LupaCapital

AUD USD - Departure awaits Quick Series 6

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
G'Day traders,

Master Key for zones
  • Red = Three Month
  • Blue = Monthly
  • Purple = weekly
  • Scarlet - Four day
  • Orange = Daily

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Monthly zones
These zones have been highlighted due to the imbalance showing a strong pivotal reversion point where price has set a psychological level of .80 to be a structural level for the USD vs AUD.
The monthly wicks also highlight a great opportunity where the imbalance is strongest within the wick zones, in the past, there are multiple levels of imbalances as highlighted clearly.
The main focus of the monthly imbalances is if price fails to create weekly higher highs and break the monthly infinity line, then the probability of Original Pattern imbalance will become reduced and the selling imbalance will take affect towards $0.60.


weekly chart - trade is activated, just awaiting the positioning of a sell (subject to confirmations using the daily Fibo structure and possible retest of said CP zone.
Notice how the falling knife pattern is still clear using the supply and demand imbalance methodology.
Price once departed the Continuation pattern from the monthly level at 0.80$, price will use the retrace zone to create a CP level between 50-70.5% Fibonacci retracement, aligned with a 'breather' which is a CP level.

Revert below to see the weekly retest structure before and after to see where price develops a level of CP and why?

Despite not 'reaching the 50% retracement, the weekly imbalance has been retested and rejected.
Looking to the daily for a confirmation, shows clearer how this has formed.

Here is the daily netting zone, where one previous retest of the immediate zone has shook out buyers, sellers who hold positions to form the CP block weekly level.
The retest of the Daily candle of interest within the CP is still maintained within the "Netting zone" where the high of the daily candle offers a chance to sell.

Selling in action upon rejection of the netting zone
Selling is confirmed now below the retest of a daily engulfing candle and rejection upon a 50% retest of said candle.


Daily Chart

A probable scenario for the Daily chart, using the daily CP level, below the two weekly imbalances of interest.
Keep in mind, the main imbalance reverts back to the Weekly 0.746 - 0.7616 where price has original created the CP.
Please note - due to the current affairs, keep track of Commodity prices, to confirm sentiment, as smaller moves also counter-act with imbalances based upon other resources.
The overall departure however, still stands from the current 0.76$ move.


Track below
XAU USD
XAGUSD

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