APPLE: In danger of repeating the Bear Cycle fractal.

BATS:AAPL   Apple Inc
AAPL could be on the verge of completing November's insane rally that restored bullishness on the 1W chart and keeps the 1D technical outlook in green (RSI = 64.212, MACD = 3.520, ADX = 54.247) as it is failing so far to cross over the LH trendline of the Bearish Megaphone pattern. A structure that up until now is identical to the Megaphone that led to the 2022 Bear Cycle.

In fact the correction started on the current leg we are at that got emphatically rejected on the LH line. After the 1D MA50 failed to support, the selloff (first of that Bear Cycle) extended as low as the 1.618 Fibonacci level. Currently that is at 150.00.

Conversely, on January-February 2023 rally, it was the 1D MA50 that held and provided Support, which in turn had the uptrend continue and extend considerably higher to July's All Time High. Consequently, if the 1D MA50 holds, expect a similar March-July 2023 type continuation of the uptrend, especially if the Fed decides to finally step in and start cutting the Interest Rate.

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