AUDUSD SHORT TRADE SETUP H1
The AUD/USD pair is showing a strong recovery after a minor correction near 0.6840 during the European session. Investors eagerly await the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes and the interest rate decision by the People's Bank of China (PBoC).
Meanwhile, caution prevails as S&P500 futures recorded losses in Asia due to an extended weekend in the United States. Nevertheless, overall market sentiment remains positive, with a widespread belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates more than once by year-end.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is under pressure, dropping to around 102.30, reflecting growing investor optimism about the US economic outlook. Encouragingly, the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for June surpassed expectations, reaching 63.9 compared to the estimated 60.0 and the previous release of 59.2.
The prevailing market optimism is fueled by declining gasoline prices, which have contributed to a softening of both producer and consumer inflation. Consequently, market participants are confident that the Fed will proceed cautiously with interest rate adjustments, despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell's confirmation of two small rate hikes.
All eyes are now on the upcoming release of the RBA minutes scheduled for Tuesday, as they will provide valuable insights into RBA Governor Philip Lowe's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps). Additionally, guidance on future interest rate adjustments will be of utmost importance to investors.
Equally significant is the PBoC's interest rate decision, which is expected to take a dovish stance as the Chinese economy actively stimulates economic activities. It's worth noting that China is Australia's largest trading partner, and an economic recovery in China would strengthen the Australian Dollar.
Stay tuned for the latest developments in this dynamic trading landscape as the AUD/USD pair sets the stage for potential opportunities.
Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy
Meanwhile, caution prevails as S&P500 futures recorded losses in Asia due to an extended weekend in the United States. Nevertheless, overall market sentiment remains positive, with a widespread belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates more than once by year-end.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is under pressure, dropping to around 102.30, reflecting growing investor optimism about the US economic outlook. Encouragingly, the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for June surpassed expectations, reaching 63.9 compared to the estimated 60.0 and the previous release of 59.2.
The prevailing market optimism is fueled by declining gasoline prices, which have contributed to a softening of both producer and consumer inflation. Consequently, market participants are confident that the Fed will proceed cautiously with interest rate adjustments, despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell's confirmation of two small rate hikes.
All eyes are now on the upcoming release of the RBA minutes scheduled for Tuesday, as they will provide valuable insights into RBA Governor Philip Lowe's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps). Additionally, guidance on future interest rate adjustments will be of utmost importance to investors.
Equally significant is the PBoC's interest rate decision, which is expected to take a dovish stance as the Chinese economy actively stimulates economic activities. It's worth noting that China is Australia's largest trading partner, and an economic recovery in China would strengthen the Australian Dollar.
Stay tuned for the latest developments in this dynamic trading landscape as the AUD/USD pair sets the stage for potential opportunities.
Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy
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