CryptoSlavest

BTC Halvnig: statistical price analysis - 150 000 USD?

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
New bitcoins are issued by the Bitcoin network every 10 minutes. For the first four years of Bitcoin's existence, the amount of new bitcoins issued every 10 minutes was 50. Every four years, this number is cut in half. The day the amount halves is called a "halving".The halving decreases the amount of new bitcoins generated per block. This means the supply of new bitcoins is lower. In normal markets, lower supply with steady demand usually leads to higher prices. Since the halving reduces the supply of new bitcoins , and demand usually remains steady, the halving has usually preceded some of Bitcoin's largest runs.
Bitcoin currency is because of halving deflating. Normaly when the need for money is bigger banks print more money: because of that inflation of currency can happen. That means the money isnt worth anything. Currency prices skyrocket by the hour. This has happened many times in course of human history. Bitcoin on the other hand has limited supply and every halving means that the price of 1 bitcoin has to increase to cover the cost of mining. Many times has been said that after the halving nothing will happen or miners will stop to mine Bitcoin , that just didnt happen.
I got inspiration for this analysis from a youtube video published in 2015 before the halving of 2016. Man in the video has predicted that the price of BTC will skyrocket after the halving because it has happen before. At the time he was would be probably proclaimed to be insane, but still here we are in year 2019 and the price is 5000 dollars. If you want to see this video which is fascinating on the fact he was right you can acces it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_IkOf8I...

In my statistical analysis I covered how much has the price changed in the folowing years. I took a measurement of 3000% increase after halving and tried to implement it in today price. On first graph i covered price from the first halving on BTC until 3000% increase.

On my second graph u can see that 3000% increase in price also happened but it took BTC more time.

Third graph shows the halving that will happen on 21.05.2020. I took base price range for today BTC price. Until 21.05.2020 price will surely change.

I simply added 3000% increase in price of today and got a price 150 000 USD.
Assuming that the price will change until 21.05.2020, and it would be 20 000 USD which I think it could be, then 3000% increase would be = 600 000 USD. Crazy right :D
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