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In this analysis, we look at Bitcoin's logarithmic chart on the weekly, and analyze the charts using the theory.
- To begin with, we can first draw the fibonacci channel to identify significant levels of
- Starting from November 2011, Bitcoin has been creating a series of impulse and corrective waves
- Within the supercycle, marked in green, it could be argued that Bitcoin is on its last impulse wave (12345)
- Cycle waves, marked in yellow, show clear impulse and corrective waves.
- There are two things to note regarding the cycle: the length of the cycle and its degree
- We can notice that the length of the cycle (whether it be a rally or a corrective phase) extends as time passes
- As such, for the last supercycle wave, we could expect a long lasting extended rally
- Secondly, the trend degree starts steep, but slowly flattens out throughout time
- This is natural considering the fact that the chart is a logarithmic chart
Long short ratios remain at 71 to 29, with significantly more long positions than short positions. The overall trend for the mid-long term is very .
What We Believe
We believe that Bitcoin may be on its way for a mega rally, possibly even similar to the one we have witnessed in 2017. However, based on past price history, this rally might play out slowly through an extended period of time.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below