Kalchev

Possible alt season scenario as alts decouple from BTC.D

Long
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D   Market Cap BTC Dominance, %
BTC.D TOTAL2
This idea explores the case for a comming alt season. I've inverted the monthly BTC.D and its RSI in order to better visualize the correlation with alt market cap (TOTAL2).

2017 alt season was a beast and if anything similar happens this cycle (lots of alt hopium going around) crypto bros and gals will be stacking mad sats while institutional money drives BTC and some large cap alts into price discovery. Of note here is the October 2020 decoupling of tha alt market cap from BTC dominance. I read this as strong demand for alts as there are quite a lot of sh!tcoins with over 80% loss in sats from summer tops. Right now BTC is on its way to newer highs, but so is the alt market cap. I believe the longer BTC keeps going before correcting, more preassure will be building in ALT/BTC pairs (LTC, ETH just to name a few), with possible moonshot potential if we are headed towards market euphoria.

Monthly RSI bottoming at the 40 level (inv.60, 1) and January closing not lower is bullish af. Any weak push up towards the 60 level (inv.40, 2) could mean a delay for serious alt action. However, strong breach of the 70 level (inv.30, 3) in the comming months could potentially lead to a massive alt market.

I'll be monitoring this for confirmation and post an update as the month ends. BTC.D could turn to the upside here even if BTC corrects soon(tm) - alts just need to correct less.

Since no alt has breached it's historic USD ATH yet, this is possible.
BTC has doubled its ATH and keeps going.
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