ARSUSD: Long pesos, yes...long.

Here I am with a little contrarian idea.

There's a nice 15% spread to be filled when comparing the Argentine peso to the other South American economies.
The stock market also took a nose dive and is poised to retrace, since it's possible that live cattle             and soybeans             will head up from this point (and the Merval             has a healthy correlation with those two among other agriculturals, for obvious reasons).

That being said, to my fellow countrymen, this is a nice low risk trade, upside is 15%, downside is merely 2%. Sell dollar for 13, buy back at 10-11, give or take, and or invest in other assets once we reach that target.

Good luck,

Ivan Labrie.
Comment: South America going up.
Comment: Relative strength speaking, ARS is holding its own. If you took my advice of long ars and short clp, you'd be in some nice profit now.
Comment: Spread is finally closed. Looking to short ARS soon.
Comment: Another nice spread trade opportunity with CLP. ARS lagging South America currently.
Comment: The gap in ARSUSD and CLPUSD is considerably wide. I expect oil to move to the upside, this would boost BRL and ARS for sure. Copper on the other hand, looks extremely choppy, not as clear an uptrend and is up against a high volume node right now. We can take a shot at the spread trade again, long arsusd, short clpusd.
Are you shure? i think go in a long time to $17
IvanLabrie MauricioGimenez
The dollar isn't particularly strong, and copper, oil and other south american currencies are rallying.
The peso will follow suit. Fundamentals call for a controlled decline, or even a retracement after the shock event.
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