Disclaimer-Doing this mobile, it really sucks to be honest but here we go.
British Pound October 2023 - Short
Why V instead of U, concerns about the open interest on the September contracts on the CME. Open interest shirks about one month out, don’t get left holding the bag. For option traders, this does not affect your trade, your preference should be 6BU3 not 6BV3, futures is different.
In the last 15 years has a probability of success of 66%. Not the greatest however this 66% is “targets achieved” so as long as it is managed and not “set and forget” you should get some profit out of it. My first target for assessment is at 1.25$ or about there (mobile) that is a .02->.03 draw down and then the king killer target is at 1.21 which is over the last 15yr the high end for profit (.07$) which also lines up with support levels. However just because it lines up doesn’t mean sh*t. Setups could include a calendar spread, back end contract best option would be March imo, or you can hedge the risk on the USD (DX! U3 or V3 on ICE or something)on a long dated or tight (close stops)6BV3 contract.
Option dawgs
Best case you buy the put and are in it for a short time bc extrinsic value on the option contract will increase so I would not leave it open til the 29th unlike a futures contract. Selling premium here instead is safer however you won’t make as much $ as a bought put. I may wait on the credit side until it recovers in Dec. Whether you’re running the option naked or as a debit spread it should be managed regularly.
I cannot post external sites/info however reach out to me and I can provide further documentation. Hope this is readable……
“Where are the kids?”
-kewlkat
British Pound October 2023 - Short
Why V instead of U, concerns about the open interest on the September contracts on the CME. Open interest shirks about one month out, don’t get left holding the bag. For option traders, this does not affect your trade, your preference should be 6BU3 not 6BV3, futures is different.
In the last 15 years has a probability of success of 66%. Not the greatest however this 66% is “targets achieved” so as long as it is managed and not “set and forget” you should get some profit out of it. My first target for assessment is at 1.25$ or about there (mobile) that is a .02->.03 draw down and then the king killer target is at 1.21 which is over the last 15yr the high end for profit (.07$) which also lines up with support levels. However just because it lines up doesn’t mean sh*t. Setups could include a calendar spread, back end contract best option would be March imo, or you can hedge the risk on the USD (DX! U3 or V3 on ICE or something)on a long dated or tight (close stops)6BV3 contract.
Option dawgs
Best case you buy the put and are in it for a short time bc extrinsic value on the option contract will increase so I would not leave it open til the 29th unlike a futures contract. Selling premium here instead is safer however you won’t make as much $ as a bought put. I may wait on the credit side until it recovers in Dec. Whether you’re running the option naked or as a debit spread it should be managed regularly.
I cannot post external sites/info however reach out to me and I can provide further documentation. Hope this is readable……
“Where are the kids?”
-kewlkat
Trade active:
Awaiting the EMAs break, should get us down to 1.26.
“Did they take the kids with the house?” -Kewlkat
“Did they take the kids with the house?” -Kewlkat
Trade active:
EMA broke enter trade one day early, sometimes it is what it is, gotta be monitoring this crap.
“I just started trading yesterday when I graduated HS, how am I 67 already…?” -Kewlkat
“I just started trading yesterday when I graduated HS, how am I 67 already…?” -Kewlkat
Trade closed: target reached:
Wasn’t the target we hoped for but it was the one we deserved.
Enjoy the monies
Enjoy the monies