yauger

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Markets Allocation
71 % stocks 14 % indices 2 % commodities 14 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FDX 9% | 5 IWM 7% | 4 BA 7% | 4 PG 7% | 4
yauger yauger PRO NYA, D,
NYA: Chopping our way higher
4 0 3
NYA, D
Chopping our way higher

The NYA seems to work its way higher in a nice impulse wave that does not seem to be over. At least two more down-up sequences before we get somekind of top. Actually current advance could even subdivide even more driving the bears totally insane. Markets are patterned but labels come after.... Nevertheless, long term we are not in a topping mode as the McClellan ...

yauger yauger PRO AXP, W,
AXP: Nice recovery by AXP
16 0 7
AXP, W
Nice recovery by AXP

American Express is making quite a nice recovery since its 2016 low and it appears to be unfolding as an impulse wave requiring one more down-up sequence before being completed. Once over a larger decline will ensue. Magnitude unknown.

yauger yauger PRO DIS, W,
DIS: Food for thought
76 2 10
DIS, W
Food for thought

Lately we have been warning you that markets are getting toppy and ready to head south. But what next ? We don't know and don't expect me to tell you there's a crash around the corner. Actually if we look at the chart of Disney it might telling us that no THE TOP is not there yet as it seems to be moving sideways in a large bullish triangle. In other words not ...

yauger yauger PRO BA, W, Short ,
BA: Another toppy stock
51 0 6
BA, W Short
Another toppy stock

We have been bullish on Boeing for a while and now we believe it is time to jump off the bandwagon. Again with most sentiment indicators flashing caution one have to label patterns in a more bearish way. It is still possible BA will decline a bit and push up one more time but as far we are concerned the buyers are pushing their luck right here right now.

yauger yauger PRO DSAR, W, Short ,
DSAR: Might be over for the Airlines
5 0 5
DSAR, W Short
Might be over for the Airlines

The Airlines index is showing not only a complete pattern from its July 2016 low but it might even ending an impulse wave from all the way back to its 2009 low. Regardless what we are ending the airlines are landing and I am not sure when they will take off again. Better be on the sideline. I say ending but it can be over too. If they still want to move higher ...

yauger yauger PRO IXIC, W,
IXIC: Getting closer to a top
27 0 4
IXIC, W
Getting closer to a top

The signs are there we are getting closer to some kind of top. Most sentiment indicators are diverging and even on strong days like yesterday, the Advance Decline ratio was barely above 2 for the Tecks and even below 2 for the rest. The bulls are getting exhausted. Last week drop that took everybody by surprise was the first sign the ice is getting thinner. ...

yauger yauger PRO IXIC, W, Long ,
IXIC: Forget a crash, we are not even close to a top.
29 0 5
IXIC, W Long
Forget a crash, we are not even close to a top.

Applying the Wave Principle to the Nasdaq Composite, one can see that the market still have a lot of back-and-fill to do before completing an impulse wave that started at the early 2016 low. I might be off a bit in the subdivisions but nevertheless there's at least two majors sideways-up move before contemplating a roll-over to the downside. There's a lot of ...

yauger yauger PRO GS, W, Long ,
GS: One more push before we hit a soft patch
63 0 4
GS, W Long
One more push before we hit a soft patch

A while back I published a chart of the Dow Jones suggesting the market had more upside potential and now I am showing you a chart of Goldman Sachs that is telling us we should see one more push before the market retreats with an unknown intensity. On thing for sure the next push up would be a good time to take some money off the table. An ideal target would be ...

yauger yauger PRO DSAR, W, Long ,
DSAR: Airlines flying with a fading tail wind
13 0 3
DSAR, W Long
Airlines flying with a fading tail wind

I am still bullish Airlines as they look they are still flying in the overall strong bullish Jetstream all equities have been for quite a while. But any top as to be taken seriously as 8 years for a bull market is quite long. We should get a pause sometime this year and to me it is possible the airlines will turn around first. For the short term, expect some ...

