Afternoon frens,
Bitcoin has been side stepping since 10th Jan, so pretty much the whole of 2022 so far. Although this can be frustrating, in times of consolidation it's best to just sit on our hands and wait for the market to give us a direction.
As you can see we have been bouncing around the fib levels and weekly resistance. There are quite big wicks either side, indicating both bulls and bears are getting slaughtered in the market. Whenever indecision is present, I sit on my hands and wait. Trying to enter the market now is a guessing game and will mostly end up on the wrong side.
We did achieve a weekly close above 40K last week aka the .618 fib level. This does indicate bullishness in the market, however with all the indecision, I'm still not happy to trade here. Instead to confirm my bullish bias I would be much happier waiting for;
A close above EMA's
A close above 43.5K
I will be watching PA only lower TF for bullish market structure
A weekly close above 45.8K to fully confirm
If this happens my target will be the fib extensions @ 87K & 117K respectively
Despite the consolidation we see at the moment, I am overall bullish on Bitcoin. There seems to be a lot of uncertainty in the market right now, when that is over BTC will have its day. The DXY is also at an interesting turning point, it either carries on strengthening or it collapses. My guess would be a collapse is round the corner as this will coincide with fundamentals at the moment. I can't see the Dollar becoming any stronger than it already is.
Once the DXY collapses that is when BTC and ALTs go on their run. I'm looking forward to it.
Alternatively for the bearish perspective I will be waiting for a close below 33K next target would be 28.6K followed by 22.6K worst case which is the fib extension to complete the impulsive move down.
Have a great day, appreciate you taking the time to check out my TA. Please comments are open, lets discuss :)
Cheers,
Chartster
Bitcoin has been side stepping since 10th Jan, so pretty much the whole of 2022 so far. Although this can be frustrating, in times of consolidation it's best to just sit on our hands and wait for the market to give us a direction.
As you can see we have been bouncing around the fib levels and weekly resistance. There are quite big wicks either side, indicating both bulls and bears are getting slaughtered in the market. Whenever indecision is present, I sit on my hands and wait. Trying to enter the market now is a guessing game and will mostly end up on the wrong side.
We did achieve a weekly close above 40K last week aka the .618 fib level. This does indicate bullishness in the market, however with all the indecision, I'm still not happy to trade here. Instead to confirm my bullish bias I would be much happier waiting for;
A close above EMA's
A close above 43.5K
I will be watching PA only lower TF for bullish market structure
A weekly close above 45.8K to fully confirm
If this happens my target will be the fib extensions @ 87K & 117K respectively
Despite the consolidation we see at the moment, I am overall bullish on Bitcoin. There seems to be a lot of uncertainty in the market right now, when that is over BTC will have its day. The DXY is also at an interesting turning point, it either carries on strengthening or it collapses. My guess would be a collapse is round the corner as this will coincide with fundamentals at the moment. I can't see the Dollar becoming any stronger than it already is.
Once the DXY collapses that is when BTC and ALTs go on their run. I'm looking forward to it.
Alternatively for the bearish perspective I will be waiting for a close below 33K next target would be 28.6K followed by 22.6K worst case which is the fib extension to complete the impulsive move down.
Have a great day, appreciate you taking the time to check out my TA. Please comments are open, lets discuss :)
Cheers,
Chartster
