bibboyne

Bitcoin Market Flips! The Bull is Back and Poop is Dead

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Hi, everyone! I will admit that adding Poop to the title was merely a pun to grab attention. I am no Poop hater. I have nothing but utmost respect to this magical sentient stool because without him, Bitcoin would not have found “spring”. No, it’s true! Poop is a real hero. He single-handedly brought the Bull back to life and saved John McAfee from the knife with his first bearish post in weeks. >=D

Jokes aside. Bitcoin has shown us its strength and resilience once again by rallying price off this year’s all time low of $5,755 far beyond our expectations in a very short amount of time. The panic selloff by weak hands that flooded the bear market yesterday was quickly absorbed by buyers which thrusts price back into the “Third Time Lucky” triangle just as I had predicted in the last update to my previous charts. This mimics the quick spikes that we often see in the beginnings of a newly formed bull market.

That’s right! The “bull” is back in town and we are going to the MOO…N!

Well, not quite.

Looking at the technicals in the daily chart , we can see that Stochastic and RSI have bounced off the “oversold” region. They appear to be recharged with plenty of room to move higher. MACD , on the other hand, still hovers below zeroline which means the market can still go in either direction so for the time being we should stay somewhat cautious despite our bullish inclinations.

Having said that, if yesterday’s new low of $5,755 is indeed Wyckoff’s Spring, then the first new impulse wave to the upside should look similar to what I have charted. A break above the nearest resistance at $6,800 should add more weight to this idea.

Remember, the trend may be your friend but the whales are opportunists and more often than not they move against the salient sentiments on TradingView. The trend going against Poop’s idea was a good example. That or maybe the market just hates Poop.

Happy trading, my friends!
Jun 26
Comment: Hi friends! Here is today's update on BTC. We are approaching a key resistance level where the bull might have trouble penetrating given the lack of volume. If the bull fails, the bears will seize this opportunity to claw price down to retest the regional lows of $5,755 again. Here is an illustration of the BTC 4-Hour chart of what might happen.
I would be cautious and wise to pull out of this market at this level for the time being and re-enter at lower levels. That's all for today. Happy trading everyone!

< Comparison Between CBOE:blue and CME:red > * UTC+9

18.01.18. 07:00 / CBOE: 11100$ / SHORT
18.01.27. 01:00 / CME: 11000$ / SHORT

18.02.15. 07:00 / CBOE: 9300$ / LONG
18.02.24. 01:00 / CME: 10200$ / LONG

18.03.15. 07:00 / CBOE: 8100$ / SHORT
18.03.31. 01:00 / CME: 6700$ / SHORT

18.04.19. 07:00 / CBOE: 8200$ / LONG
18.04.28. 01:00 / CME: 9300$ / LONG

18.05.17. 07:00 / CBOE: 8300$ / SHORT
18.05.26. 01:00 / CME: 7500$ / SHORT

18.06.14. 07:00 / CBOE: 6300$ / SHORT
18.06.30. 01:00 / CME: ???) / ???

Until now, the closing price of the CME expiration date was lower than that of CBOE in the bear market, and the closing price of the CME expiration date was higher than that of CBOE in the bull market. Assuming this pattern is maintained, June is the continuation of the downside, CBOE lowered the low point on the 14th, and CME on the 30th is expected to lower the bottom. As CME futures expiration date (1 am on June 30) is approaching, we should open up possibility that price will be pushed once more.
+1 Reply
bibboyne pkb6698
@pkb6698, given the others are in pairs, I doubt 18.6.30 would be any different. This is good info, thanks for sharing.
Reply
Thanks for your charts and sharing your ideas however I see more corrective price action before we resume the larger bullish trend. Good luck trading.

Weekly with link to full thread and recent updates:


Daily:


+1 Reply
bibboyne tuamen
@tuamen, this is already mentioned in today's update. In case you missed it, here is the smaller time frame chart illustrating it. I expect the bottom to be in parallel or slightly lower than the previous low of $5755. This correction is necessary prior to the bullish rally as projected by my daily chart.


+1 Reply
tuamen bibboyne
@bibboyne, cheers mate.
Reply
@tuamen, You are absolutely RIGHT Tuamen. This is the room where I made that accidental reference in yours. I am embarrased by that mistake and you STILL have my apology for that goof.
Reply
Could we consider the current events and the february 6k bottom as double bottom?
+1 Reply
bibboyne Cpt_Leonid
@Cpt_Leonid, I suppose you could.
Reply
TradeClass Cpt_Leonid
@Cpt_Leonid, some consider it a triple bottom. However, many feel that true bottom will be hit at 5500 to 5700. Also CME published a report that the market drops 10 days before futures expiration dates and then rises 6 days after. If that research holds true.. and based on current volume, said fundamentals suggest we are in for a new wave of lows. The good news about Mt Gox NOT being allowed to dump any more coin until Feb 2019.. and then the ruling that may limit reimbursement to creditors in ONLY crypto.. further alleviates FUD.. and might speed up price recovery.. or even stop a massive slide to prices below 5k Bitcoins.
Reply
All good.....
+1 Reply
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