AAPLE -50% of June rally lost. Will it recover on the 2019 fract

Apple (AAPL) has fallen more than -17% from the mid-August High, losing more than half of the gains made on the June 16 rally. Right now it is exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on that High-Low sequence and on top of that a Golden Cross pattern is emerging (when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)).

We have explicitly outlined this potential fall to the 0.5 Fib if the price got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line from the All Time High, on our August 17 idea:


As you see the timing couldn't be better as those where the days that the top was formed and the price got rejected. The last time we saw a similar pattern was on the June 03 2019 test of the 0.5 Fib. That was also caused by a rejection near the 2018 Lower Highs but the Golden Cross was formed a little earlier. After a marginal breach of the 0.5 Fib (such as the one we had yesterday), Apple resumed the uptrend and the recovery path.

See also the similarities on the RSI (1W time-frame), though this time it got rejected slightly below the Resistance level it did back in May 2019. This may possibly mean that we can see a rebound slightly higher than the symmetrical Support level. Another closing below it though can initiate an aggressive sell-off towards June's lows. In our view it is critical to see the Golden Cross forming, which should encourage buyers to accumulate.




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