developing Diesel shortages will drive price up TECHNICALS: - Price made a Higher Low on the D1 - Price is at Role Reversal Zone = 50% of downswing = Quarterly Pivot - Looking for price to respect demand-zone and break above SELL-VWAP TIMING: - Expect trend to take off...

xtrader1

Looking for a push from Monthly Pivot to Monthly R1 Monthly R1 = Monthly Range High = 0.7400

xtrader1

Study to explore relation between impulse waves and retraces Can we expect a 50% retrace into previous wave before next impulse lower? 105 as downside target, 103.80 as support (previous HTF high (MAR/APR '20)

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. USDNOK H4 23-10-22: - Norway is making huge profits replacing Russian gas to EU at elevated prices - If Dollar is going to weaken, Norwegian Krona should take advantage - Looking for a to push lower to 10.00 (minimum) - 10.00 = MS1 = Previous Month Open - Convincing break and close below BUY-VWAP is confirmation - Convinsing break above Sell-VWAP is...

xtrader1

. - EUR-Index looks ready to seek higher ground - Pivot-perspective is a run from Weekly PP to Weekly R2 - With Dollar still pretty strong other CCY(s) have to facilitate the move - Prime candidate is GBP - This should translate in EURGBP running JUN & JULY '22 highs .

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. Crude Oil D1 4-9-22: - Fundamentally there are lots of reasons to expect higher prices - Seasonals and technicals however point to more downside Seasonal: - Seasonally Oil tends to be weak in Q4 - Weakness started earlier this year so might end earlier also (NOV-midterms ?) Pivot Points: - Monthly: Price is below SEP Monthly Pivot, heading for S2 = <80.00 -...

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. S&P W1 3-9-22 DROP TO 3500 ?: - Continued FED-tightening is bearish equities - Recessionary circumstances (US & World) is bearish equities - Strong(er) Dollar is not bullish equities - Analysis based on Fib-Confluences: - 3500 = 50% retrace of Covid-uptrend - 3500 seems likely as downside target - 3250 is 62% retrace of Covid-uptrend = 162% extension of...

xtrader1

Russian GOLD sanctioned by G7 Russia is 2nd producer, good for 20% of supply Should drive price higher, helped by DOLLAR weakening Looking for a push to 1875

xtrader1

YEN should find support between 50 and 62 retrace for bullish outlook in the shortterm