yauger

Message Follow Following Unfollow
Joined
Markets Allocation
48 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % commodities 39 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
DJI 10% | 8 DAX 8% | 7 FDX 7% | 6 BA 6% | 5
yauger yauger IXIC, 1D, Long ,
IXIC: It appears the market has spoken
109 0 4
IXIC, 1D Long
It appears the market has spoken

Even if in theory we need to move above last Friday's high to confirm our view, it appears the market wants to go higher. For now the right look highly suggest the consolidation is taking the shape of a bullish contracting triangle, at least for the Nasdaq. Last week low was wave C and we would be moving higher in wave D which are usually straight forward affair. ...

yauger yauger DJI, 1D,
DJI: Quick Update on the Dow Jones
340 0 4
DJI, 1D
Quick Update on the Dow Jones

There' s not much to add to our previous analysis. We believe we are going down in a C wave, last leg of a three waves affair that should bring the index down to 22500 where we have equality between both active legs. If the market keeps following our idealized scenario, expect the Dow to chop its way down towards that target tiring everybody in the process while ...

yauger yauger DJUSNC, 1D,
DJUSNC: Here an index worth keeping an eye on
23 0 2
DJUSNC, 1D
Here an index worth keeping an eye on

The Dow Jones Consumers Good index is probably the market that pretty much follows what we thought would happen after the mini flash crash of early February. A series of overlapping 3 waves affair, a counter trend rally, and in this case it sure looks like a double Zig Zag is underway requiring more upside action before its over. Strong resistance is at 632 where ...

yauger yauger DJI, 1D,
DJI: Finally !
327 0 6
DJI, 1D
Finally !

We finally got our decline underway. We are still showing our highly idealized scenario but I think the next couple of weeks might get very frustrating for market technicians. When you have the Russell 2000 outperforming major indices in a stormy market, you know the market will throw curved ball at you. As action unfolds we should be able to get more info to fine ...

yauger yauger NAS100, 60,
NAS100: Are we there yet ?
68 0 3
NAS100, 60
Are we there yet ?

We are updating the intra-day chart of the continuous Nasdaq index keeping the same count as yesterday. Even if it does seem to follow the script, it is not a count that we are holding with blood in our hands. There's discrepancy between indices. To be honest it is highly possible for the Naz to have ended its impulse wave that started last week at this morning ...

yauger yauger NAS100, 60,
NAS100: Update count on the Naz
74 0 3
NAS100, 60
Update count on the Naz

Here is how we see the market for the next couple of days. Current rally is running out of steam. Over or not a small pullback should be the next move of consequence. Support lies at 6940 then 6900. From there the index should rally back up to new high to finish the 5 waves affair that started last week. Resistance is at 7060. Then our expected larger decline ...

yauger yauger NAS100, 60,
NAS100: Only a muted decline for now
46 0 1
NAS100, 60
Only a muted decline for now

The main reason I write on this blog is to show that markets are fractal, an assemblage of fractals that is creating patterns as discovered by Elliott. I also want to show that it is much easier to label the past than project the future. Nevertheless by using other tools, a lot of common sense AND refraining to marry your count, you can put the odds on your side ...

yauger yauger DJI, 1D,
DJI: So far so good
403 4 8
DJI, 1D
So far so good

We expected a rally and we sure got one. We can make a case that we are heading back down right now or right after small gain on Tuesday as shown on the chart. Short term there's some sentiment indicators showing sign of overbought requiring a pause to work the excess off. Then we reached the 61.8% retracement and a resistance line only to see the market backing ...

yauger yauger DJUSSB, 60,
DJUSSB: Long term bullish but choppy road pretty soon.
39 1 3
DJUSSB, 60
Long term bullish but choppy road pretty soon.

