JinDao_Tai

The week ahead - AUD (31 October 2022)

Short
FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
AUDUSD reversed from the 0.6520 high last week to sit just above the 0.64 support level, ending the 250pip swing last week.

The RBA interest rate decision is due on Tuesday and the expectation is for a rate hike of 25bps taking interest rates from 2.60% to 2.85%. In the previous meeting, the RBA conveyed that it was looking to tune back on the scale of future rate increases. However, recent CPI data from Australia indicated that inflation was still increasing, which might force the RBA to rethink the decision to slow down on the rate hikes.

From the previous RBA rate decision, the price spiked up but was not able to sustain a move higher, only to trade lower later into the week. (check the previous RBA interest rates analysis)

Check the DXY analysis, if the DXY does strengthen due to the FOMC interest rate decision, the AUDUSD could first fluctuate along the 0.64 price level before trading lower towards the 0.6170 support level.

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