Morning folks!

I suppose you're very inspiring with recent BTC performance, thus, we did also suggest last time upside action. But to be honest - it is nothing to be happy about. Those who read our Fundamental reports on FPA site know what I'm talking about.

The reason of the rally on stock market and BTC is Fed liquidity pump in recent two weeks. Yes, we already have explained recently this phenomenon, but in last two weeks there were big changes there, and we have to mention it here to warn you. This is artificial rally, guys. Banks need to sell their huge positions in stocks and BTC. They use Fed liquidity to initiate reversal. Once public is involved - they start selling their positions to them.

In general, since April 12, Fed has taken off 75 Bln. liquidity from the market. It seems, what's the problem? But the problem with US Treasury cash deposit - it has decreased for 300 Bln + within the same time. It means that net injection was more than for 200 Bln within the same period. If you take a look on changes in recent two weeks - net injection was around $50 Bln. That's why stock and BTC markets are rising.

It is no problem to trade it long on intraday charts. We're mostly speaking on long term investing - we stay aside for awhile from long position taking.

As we have the whole week until Fed meeting, BTC market should get some freedom, so we do not exclude reaching of 23K nearest target and maybe 25-26K as well. Although we have big doubts on a latter one...

Supposedly as 23K as 25-26K should become an areas potentially interesting for short entry.

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