inducto

BABA | 2nd move

inducto Updated   
NYSE:BABA   Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd.
BABA... so much attention lately.

Step 1
It would be pretty right to say, that most people have bought BABA at higher levels, 150-180$.
This was before the big recent fall.
This was step 1 - entering the stock before the collapse.

Step 2
We are heading to the next step, which could be not very planned, but considering the circumstances, becomes necessary.
Because of such a massive decrease of price, it's important to average the overall price, by buying more of the cheaper stock.
It will yield eventually additional profit and compensate the initial higher price.

A possible Step 3
Some are trying to guess the future, and where will the chart be in some months from now.
Since we all know it's a useless task, the only realistic approach to handle current situation, is keep buying on each next significant price decrease.

As example:
Step 1 was made at 170$.
Step 2 will be done at 100$
(if necessary) Step 3 at 70$

Knowing that BABA has a significant amount of cash, nearly no debts, positive and stable cash flow, good ratio indicators and 1 billion of active users - even if the stock will go to zero, it wouldn't change much.
The company won't close, just because the stock worth less - they keep selling everyday.
Besides, if the stock would reach 70$ at some point (which doubtful), it could be that for such a price, even those who don't trust BABA, will all run to buy such a discounted high quality product.

Considering that 70-80$ does not seem as a realistic option, 100$ purchase is the best next possibility, which shouldn't be neglected.
Let the BABA power be with us!
Comment:
Charlie Munger has doubled his position in BABA.
It seems as a reason for the recent upper trend, and it seems not enough yet to change the global tendency of the stock.

It's highly probable that in near future, BABA will reach the 111$ or lower levels.
Trade active
Comment:
Next week there will be quarter results published. There is a chance they will be lower than expected. Then the stock may fall far beyond 110$.

Besides rating of BABA was recently decreased and future price expectation moved from 220$ to 200$ and mow to 180$.

So the value of the stock is now objectively decreasing, meaning that even 110$ might be not as cheap as we think.

Considering that most investors purchased for 160$+, price of 120$ is not going to average them much.

So either it recovers from 120$ and goes up, or it falls further after upcoming news and then averaging it on 100$ will not be sufficient. Then the stock may truly collapse, because return on investment will be very much delayed, and some won't be willing to wait that long.

Related Ideas

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.