holeyprofit

BTC capitulation risk seems significant now

Short
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
If you've ever positioned in a range after a slight breakout, or bought any of the sharp rallies in that - you'll know it's not working out too well too often. I think a stronger BTC bull would have started to establish some higher lows by this point - not traded flat on the daily.

I've seen a lot more of these turning into capitulation patterns. I'm thinking swings to 15 -20K and then a second swing to 7 - 10K.

My original big BTC forecast was it would drop at least 70% without trading 71K. If we make another swing down this will complete, but if we make another swing down I'd not be surprised to see BTC 90% off the high before this is all over. Mega booms often resolve as 90% corrections. Another break lower, I think make this likely (It could take a long time to happen and be a slow downtrend with a lot of upmoves in it).

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.