yauger yauger PRO BA, W, Long ,
BA: Another way to label Boeing
18 0 3
BA, W Long
Another way to label Boeing

A while back I offered a scenario for Boeing as being in a large sideways correction that would eventually propel the stock to new high. I am sill bullish BA. I am just thinking that maybe it is going higher right now which would align it with my rather bullish view on the Dow and even the banks as shown using BK. Thus, whatever happens short term I am bullish ...

yauger yauger PRO DJI, W, Long ,
DJI: No choice but to be bullish on the Dow Jones
42 0 2
DJI, W Long
No choice but to be bullish on the Dow Jones

Difficult not to label current price action as part of an impulse wave that started at the 2016 low that implies a serie of sideways-up to finish it and start some kind of decline of unknown magnitude. Let's wait to see the health of the market once we end current advance. People are still bearish and cab drivers are not talking about stocks so there's some ...

yauger yauger PRO BK, W,
BK: A good proxy for the Banks
10 0 2
BK, W
A good proxy for the Banks

it appears Bank of New York is heading for new high. For the very very big picture not shown here, we can see that from its all-time high printed in 2001, BK has only declined in a very choppy overlapping manner highly suggesting it is a counter trend move telling us eventually BK will move above 62. Now the question is are we going there right now or we are going ...

yauger yauger PRO ESZ2016, 60,
ESZ2016: One more little push up and then we might go south for a while
12 0 2
ESZ2016, 60
One more little push up and then we might go south for a while

From the election night panic low, the Trump rally generated a nice impulse wave on the Globex Market that was followed by a very muted correction not even reaching a more acceptable 23.6% retracement suggesting we are not done correcting the Trump Wave. and actually the rally from Nov 11th is seen as part of that correction. Yes a rally within a decline. Even if ...

yauger yauger PRO V, W,
V: Visa in a terminal phase of a huge bull advance
37 0 1
V, W
Visa in a terminal phase of a huge bull advance

Since becoming public at the bottom of the financial crisis, VISA had a pretty good run gaining more than 500%. But it looks tired and ready to head south. Under the Elliot Wave Principle one can make a case we are wedging higher in a Diagonal triangle, an overlapping structure that should end with a thrust above the upper trendline with heavy volume. Once it ...

yauger yauger PRO VZ, M, Short ,
VZ: It's over for Verizon
70 0 1
VZ, M Short
It's over for Verizon

At least for a while. Probably a long while. It appears that last July Verizon just completed a nice impulse wave from its 2008 low. Recent decline would be the beginning of a counter trend downward move that will bring prices down to 44 at minimum if not lower. I can even be more bearish if you want to but let's take it once step at the time. After all we have ...

yauger yauger PRO INTC, W, Short ,
INTC: Intel has rolled over
55 3 2
INTC, W Short
Intel has rolled over

While Cisco wants to push higher before rolling over, Intel appears to have already gone to the other side feeling the bear pressure. We don"t expect Intel to make new high pretty soon if we are wrong it will be in a topping mode. Using the Wave Principle, from the 2015 high to the 2016 low we had a 3 wave affair that was followed by another 3 wave pattern ...

yauger yauger PRO CSCO, W,
CSCO: Cisco ending something
20 0 0
CSCO, W
Cisco ending something

Since its recent high, Cisco has been moving sideways in a choppy manner suggesting there's still some upside potential left but as shown on this chart using the Wave Principle, we are ending something. I just don't know what and even less how for down we might go once Cisco rolls over. So short term we might keep going sideways but we should move upwards pretty ...

yauger yauger PRO BA, W, Long ,
BA: Still Bullish on BOEING
36 0 1
BA, W Long
Still Bullish on BOEING

Nearly two years ago I suggested that BA was looking bullish as it was sporting quite a nice pattern. Especially a pattern that looked unfinished. That was correct and now we are quite confident BA should be heading higher. Eventually that is as right now the right look suggest we might be moving sideways in a contracting triangle. We are currently ending the ...

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