I am showing an intraday chart of the Dow Jones Investment Services Index as it sports nice waves to better explain my point that for one the long term rally is not over. Look at the recent decline. Perfect ABC down. A counter-trend move implying more upside action to come. Secondly very short term, the bulls are running out steam. At best we have a final sprint ...

yauger yauger DJI, D,
DJI: Emotion creates the best patterns
663 5 9
DJI, D
Emotion creates the best patterns

And we sure got some excitement this week. When markets get so emotional we tend to get better waves and in our book one thing is clear : more downward pressure is needed before completion of the decline. Nevertheless we still see it as a correction within an ongoing bull market for the same reasons as before. The AD summation line has not produced divergences ...

yauger yauger DAX, D,
DAX: The Dax keeps following the script
274 0 5
DAX, D
The Dax keeps following the script

It is still possible the DAX move a bit lower but as far we are concerned the German index is ready to rally along the the Dow Jones. If needed there's strong support right below at the previous fourth wave low and the 38.2% retracement of the preceding 3rd wave @11870. There's one thing that have changed in our Outlook. Even if we haven't changed the labeling, ...

yauger yauger DJI, D,
DJI: Not the beginning of a long term bear market
396 1 5
DJI, D
Not the beginning of a long term bear market

We don't think it is the beginning of long term bear market. Regardless if current decline from recent high is over or not, it has all the aspect of an A wave which are often surprising waves with investors saying "what the hell was that ? " It is is very hard to say if wave A is over but If we see more weakness there's some support at 23400+/- If over or once ...

yauger yauger DAX, D,
DAX: A textbook expanded flat for the DAX
404 4 6
DAX, D
A textbook expanded flat for the DAX

We are still long term bullish for stocks including the DAX shown here. Last time we analysed the index we had a rising wave overlapping a declining 3 waves affair confirming out long term bullish outlook but we also warned that the bulls might have to face rough sea before sailing higher. The DAX confirmed our suspicions about more weakness with a decline that ...

yauger yauger DAX, D, Long ,
DAX: The DAX flipped its hand
168 0 2
DAX, D Long
The DAX flipped its hand

As in the Euro 50 the DAX told us it wants to be bullish even if we did get a decline. A very mild decline mind you. Recent advance it ain't mild at all. Therefore as for the Euro 50, I cannot say for sure recent rally in the DAX is the first wave of another impulse or wave a of an abc. Just don't know. BUT we do know the bulls are charge long term even in Europe ...

yauger yauger EU50EUR, D, Long ,
EU50EUR: Europe 50 starting a new rally
17 0 1
EU50EUR, D Long
Europe 50 starting a new rally

or at least another upleg towards 3700. Last time we updated that index we suggested we would see another leg down at minimum. We got that. Could have been the beginning of something more bearish but recent advance is not only impulsive ( the trend ) but has retraced enough of previous decline to leave us with waves overlapping indicating that at minimum we are ...

yauger yauger DJI, D, Long ,
DJI: Update on the DOW
157 0 2
DJI, D Long
Update on the DOW

We updated the wave count on the DOW but as you can see nothing has changed in our Outlook. Recent weakness stopped right on target at the 38.2% retracement and now we are crawling back up to end the structure that started in November of this year. The upper trendline should be an easy target. Also sometimes a fifth wave will measure 1.618 or 2 times the previous ...

yauger yauger BKX, M,
BKX: The Financials are cooking something
22 0 3
BKX, M
The Financials are cooking something

Looking at the big picture for the Financials, one have to wonder if they are not building a very powerful Third of Third wave that would propel the index to serious new high in a very short period of time. Long term forecast can be tricky but nevertheless any Ellioticians looking at that chart cannot deny its potential. In other words, the chart sports the right ...

yauger yauger IXIC, D,
IXIC: The Naz in correction mode
77 0 3
IXIC, D
The Naz in correction mode

We did get another leg down. That was the easy part of forecasting. Now we have to find out if the correction is over and if not what shape it will take. Let's not give too much power to the fact that markets are patterned esp. when we are dealing with consolidation. They can take different shapes. Your guess is as good as mine. But trading with guesses can be ...

Show More Ideas 12345
Last visit
0
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
2
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
1
0
5
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
1
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Canada
34
72
578
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit The Netherlands
57
38
540
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
0
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit España
6
0
13
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit China
3
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
4
0
14
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
35
0
153
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
32
33
405
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit TURKEY
18
5
147
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
0
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
1
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
0
0
0
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
2
0
5
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
4
0
13
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Iran
24
15
293
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
3
0
15
Message Follow Following Unfollow
User follows nobody
User has no following symbols
Market
Browse
Type
Browse
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
SV Svenska
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
AR العربية
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Cryptocurrency Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out