TLDR:
• Although the bearish pressure on BNB is reduced. It is not yet clear that the downtrend is finished.
• To confirm a trade reversal, I will wait for a long signal from the TTM Squeeze indicator.
Background:
• BNB is in a continuous downtrend since the 17th of April 2023.
• Fundamental news regarding Binance US has exacerbated BNB’s situation and increased the downside momentum.
• Since June 11th selling pressure has somewhat reduced but momentum is still on the downside.
• If we disregard the wicks, in the past 18 days BNB is moving in an 8% price range.
• This high level of compression is displayed by the TTM Squeeze indicator by the orange dot. The orange dot means the highest level of compression (Keltner channel inside the Bollinger band).
Will BNB’s compression lead to a trend reversal?
• The truth is I don’t know. Nobody does; especially not the trading gurus on YT and CT.
• However, I think that liquidity is to the upside, not down. IMO, candle wicks are the footprint of the MM. Wicks could indicate that MMs are building long positions. The only problem is that I cannot negate another quick move down to shake out the traders that already took long positions.
So, what do we do?
We don’t have to do anything. We wait.
Wait For what?
Trend reversal. A long signal.
How will I know that the trend changed?
1. Bullish RSI divergence.
2. The TTM squeeze indicator is a big help in such a situation. Once the TTM Squeeze histogram moves above the zero line and green dots appear, it’s a sign that volatility is returning.
3. I will also look out for a high-volume green candle and a strong price move away from the range.
Next Support levels:
205 USD.
183 USD.
Resistance:
240 USD.
250 USD.
260 USD.
NFA
What do you think? Please share in the comments.
Best wishes.
• Although the bearish pressure on BNB is reduced. It is not yet clear that the downtrend is finished.
• To confirm a trade reversal, I will wait for a long signal from the TTM Squeeze indicator.
Background:
• BNB is in a continuous downtrend since the 17th of April 2023.
• Fundamental news regarding Binance US has exacerbated BNB’s situation and increased the downside momentum.
• Since June 11th selling pressure has somewhat reduced but momentum is still on the downside.
• If we disregard the wicks, in the past 18 days BNB is moving in an 8% price range.
• This high level of compression is displayed by the TTM Squeeze indicator by the orange dot. The orange dot means the highest level of compression (Keltner channel inside the Bollinger band).
Will BNB’s compression lead to a trend reversal?
• The truth is I don’t know. Nobody does; especially not the trading gurus on YT and CT.
• However, I think that liquidity is to the upside, not down. IMO, candle wicks are the footprint of the MM. Wicks could indicate that MMs are building long positions. The only problem is that I cannot negate another quick move down to shake out the traders that already took long positions.
So, what do we do?
We don’t have to do anything. We wait.
Wait For what?
Trend reversal. A long signal.
How will I know that the trend changed?
1. Bullish RSI divergence.
2. The TTM squeeze indicator is a big help in such a situation. Once the TTM Squeeze histogram moves above the zero line and green dots appear, it’s a sign that volatility is returning.
3. I will also look out for a high-volume green candle and a strong price move away from the range.
Next Support levels:
205 USD.
183 USD.
Resistance:
240 USD.
250 USD.
260 USD.
NFA
What do you think? Please share in the comments.
Best wishes.
